Lively-Score — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,017

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-06 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 31% $-63

Other

28% — —

Politics

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	208	$12.1K	6,580	5,848	+732	open	—	04-09 05:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	146	$8.4K	4,405	4,143	+262	open	—	04-08 07:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$669	600	600	+0	open	—	04-08 13:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	12	$654	2,227	2,227	+0	open	—	05-19 04:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	8	$530	400	325	+75	open	—	04-08 12:15
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 15	1	$421	443	0	+443	open	—	03-15 15:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$410	210	210	+0	open	—	05-22 09:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$397	207	207	+0	open	—	05-15 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775392800	7	$364	215	213	+3	open	—	04-05 12:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$363	160	210	-50	open	—	05-22 09:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	6	$322	372	372	+0	open	—	05-21 13:58
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$321	161	161	+0	open	—	05-13 09:29
btc updown 5m 1774493400	2	$300	200	197	+3	open	—	03-26 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$270	150	150	+0	open	—	05-15 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$254	205	196	+9	open	—	05-15 00:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$238	110	130	-20	open	—	05-22 09:19
btc updown 5m 1773552000	4	$232	283	202	+81	open	—	03-15 05:24
btc updown 5m 1774630200	13	$221	113	113	+0	open	—	03-27 16:54
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	10	$212	146	146	+0	open	—	04-05 13:56
btc updown 5m 1775786100	2	$199	225	0	+225	open	—	04-10 01:59
btc updown 5m 1774789500	6	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	03-29 13:09
btc updown 5m 1774252800	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 08:04
nvda up or down on april 8 2026	3	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 11:50
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 01:11
btc updown 5m 1775787000	16	$174	120	118	+2	open	—	04-10 02:15
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$150	240	0	+240	open	—	06-06 08:29
btc updown 5m 1770884100	4	$142	84	83	+1	open	—	02-12 08:19
btc updown 5m 1774788000	4	$130	141	0	+141	open	—	03-29 12:44
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$123	152	152	+0	open	—	02-12 04:11
btc updown 5m 1775806800	8	$116	533	0	+533	open	—	04-10 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 08:29:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	235	62¢	$146	0x601296…
06-06 08:28:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1e3d82…
06-04 13:55:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	148	62¢	$92	0xea765c…
05-31 02:33:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x8dff58…
05-31 02:29:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9fc1fa…
05-22 09:19:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0xcc58f1…
05-22 09:19:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x367f21…
05-22 09:19:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0x7dbcbe…
05-21 13:58:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	186	59¢	$110	0xea2662…
05-19 16:47:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xc57862…
05-19 09:43:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2233e1…
05-19 07:56:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xa3466c…
05-19 07:36:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x3226bd…
05-19 07:33:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x57b7dd…
05-19 04:50:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	820	20¢	$164	0x652bef…
05-18 18:25:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x5a972c…
05-17 20:09:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xa482f4…
05-17 20:02:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb9402a…
05-17 04:24:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbdfbfc…
05-16 17:03:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0xcceb4b…
05-16 10:38:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	170	22¢	$37	0x3ef16d…
05-16 09:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x957352…
05-16 09:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4305fe…
05-16 09:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x31b78b…
05-16 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x9ef200…
05-16 09:29:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x669e4c…
05-15 14:57:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x6d3a4d…
05-15 14:46:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,206	12¢	$145	0xaca402…
05-15 14:45:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	186	48¢	$89	0x994636…
05-15 13:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	210	96¢	$202	0xf39a41…
05-15 12:08:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0xc55ecf…
05-15 12:08:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe80a44…
05-15 02:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xd07868…
05-15 02:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x33f55d…
05-15 01:33:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x068d09…
05-15 01:22:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x530d5e…
05-15 01:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xfe1b0d…
05-15 01:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x977d6e…
05-15 00:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x1482b5…
05-15 00:53:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x448bb7…
05-15 00:40:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa6de81…
05-15 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4c8cd8…
05-15 00:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	196	77¢	$151	0x6f298a…
05-15 00:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xdc7fa6…
05-15 00:24:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	150	91¢	$136	0x8e9643…
05-15 00:20:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xcaa5f3…
05-15 00:20:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	177	98¢	$173	0x413e00…
05-15 00:18:16	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xf0a179…
05-15 00:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x76deb9…
05-15 00:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9961b2…
05-15 00:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3ee275…
05-15 00:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xefebe3…
05-15 00:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xae7527…
05-15 00:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a1518…
05-15 00:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x99e4d5…
05-15 00:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa432a4…
05-15 00:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd1a644…
05-14 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2d539d…
05-14 23:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4630d2…
05-14 17:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc6a09…
05-14 17:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd0ff2b…
05-14 17:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c74e9…
05-14 17:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x321d83…
05-14 17:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7dfb5b…
05-14 17:22:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x1301ef…
05-14 16:57:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd79483…
05-14 16:57:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0xf11440…
05-14 16:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9ac7f1…
05-13 13:02:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x740a53…
05-13 09:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x51feb5…
05-13 09:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x8c07ac…
05-13 09:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9408fd…
05-13 09:29:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xc3323b…
05-12 17:30:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0xf020c1…
05-10 20:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x32629c…
05-10 19:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xa1d360…
05-10 19:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xf6b23f…
05-10 19:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8b0b29…
05-10 19:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x2aeacb…
05-10 19:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x10f7ac…
05-10 19:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xf5b39e…
05-10 19:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x19eee1…
05-10 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0abd0c…
05-10 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb6407d…
05-10 16:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xbd8e14…
05-10 16:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9efa80…
05-10 16:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4dc2c9…
05-10 16:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7f898a…
05-10 16:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x56b850…
05-10 16:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xc12966…
05-10 16:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd69a8b…
05-04 08:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xf8d17a…
05-03 12:35:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x34025d…
04-29 17:27:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66ad49…
04-19 14:44:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x978d9f…
04-18 08:39:16	eth updown 5m 1776501300	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x8fb25d…
04-18 08:39:16	eth updown 5m 1776501300	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x02238b…
04-17 13:39:06	eth updown 5m 1776432900	Up	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xeee143…
04-17 13:14:08	eth updown 5m 1776431400	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xeb4583…
04-17 13:14:06	eth updown 5m 1776431400	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfd17ab…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	795	$14.0K	1,837	04-18 08:35
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	777	$450.6K	37,919	05-16 09:47
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	767	$1.69K	3,737	05-15 02:29
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	762	$61.6K	14,315	05-16 09:42
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	753	$61.8K	9,945	05-15 02:29
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	736	$41.1K	7,054	05-15 02:30
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	718	$117.0K	10,614	05-16 09:42
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	710	$490.3K	65,750	04-11 07:55