Light-Fact — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$80

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

516

Trades

829

lifetime

Volume

$160.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

$280

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-12 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

83% 47% +$7,121

Sports

17% 48% +$1,041

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes		+743	$100	26¢	$197	+$97	11-12 01:55
Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes		+175	$100	48¢	$83	-$17	11-10 12:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta sawangk chwalin 2026 06 29	4	$13.9K	7,835	7,835	+0	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	+$1,709	06-29 13:05
atp assche fucsovi 2026 06 29	2	$12.9K	6,865	6,865	+0	Marton Fucsovics	+$858	06-29 11:53
atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	3	$12.1K	10,205	10,205	+0	Zizou Bergs	-$4,455	06-30 15:38
atp jodar shapova 2026 08 15	3	$5.4K	4,690	4,690	+0	Rafael Jodar	-$2,754	08-16 01:58
atp fucsovi tien 2026 07 01	1	$4.0K	7,291	0	+7,291	Marton Fucsovics	+$3,291	07-01 13:19
wta fernand wan 2026 08 16	2	$3.2K	2,458	2,458	+0	Xiyu Wang	+$1,163	08-16 23:13
atp munar atmane 2026 08 30	3	$3.1K	3,574	162	+3,412	Jaume Munar	+$326	08-30 19:28
atp berrett navone 2026 08 03	2	$3.0K	4,064	0	+4,064	Mariano Navone	+$1,014	08-03 23:18
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	1	$3.0K	3,510	0	+3,510	Matteo Arnaldi	+$510	06-03 20:26
atp walton kyrgios 2026 06 22	2	$3.0K	5,883	0	+5,883	Adam Walton	+$2,903	06-22 16:03
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet	6	$2.6K	3,623	1,498	+2,124	Vit Kopriva	+$388	05-26 15:17
atp borges cerundo 2026 08 16	3	$2.5K	3,476	0	+3,476	Nuno Borges	+$974	08-16 19:26
atp paul vallejo 2026 08 17	3	$2.4K	2,541	2,541	+0	Tommy Paul	+$247	08-18 03:43
atp hong basilas 2026 08 25	1	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Seong-Chan Hong	+$2,000	08-25 23:44
wta rakhimo siniako 2026 08 04	1	$2.0K	2,329	0	+2,329	Kamilla Rakhimova	+$329	08-05 00:12
wta stearns tauson 2026 08 15	3	$2.0K	2,511	2,511	+0	Clara Tauson	-$1,103	08-16 03:12
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	4	$1.9K	3,182	0	+3,182	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$1,282	05-28 13:15
atp tomic harri 2026 08 25	3	$1.7K	2,692	0	+2,692	Lloyd Harris	-$1,699	08-25 17:53
atp rinderk cerund 2026 08 16	1	$1.5K	1,852	0	+1,852	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$352	08-16 19:39
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	4	$1.3K	877	877	+0	Casper Ruud	-$21	04-28 15:47
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Giron	5	$1.2K	881	881	+0	Yibing Wu	+$63	05-25 20:24
nba det cle 2026 03 03 spread away 2pt5	8	$1.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	Cavaliers	-$18	03-03 22:29
nba nyk det 2026 01 05	2	$1000	943	943	+0	Pistons	$0	01-06 00:10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$969	923	923	+0	No	-$231	06-17 18:42
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$940	1,593	0	+1,593	Yes	+$653	06-17 19:19
US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea	2	$910	1,379	0	+1,379	Arthur Gea	+$469	09-01 22:30
atp kovacev khachan 2026 08 13	3	$900	1,508	0	+1,508	Aleksandar Kovacevic	+$608	08-15 03:16
atp vukic svajda 2026 07 27	2	$884	897	897	+0	Aleksandar Vukic	+$184	07-27 05:16
nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	1	$878	1,569	0	+1,569	Lakers	+$690	02-08 01:32
atp hijikat monfils 2026 08 13	3	$831	567	567	+0	Rinky Hijikata	+$232	08-14 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 02:32:15	Warriors vs. Rockets	Warriors	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xa24c9b…
11-12 01:55:43	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	743	13¢	$100	0xed3be0…
11-12 00:43:54	Brisbane 3: Cruz Hewitt vs Akira Santillan	Cruz Hewitt	BUY	132	57¢	$75	0xddd4b8…
11-11 22:18:34	Sabalenka vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 22.5	Over	BUY	144	52¢	$75	0xfa1975…
11-11 20:58:34	WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova	Karolina Muchova	SELL	256	83¢	$212	0xb4c358…
11-11 19:51:34	WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova	Karolina Muchova	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x17d173…
11-11 13:41:18	WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova	Karolina Muchova	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x299b5c…
11-11 12:43:30	Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xca4049…
11-11 00:27:13	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x9f83c2…
11-10 15:47:58	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Omar Jasika	Omar Jasika	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x1fe5fa…
11-10 14:24:30	Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu	Pavlos Tsitsipas	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x5732a1…
11-10 13:30:00	atp hewitt santill 2026 11 10	Cruz Hewitt	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x1d5530…
11-10 13:20:04	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Omar Jasika	Omar Jasika	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x333b85…
11-10 13:09:22	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x0704d8…
11-10 12:47:39	Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu	Pavlos Tsitsipas	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8c45c9…
11-10 12:19:06	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x5dc618…
11-10 03:54:31	Brisbane 3: Enzo Aguiard vs Akira Santillan	Akira Santillan	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x091a5c…
11-10 02:56:03	Brisbane 3: Omar Jasika vs Dhakshineswar Suresh	Omar Jasika	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xef9fdf…
11-09 23:21:10	Knoxville: Marcel Latak vs Clement Chidekh	Marcel Latak	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xcb222b…
11-09 15:58:39	Set Handicap: Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Karolina Muchova (+1.5)	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	181	41¢	$75	0x90c890…
11-09 00:49:45	D'Andre Swift: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xff87a4…
11-08 21:52:07	WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula	Coco Gauff	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x5c76f0…
11-08 18:54:42	WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x48a435…
11-07 20:27:19	Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Facundo Acosta	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x616579…
11-07 12:38:06	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Luca Van Assche	BUY	240	25¢	$60	0x2a987d…
11-04 17:13:16	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3251f9…
11-04 16:23:49	Berrettini vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x86ba45…
11-04 16:23:21	Berrettini vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x7b9433…
11-04 16:22:48	Berrettini vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb7a4a2…
11-04 11:29:36	Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	204	86¢	$175	0x9ca9ae…
11-04 10:38:12	Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	204	28¢	$57	0x073bfb…
11-03 14:16:33	Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot	Novak Djokovic	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xfca4a4…
11-03 11:42:21	Nakashima vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xa52721…
11-03 11:12:54	Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x59c5ab…
11-03 05:05:51	Suns vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	144	52¢	$75	0xdff20e…
11-02 23:49:06	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x16595f…
11-02 10:31:58	Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)	Rafael Jodar	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x1c8fa1…
11-01 14:27:28	Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xb9dcdb…
11-01 14:26:16	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf2e50b…
11-01 13:40:30	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Benjamin Bonzi	SELL	318	94¢	$300	0xbc4fc6…
11-01 09:55:22	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xa6d252…
11-01 09:54:37	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	273	55¢	$150	0xa3e5c7…
10-31 12:15:06	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x4cebe0…
10-31 12:14:21	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	SELL	357	55¢	$196	0x9075ad…
10-31 12:11:51	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x1fe3c1…
10-31 08:12:24	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x75b514…
10-29 08:41:47	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	SELL	238	46¢	$110	0xfe920c…
10-29 06:39:13	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xd2f0c7…
10-17 17:11:29	atp fokina jodar 2026 10 18	Rafael Jodar	BUY	384	57¢	$219	0x524aee…
10-17 11:45:42	Derrick Henry: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	120	61¢	$73	0x587db3…
10-17 04:36:35	Derrick Henry: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe1af09…
10-17 03:45:35	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	Rafael Jodar	BUY	319	36¢	$115	0x5f04b6…
10-15 00:45:43	atp gea fokina 2026 10 15	Arthur Gea	BUY	266	50¢	$133	0xc030eb…
10-14 21:58:33	atp gea fokina 2026 10 15	Arthur Gea	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x7c13f1…
10-13 01:27:08	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5,263	2¢	$91	0x246038…
10-12 17:59:38	Jinan: Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic	Dane Sweeny	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x6f617e…
10-12 17:59:09	Jinan: Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic	Dane Sweeny	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xc3d93e…
10-12 17:58:45	Jinan: Dane Sweeny vs Bernard Tomic	Dane Sweeny	BUY	276	49¢	$135	0x3dadf7…
10-09 19:57:11	Derrick Henry: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0xeab6ea…
10-09 19:56:56	Derrick Henry: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x11ed2c…
10-05 15:10:23	wta gauff su 2026 10 04	Xinran Sun	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0xefb5ac…
10-05 14:53:32	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x11abf7…
10-02 11:22:08	China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0xf28757…
09-25 14:33:08	atp faria gaston 2026 09 25	Hugo Gaston	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x8ab4fc…
09-15 19:11:40	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5,263	2¢	$100	0x85fe04…
09-11 11:36:40	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	553	51¢	$282	0x3a1331…
09-11 11:36:18	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	1,176	36¢	$423	0x019bfc…
09-11 02:53:39	US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x190a40…
09-10 20:55:42	Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x636e4c…
09-09 16:55:49	Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa36e14…
09-09 16:55:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xe93291…
09-09 16:54:33	Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xa4f865…
09-09 07:23:18	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	SELL	185	55¢	$102	0x0801dd…
09-09 05:16:09	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	553	36¢	$200	0xf89be2…
09-09 05:10:45	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x5e8ffb…
09-08 16:23:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x6ac0e8…
09-08 16:22:07	AEK vs. LASK Linz: AEK O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x8b8ad7…
09-08 15:29:19	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xef3c95…
09-08 15:28:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x2d24ed…
09-08 15:27:52	Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x1f357a…
09-08 15:27:42	AEK vs. LASK Linz: AEK O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x658dca…
09-08 02:34:51	Phan Thiet 3: Moise Kouame vs Kenta Miyoshi	Moise Kouame	BUY	238	63¢	$150	0x16fb75…
09-07 18:37:15	US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x452235…
09-07 16:20:27	US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Arthur Gea	SELL	366	40¢	$146	0xf5d0df…
09-07 03:09:00	US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Arthur Gea	BUY	366	41¢	$150	0xac2397…
09-06 20:41:19	US Open WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Emma Navarro	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x4dc1f1…
09-06 13:44:07	lol g2 kc 2026 09 06	G2 Esports	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4b583b…
09-05 01:15:09	lol gen hle1 2026 09 05	Gen.G	BUY	254	59¢	$150	0x18e026…
09-03 22:43:24	atp svajda gea 2026 09 03	Zachary Svajda	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbf4b1f…
09-02 23:07:37	US Open ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe	Rei Sakamoto	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x1229cc…
09-02 16:43:18	US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x82c860…
09-02 00:12:25	US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xc4ecb3…
09-01 22:30:30	US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	BUY	1,210	67¢	$810	0x563b26…
09-01 22:28:39	US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x20aa12…
09-01 16:35:00	US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	179	29¢	$52	0xa74b1e…
09-01 16:07:27	Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,176	8¢	$100	0x6f9c57…
09-01 16:05:03	Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	3,448	3¢	$100	0x86caa3…
09-01 16:04:54	Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	1,725	6¢	$100	0x1d07e7…
09-01 16:03:57	US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xeee07f…
09-01 16:02:15	US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8a69bf…