Offensive-Affair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$241

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$43.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-10 06:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 83% +$160

Politics

16% — —

Other

6% 33% +$0

Sports

2% 75% +$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	38	$4.0K	2,130	2,130	+0	Down	+$32	05-08 03:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-27 02:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	15	$3.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-08 05:42
btc updown 15m 1776924900	1	$1.7K	1,845	0	+1,845	open	—	04-23 06:24
btc updown 15m 1776911400	1	$1.7K	1,770	0	+1,770	open	—	04-23 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,641	0	+1,641	open	—	04-28 02:53
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	3	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 02:59
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$1.0K	730	687	+43	open	—	05-12 02:33
btc updown 15m 1770784200	8	$997	844	836	+8	open	—	02-11 04:44
btc updown 15m 1776303900	3	$784	400	399	+1	open	—	04-16 01:59
btc updown 15m 1770345000	2	$782	399	399	+0	open	—	02-06 02:42
btc updown 15m 1775007000	2	$771	402	400	+2	open	—	04-01 01:42
btc updown 15m 1772691300	2	$750	377	377	+0	open	—	03-05 06:26
btc updown 15m 1774836000	3	$737	392	389	+3	open	—	03-30 02:14
btc updown 15m 1774407600	2	$728	384	384	+0	open	—	03-25 03:14
btc updown 15m 1768971600	3	$679	373	372	+1	open	—	01-21 05:13
btc updown 15m 1770863400	2	$669	373	371	+2	open	—	02-12 02:45
btc updown 15m 1768970700	2	$653	348	347	+0	open	—	01-21 04:59
btc updown 15m 1770786000	2	$503	286	285	+2	open	—	02-11 05:13
btc updown 15m 1776824100	1	$499	517	0	+517	open	—	04-22 02:24
btc updown 15m 1768282200	2	$485	250	249	+0	open	—	01-13 05:44
btc updown 15m 1776663900	2	$472	489	0	+489	open	—	04-20 05:53
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	1	$471	472	0	+472	open	—	02-05 08:26
bitcoin above 84k on february 3	1	$470	471	0	+471	open	—	02-03 08:24
ethereum above 3300 on january 28	1	$469	470	0	+470	open	—	01-28 02:45
ethereum above 3300 on january 22	1	$458	459	0	+459	open	—	01-22 05:48
btc updown 15m 1769132700	1	$444	453	0	+453	open	—	01-23 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$415	217	217	+0	Down	+$15	05-08 02:10
btc updown 15m 1776058200	1	$406	428	0	+428	open	—	04-13 05:41
btc updown 15m 1776304800	1	$398	415	0	+415	open	—	04-16 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:35:40	btc updown 15m 1781073000	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x633d9c…
06-10 03:09:07	btc updown 15m 1781060400	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd4cd5c…
06-05 02:58:40	btc updown 15m 1780627500	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfde629…
06-05 01:53:31	btc updown 15m 1780623900	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x03d561…
05-21 02:36:56	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x0979c1…
05-20 05:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x68a0df…
05-20 05:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc76179…
05-20 05:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xff0dad…
05-20 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	66	60¢	$39	0x071bb7…
05-20 02:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xcc3217…
05-20 02:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xe09933…
05-19 06:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xe9ed0e…
05-19 06:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xc49902…
05-19 06:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x93b984…
05-19 06:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x484f2b…
05-19 06:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xc59a6e…
05-19 06:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x8a0e54…
05-19 06:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4ab33d…
05-19 06:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x17272a…
05-19 06:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x101dca…
05-19 06:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	129	85¢	$110	0xaa4947…
05-19 05:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7ba5b8…
05-19 05:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0c74c9…
05-19 03:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x311f06…
05-19 03:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8be72f…
05-19 02:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x429195…
05-19 02:06:17	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x32acf7…
05-19 01:36:09	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x89ddf4…
05-18 11:23:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xa72069…
05-18 11:16:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0x060984…
05-18 07:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x922621…
05-18 06:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xd4f2ae…
05-18 06:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x628cad…
05-18 06:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x162f6b…
05-18 06:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xff406d…
05-18 05:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd68407…
05-18 02:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x519947…
05-18 02:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5e7525…
05-18 01:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x713e63…
05-18 01:35:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4b4dec…
05-18 01:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	219	71¢	$155	0x3adde5…
05-18 01:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xedacd6…
05-18 01:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xac9424…
05-15 02:19:13	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x695636…
05-15 02:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	145	39¢	$57	0xc1048f…
05-15 02:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	145	76¢	$110	0xca5078…
05-15 02:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2e57b2…
05-15 01:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	115	56¢	$65	0xf2ae7d…
05-15 01:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x9d4aaf…
05-14 08:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2b71bf…
05-14 07:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xd03e68…
05-14 07:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf574d4…
05-14 05:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf5332d…
05-14 05:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd10479…
05-14 05:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x674beb…
05-14 05:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb9ec11…
05-14 05:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x7d5060…
05-14 05:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	102	96¢	$98	0x74bb98…
05-14 05:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x220289…
05-14 05:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xe4f0b1…
05-14 01:31:03	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	SELL	114	76¢	$86	0xcc6e44…
05-14 01:23:14	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x3239e7…
05-13 06:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa9772f…
05-13 06:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	112	56¢	$63	0xdfafdc…
05-13 06:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x2f607a…
05-13 05:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x8f996b…
05-13 05:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x037b4c…
05-13 05:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xbe29bf…
05-13 05:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x053105…
05-13 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x748a44…
05-13 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x432cd2…
05-13 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x3d9c15…
05-13 05:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xb01910…
05-13 05:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x91b42c…
05-13 05:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x54f18d…
05-13 05:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x121e95…
05-13 03:32:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe9ea25…
05-13 03:32:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x6428d3…
05-13 03:32:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa4d5f8…
05-13 03:31:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x97edd9…
05-13 03:31:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	14	60¢	$9	0x751151…
05-13 03:31:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x0c0f52…
05-13 03:31:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xa1966a…
05-13 03:31:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x6a8b6a…
05-13 02:29:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0xefd239…
05-13 02:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdf8734…
05-13 02:17:07	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x19569b…
05-13 02:13:46	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	SELL	82	46¢	$38	0xdfc871…
05-13 02:05:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x97e56a…
05-13 02:04:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xfda999…
05-13 02:03:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x606049…
05-13 01:56:00	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	82	40¢	$33	0x4deb27…
05-13 01:30:32	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6e1f5c…
05-13 01:24:00	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0x54980f…
05-12 08:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xedb545…
05-12 08:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x31aff9…
05-12 07:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	121	69¢	$84	0xe37546…
05-12 07:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	121	82¢	$100	0x3bd169…
05-12 06:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x3e69b0…
05-12 02:59:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	800	53¢	$424	0x99e67d…