Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$98

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 09-06 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

71% 64% +$5

Politics

23% 36% -$4

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	3	$5	8	5	+3	Yes	$0	08-08 10:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-06 13:12
will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-24 08:59
sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 18:59
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	08-01 22:49
will nvda reach 220 by august 31 2026 from september 1	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-02 06:36
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	08-07 21:48
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	08-13 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-02 07:45
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-21 17:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 07:11
Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	08-13 21:34
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-08 21:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	08-14 17:43
will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	07-24 20:59
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	+$5	08-08 05:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	08-08 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-13 03:39
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	09-01 10:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	08-05 13:39
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 14:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	08-05 05:39
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-13 21:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	08-09 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	08-05 21:42
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-06 13:44
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-22 09:51
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	09-01 18:55
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-22 01:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-06 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 13:12:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xd067f2…
09-02 15:30:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x258b5a…
09-02 06:36:43	will nvda reach 220 by august 31 2026 from september 1	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9cb510…
09-01 18:55:21	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xafaa61…
09-01 10:46:34	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6266e4…
08-22 20:32:40	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xbff315…
08-22 09:51:01	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2a4b56…
08-22 01:34:51	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4d2f8d…
08-21 17:22:13	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa54ee6…
08-20 08:52:49	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x2e0fde…
08-14 17:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x680c00…
08-13 21:34:03	Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x608a68…
08-13 21:00:16	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x342698…
08-13 11:41:00	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe86055…
08-13 03:39:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbcb8c6…
08-09 06:42:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7a34f0…
08-08 21:52:07	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x094f87…
08-08 13:50:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x65531b…
08-08 10:50:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa21906…
08-08 05:48:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcb25da…
08-07 21:48:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc552b9…
08-06 13:44:21	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x254125…
08-06 05:43:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x90128e…
08-05 21:42:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe5c20c…
08-05 13:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x64ade0…
08-05 05:39:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3ff199…
08-03 21:37:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfa07a3…
08-03 00:16:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc88318…
08-02 16:14:21	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x39a64e…
08-02 07:45:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x532dd7…
08-02 07:16:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7040b4…
08-02 07:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7040e0…
08-01 22:49:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1bbb14…
08-01 14:04:02	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7aeae0…
08-01 04:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfe173a…
07-31 20:30:56	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xc299f5…
07-31 12:30:08	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x65b9e6…
07-31 03:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe152f7…
07-30 11:24:59	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcec7b0…
07-29 05:25:32	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x89761d…
07-28 05:06:52	will trump say hell 2 times during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556633	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbd3d47…
07-27 18:59:31	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4badd7…
07-27 09:04:21	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xaf6b7e…
07-26 21:02:33	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xc73ff7…
07-26 09:00:58	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa449f9…
07-25 21:00:49	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x01d413…
07-25 09:00:01	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa20881…
07-24 20:59:27	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xee7b3d…
07-24 08:59:19	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd0c20f…
07-23 20:59:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xad1111…
07-23 08:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xba16e1…
07-22 20:58:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf7d0c3…
07-22 08:57:27	Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x6834a4…