Realized P&L
+$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$361
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved
7,018
Trades
34,486
lifetime
Volume
$135.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-23 05:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
91% 38% +$1,564
Politics
3% 45% +$106
Crypto
3% 46% +$21
Sports
2% 42% -$139
Tech
0% 24% +$44
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 1295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +97 $42 96¢ $92 +$50 10-11 11:42
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +80 $57 99¢ $79 +$22 10-20 06:00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +90 $55 84¢ $76 +$21 10-05 11:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +67 $45 100¢ $67 +$22 10-21 21:17
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +70 $43 88¢ $62 +$19 10-21 20:07
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +58 $41 97¢ $56 +$15 10-22 00:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +57 $36 96¢ $55 +$20 09-29 18:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +60 $40 89¢ $53 +$13 10-01 00:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +60 $42 88¢ $53 +$10 10-21 10:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +50 $34 98¢ $49 +$14 10-21 21:18
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +40 $29 99¢ $39 +$11 10-01 18:34
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +40 $12 98¢ $39 +$28 10-12 17:37
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +51 $41 76¢ $39 -$3 10-02 09:20
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +40 $30 96¢ $38 +$8 09-29 20:42
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +40 $17 96¢ $38 +$21 09-28 14:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +39 $15 98¢ $38 +$23 10-08 22:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $31 94¢ $37 +$7 10-21 21:46
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +40 $32 90¢ $36 +$3 09-21 14:04
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +50 $36 72¢ $36 +$0 09-28 08:21
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +40 $36 88¢ $35 -$1 10-12 20:14
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +32 $29 94¢ $30 +$1 10-05 06:19
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +30 $25 99¢ $30 +$5 10-20 04:07
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +30 $20 96¢ $29 +$9 10-07 23:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +30 $24 93¢ $28 +$3 10-20 14:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +30 $18 84¢ $25 +$8 09-29 16:35
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 09-24 13:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +30 $17 76¢ $23 +$6 10-21 17:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +29 $19 74¢ $21 +$3 09-29 19:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +30 $5 70¢ $21 +$16 10-14 04:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +30 $18 66¢ $20 +$2 09-30 21:14