Lively-Score — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,049

lifetime

Volume

$50.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-26 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 31% $-63

Other

28% — —

Politics

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	208	$12.1K	6,580	5,848	+732	open	—	04-09 05:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	146	$8.4K	4,405	4,143	+262	open	—	04-08 07:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$669	600	600	+0	open	—	04-08 13:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	12	$654	2,227	2,227	+0	open	—	05-19 04:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	8	$530	400	325	+75	open	—	04-08 12:15
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 15	1	$421	443	0	+443	open	—	03-15 15:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$410	210	210	+0	open	—	05-22 09:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$397	207	207	+0	open	—	05-15 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775392800	7	$364	215	213	+3	open	—	04-05 12:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$363	160	210	-50	open	—	05-22 09:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	6	$322	372	372	+0	open	—	05-21 13:58
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$321	161	161	+0	open	—	05-13 09:29
btc updown 5m 1774493400	2	$300	200	197	+3	open	—	03-26 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$270	150	150	+0	open	—	05-15 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$254	205	196	+9	open	—	05-15 00:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$238	110	130	-20	open	—	05-22 09:19
btc updown 5m 1773552000	4	$232	283	202	+81	open	—	03-15 05:24
btc updown 5m 1774630200	13	$221	113	113	+0	open	—	03-27 16:54
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	10	$212	146	146	+0	open	—	04-05 13:56
btc updown 5m 1775786100	2	$199	225	0	+225	open	—	04-10 01:59
btc updown 5m 1774789500	6	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	03-29 13:09
btc updown 5m 1774252800	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 08:04
nvda up or down on april 8 2026	3	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 11:50
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	8	$188	2,094	0	+2,094	open	—	07-08 06:39
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 01:11
btc updown 5m 1775787000	16	$174	120	118	+2	open	—	04-10 02:15
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	4	$174	258	258	+0	open	—	06-16 12:59
btc updown 5m 1770884100	4	$142	84	83	+1	open	—	02-12 08:19
btc updown 5m 1774788000	4	$130	141	0	+141	open	—	03-29 12:44
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	5	$125	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	07-26 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 06:16:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	573	1¢	$4	0xa53565…
07-26 06:16:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	177	0¢	$1	0xcdb61e…
07-08 06:39:05	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,235	9¢	$111	0xbf2fe0…
07-08 05:38:47	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x5f009b…
07-08 05:38:46	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x00398a…
07-08 05:37:49	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0d1fbb…
07-08 05:37:49	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x0cadb9…
07-08 05:37:29	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xaef0e9…
07-08 05:37:23	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc7ae70…
07-08 05:37:22	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	773	9¢	$70	0x1c75cd…
07-06 16:04:22	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x6f8fea…
07-06 16:04:02	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x714c6f…
07-06 15:59:10	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	177	3¢	$5	0x9ff1b0…
07-04 12:23:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x3938f2…
07-04 11:59:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x3e52b6…
07-04 11:59:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xcb2855…
07-04 09:50:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1aee97…
07-04 06:38:02	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	818	6¢	$52	0x4717b7…
07-04 06:33:52	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0x2d9157…
07-03 01:35:13	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,318	5¢	$65	0x45f186…
07-02 06:46:41	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb4201e…
07-02 02:17:05	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x0304ed…
06-30 08:40:31	Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0x941efb…
06-30 08:40:17	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x7bddfa…
06-30 07:59:29	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	71	26¢	$19	0x9621d4…
06-29 20:05:11	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0xa7e3e7…
06-29 12:31:58	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1da5f2…
06-29 09:38:58	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2065c1…
06-26 17:49:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x08674c…
06-16 13:00:43	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x9dd520…
06-16 12:59:13	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	258	8¢	$20	0xeb829c…
06-12 17:34:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xb4d916…
06-06 08:29:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	235	62¢	$146	0x601296…
06-06 08:28:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1e3d82…
06-04 13:55:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	148	62¢	$92	0xea765c…
05-31 02:33:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x8dff58…
05-31 02:29:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9fc1fa…
05-22 09:19:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0xcc58f1…
05-22 09:19:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x367f21…
05-22 09:19:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x7dbcbe…
05-21 13:58:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	186	59¢	$110	0xea2662…
05-19 16:47:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xc57862…
05-19 09:43:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2233e1…
05-19 07:56:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xa3466c…
05-19 07:36:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x3226bd…
05-19 07:33:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x57b7dd…
05-19 04:50:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	820	20¢	$164	0x652bef…
05-18 18:25:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x5a972c…
05-17 20:09:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xa482f4…
05-17 20:02:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb9402a…
05-17 04:24:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbdfbfc…
05-16 17:03:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0xcceb4b…
05-16 10:38:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	170	22¢	$37	0x3ef16d…
05-16 09:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x957352…
05-16 09:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4305fe…
05-16 09:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x31b78b…
05-16 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x9ef200…
05-16 09:29:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x669e4c…
05-15 14:57:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x6d3a4d…
05-15 14:46:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,206	12¢	$145	0xaca402…
05-15 14:45:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	186	48¢	$89	0x994636…
05-15 13:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	210	96¢	$202	0xf39a41…
05-15 12:08:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0xc55ecf…
05-15 12:08:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe80a44…
05-15 02:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xd07868…
05-15 02:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x33f55d…
05-15 01:33:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x068d09…
05-15 01:22:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x530d5e…
05-15 01:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xfe1b0d…
05-15 01:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x977d6e…
05-15 00:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x1482b5…
05-15 00:53:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x448bb7…
05-15 00:40:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa6de81…
05-15 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4c8cd8…
05-15 00:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	196	77¢	$151	0x6f298a…
05-15 00:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xdc7fa6…
05-15 00:24:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	150	91¢	$136	0x8e9643…
05-15 00:20:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xcaa5f3…
05-15 00:20:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	177	98¢	$173	0x413e00…
05-15 00:18:16	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xf0a179…
05-15 00:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x76deb9…
05-15 00:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9961b2…
05-15 00:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3ee275…
05-15 00:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xefebe3…
05-15 00:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xae7527…
05-15 00:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a1518…
05-15 00:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x99e4d5…
05-15 00:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa432a4…
05-15 00:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd1a644…
05-14 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2d539d…
05-14 23:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4630d2…
05-14 17:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc6a09…
05-14 17:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd0ff2b…
05-14 17:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c74e9…
05-14 17:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x321d83…
05-14 17:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7dfb5b…
05-14 17:22:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x1301ef…
05-14 16:57:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd79483…
05-14 16:57:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0xf11440…
05-14 16:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9ac7f1…