Realized P&L
+$90
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
1,225
Trades
4,648
lifetime
Volume
$36.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$160
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 11-03 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
56% 47% +$6
Politics
34% 72% +$99
Sports
9% 42% -$25
Crypto
1% 45% +$10
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +88 $30 40¢ $36 +$5 06-30 21:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +68 $30 42¢ $28 -$2 09-29 17:49
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +29 $19 88¢ $25 +$7 07-01 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +33 $10 64¢ $22 +$12 09-24 21:24
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $9 64¢ $12 +$3 11-01 03:03
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +23 $21 46¢ $10 -$11 09-21 19:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 07-06 15:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$1 10-10 03:37
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $2 50¢ $4 +$2 10-30 09:19
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $0 10-30 01:05
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 50¢ $3 +$2 10-30 10:56
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +5 $3 47¢ $2 $0 11-02 16:40