Dismal-Fail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$8.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-09 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 98% +$6

Other

7% 100% +$3

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-19 15:39
bnb up or down on july 27 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	07-27 15:10
solana up or down on july 22 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	07-22 15:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	05-11 20:40
xrp up or down on april 19 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-19 15:39
ethereum up or down on march 24 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	03-24 15:59
bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	08-02 15:39
xrp up or down on march 25 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	03-25 15:10
ethereum up or down on june 30 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	06-30 15:10
wti up or down on august 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	08-07 20:22
wti closes above 85 on july 30 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-30 20:11
wti closes above 74 on july 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-07 20:26
solana up or down on july 4 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-04 15:10
ethereum up or down on march 31 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-31 15:48
xauusd up or down on july 29 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-29 20:11
wti closes above 77 on august 4 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	08-04 20:10
ng up or down on july 27 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-27 20:10
rut up or down on march 19 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-19 19:11
xrp up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:18
googl up or down on april 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-07 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-30 15:53
solana up or down on april 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-24 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-25 15:50
solana up or down on july 8 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-08 15:11
ng up or down on july 21 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-21 20:11
coin up or down on march 23 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-23 19:13
ng up or down on august 4 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	08-04 20:10
wti closes above 82 on august 3 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	08-03 20:29
ng up or down on july 29 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	07-29 20:11
ethereum up or down august 4 2026 1am et	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	08-04 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 17:57:04	ethereum up or down august 9 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0cf884…
08-09 15:22:27	bnb up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x9bace9…
08-09 07:50:12	ethereum up or down august 9 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x00d83d…
08-09 05:58:37	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc8a6f6…
08-09 03:56:48	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb5ab0…
08-09 02:50:40	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x28da20…
08-08 15:53:46	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x48a0e1…
08-08 15:51:01	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x961e62…
08-08 15:10:36	bitcoin up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2a1d2f…
08-08 11:50:06	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x402e4c…
08-08 07:56:33	eth updown 4h 1786161600	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x6b5751…
08-08 06:58:40	solana up or down august 8 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5dca2c…
08-07 20:22:42	wti up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf9a03d…
08-07 11:53:00	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30ed4a…
08-07 09:50:48	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd3fa29…
08-07 06:51:45	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1baea9…
08-07 04:54:12	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3f1eb…
08-07 04:12:39	eth updown 15m 1786075200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf76e1…
08-07 03:52:55	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x18a314…
08-06 23:52:38	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb14cc5…
08-06 23:50:06	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf62126…
08-06 23:43:11	eth updown 15m 1786059000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54d631…
08-06 20:53:20	wti closes above 78 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xbd5d43…
08-06 20:53:17	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xdfa870…
08-06 20:53:15	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ed079…
08-06 17:51:32	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x749a2d…
08-06 16:53:57	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d3df7…
08-06 12:50:33	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7cbe53…
08-06 07:50:29	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xedea50…
08-06 05:50:30	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c3980…
08-06 05:50:23	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8daf94…
08-05 21:50:30	solana up or down august 5 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcffa6b…
08-05 21:50:18	solana up or down august 5 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf08faa…
08-05 21:50:15	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb395d…
08-05 20:50:41	ethereum up or down august 5 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1e6777…
08-05 09:53:33	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x26ed87…
08-05 08:52:36	solana up or down august 5 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x75bc53…
08-05 07:50:14	ethereum up or down august 5 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcfcac3…
08-04 23:52:24	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87a5d2…
08-04 20:10:48	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x910612…
08-04 20:10:47	wti closes above 77 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54967f…
08-04 12:52:02	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x38fb24…
08-04 11:50:44	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8b2a7…
08-04 11:50:09	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x110688…
08-04 05:50:18	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfbef7a…
08-04 05:50:15	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe386fe…
08-04 00:52:53	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbbd0e2…
08-03 20:53:12	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc2cbe6…
08-03 20:29:17	wti closes above 82 on august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa6b60a…
08-03 17:51:18	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x636602…
08-03 15:42:27	xrp up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xf67d22…
08-03 15:11:26	bitcoin up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf7005f…
08-03 14:50:35	xrp up or down august 3 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f2c16…
08-03 14:50:33	solana up or down august 3 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc2a8be…
08-03 08:51:12	xrp up or down august 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab7a9a…
08-03 04:53:08	dogecoin up or down august 3 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf75346…
08-02 23:52:12	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9de147…
08-02 22:50:26	ethereum up or down august 2 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e9dbb…
08-02 18:51:54	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9dcf25…
08-02 17:53:03	xrp up or down august 2 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6ba61…
08-02 16:51:03	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa710e6…
08-02 15:39:06	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd5c2f1…
08-01 23:44:03	eth updown 15m 1785627000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7fd729…
08-01 13:50:20	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5ab78…
08-01 08:51:56	ethereum up or down august 1 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8649d6…
08-01 06:58:00	solana up or down august 1 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8de6e0…
08-01 03:53:36	solana up or down july 31 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e29bf…
08-01 01:57:09	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xcbd50d…
07-31 23:51:45	eth updown 4h 1785528000	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xed9512…
07-31 20:53:27	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8158a3…
07-31 10:50:14	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x81c97f…
07-31 07:51:27	xrp up or down july 31 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d621f…
07-31 06:59:12	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8a1576…
07-30 21:58:48	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc2023…
07-30 21:58:42	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1c35e2…
07-30 20:11:27	wti closes above 85 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcfee81…
07-30 19:52:53	xrp updown 4h 1785427200	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa7ce5d…
07-30 19:50:36	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x38dab3…
07-30 15:11:24	ethereum up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xffd76b…
07-30 09:51:00	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x336d6d…
07-29 20:11:24	ng up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xed91e8…
07-29 20:11:21	xauusd up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf7c7e9…
07-29 13:53:50	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xaeb0e8…
07-29 08:51:17	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e3b0b…
07-28 16:57:53	eth updown 15m 1785257100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b3bfc…
07-28 16:57:50	xrp updown 15m 1785257100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6247a3…
07-28 06:43:15	btc updown 15m 1785220200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa491c7…
07-28 05:50:58	solana up or down july 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfd104a…
07-28 04:42:12	btc updown 15m 1785213000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x69d6f8…
07-28 01:50:18	solana up or down july 27 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf58662…
07-28 01:50:15	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2f88e3…
07-27 20:10:36	ng up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xee5d11…
07-27 15:25:31	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x41cadc…
07-27 15:10:07	bnb up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe0f176…
07-27 15:10:04	xrp up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x177e9d…
07-27 09:13:39	sol updown 15m 1785142800	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x26d64d…
07-27 08:57:24	xrp up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdf8e32…
07-27 08:57:16	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdd46f0…
07-27 07:56:45	sol updown 4h 1785124800	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8d6527…
07-27 07:51:54	xrp up or down july 27 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc1d561…