Realized P&L (7d)
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$236
Hit rate
30.7%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
0
34,486 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$135.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$728
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-23 05:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
91% 38% +$1,587
Politics
3% 45% +$117
Crypto
3% 46% +$19
Sports
2% 42% -$139
Tech
0% 25% +$37
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 1295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +90 $55 86¢ $78 +$23 10-05 11:43
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +49 $4 96¢ $47 +$43 10-12 21:00
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +40 $12 98¢ $39 +$28 10-12 17:37
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +40 $32 92¢ $37 +$4 09-21 14:04
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +32 $29 99¢ $31 +$2 10-05 06:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $16 52¢ $31 +$16 09-28 08:25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +57 $10 51¢ $29 +$20 10-02 09:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +40 $12 72¢ $29 +$17 09-30 21:22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +30 $18 94¢ $28 +$11 09-29 16:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +51 $41 49¢ $25 -$17 10-02 09:20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +50 $36 48¢ $24 -$12 09-28 08:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +29 $19 77¢ $22 +$4 09-29 19:37
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +20 $8 99¢ $20 +$12 10-04 22:57
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +20 $7 99¢ $20 +$13 10-04 22:57
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 10-19 20:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$3 10-17 19:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +28 $14 67¢ $19 +$5 10-20 15:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +20 $15 94¢ $19 +$3 10-15 21:16
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +20 $14 92¢ $18 +$5 09-29 18:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +20 $9 92¢ $18 +$10 09-21 18:14
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +20 $7 90¢ $18 +$11 10-21 09:52
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +20 $12 90¢ $18 +$6 10-04 04:58
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +20 $15 89¢ $18 +$3 10-21 21:23
Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +20 $17 85¢ $17 +$0 10-21 16:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +21 $9 79¢ $17 +$8 09-30 20:49
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $12 100¢ $15 +$3 10-06 06:05
will the next fable model 5pt2 debut at a score of at least 1530 by june 30 2027 No +20 $15 70¢ $14 -$1 10-15 03:28
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +20 $17 70¢ $14 -$3 09-27 21:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +14 $1 88¢ $12 +$11 09-30 22:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +20 $3 60¢ $12 +$9 09-28 14:44