Dismal-Fail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-09 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 98% +$6

Other

5% 100% +$3

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-19 15:39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	05-11 20:40
xrp up or down on april 19 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-19 15:39
ethereum up or down on march 24 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	03-24 15:59
xrp up or down on march 25 2026	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	03-25 15:10
solana up or down on april 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-24 15:14
coin up or down on march 23 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-23 19:13
rut up or down on march 19 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-19 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-30 15:53
ethereum up or down on march 31 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-31 15:48
Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-25 15:50
googl up or down on april 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-07 19:20
xrp up or down on april 9 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:18
meta up or down on march 19 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-19 19:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	1	$20	21	+21	Yes	+$1	05-11 20:24
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-25 15:10
ethereum up or down on march 25 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-25 15:10
BNB Up or Down on May 10?	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-10 15:13
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-13 20:11
xrp up or down on april 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-24 15:40
solana up or down on april 4 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-04 15:13
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	06-01 20:32
hood up or down on april 7 2026	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-07 19:20
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-25 11:51
eth updown 4h 1775606400	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-08 03:52
xrp updown 4h 1775635200	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-08 11:51
btc updown 4h 1775044800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-01 15:57
btc updown 4h 1775721600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-09 11:50
eth updown 4h 1774800000	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	03-29 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-10 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:43:43	eth updown 15m 1781044200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d6861…
06-09 22:29:36	btc updown 15m 1781043300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xccbef1…
06-09 20:29:34	sol updown 15m 1781036100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cacd1…
06-09 19:57:13	btc updown 15m 1781034300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x22a522…
06-09 18:51:01	solana up or down june 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb2858…
06-05 06:42:24	eth updown 15m 1780641000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8f31f…
06-05 06:42:21	xrp updown 15m 1780641000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbab2bd…
06-04 18:43:07	btc updown 15m 1780597800	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x16c16e…
06-04 05:50:34	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5348a7…
06-03 23:43:34	eth updown 15m 1780529400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfeae93…
06-03 18:43:03	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95e5d2…
06-02 21:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd2565b…
06-02 21:51:20	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x83db1f…
06-02 21:50:13	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdc9aa5…
06-02 21:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x048fc6…
06-02 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4c4c1d…
06-02 09:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x55f19e…
06-01 20:32:37	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd7098d…
06-01 16:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6aa3cc…
06-01 03:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x290c25…
05-31 21:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x96a43d…
05-31 18:50:24	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe68d2c…
05-31 17:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x695866…
05-31 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd00b02…
05-31 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5885b9…
05-31 05:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x723937…
05-30 23:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e93ab…
05-30 17:52:28	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce251e…
05-30 15:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcaf944…
05-30 15:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4f22ba…
05-28 12:50:09	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x141fab…
05-28 12:29:33	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ad4f1…
05-28 10:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x115ed3…
05-27 23:51:36	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ad3d5…
05-27 16:50:54	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d7f4a…
05-27 16:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd49238…
05-27 15:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd312e1…
05-27 15:42:34	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x700d63…
05-27 15:28:57	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02c6ca…
05-27 12:55:04	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf09c7c…
05-27 11:27:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x47fc79…
05-27 06:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4f4736…
05-27 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4d65c0…
05-26 20:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b5258…
05-26 04:42:42	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ce0ac…
05-25 14:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa489aa…
05-14 07:50:16	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3265fd…
05-14 05:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde33f0…
05-13 21:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xecaeb9…
05-13 20:51:05	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0f748d…
05-13 20:11:54	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x40f207…
05-13 16:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2bf310…
05-13 13:53:49	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x982a87…
05-13 11:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe27c2a…
05-13 09:52:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7e5701…
05-13 09:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a0e7b…
05-13 05:13:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf60cf6…
05-13 04:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7d0e6…
05-13 02:28:22	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ead3a…
05-13 02:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcb86bb…
05-13 02:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeec716…
05-12 21:57:23	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf7960a…
05-12 21:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0dfc92…
05-12 12:52:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7e4657…
05-12 12:50:32	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e2690…
05-12 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x010451…
05-12 05:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbaa0fb…
05-12 03:52:34	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc22c00…
05-12 01:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfb2062…
05-12 00:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x46fe48…
05-12 00:55:12	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4f783…
05-11 22:52:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfbabce…
05-11 20:40:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x58bacc…
05-11 20:24:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa6bec8…
05-11 14:54:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x335e95…
05-11 02:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x021ee7…
05-11 02:50:36	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc9fcc1…
05-10 23:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x892857…
05-10 23:50:10	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9da5d6…
05-10 23:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x584889…
05-10 22:43:09	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd90697…
05-10 22:42:51	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x402890…
05-10 21:53:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x59de63…
05-10 21:12:47	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef2665…
05-10 19:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7be1d8…
05-10 19:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x915fd2…
05-10 17:50:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90dc3d…
05-10 16:53:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x91c66a…
05-10 15:13:15	BNB Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd931dc…
05-10 12:28:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb355c9…
05-10 11:27:21	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x318b45…
05-10 05:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b0468…
05-10 03:56:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2aa812…
05-10 03:44:16	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb062e…
05-10 02:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb34fd7…
05-10 00:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x995fbd…
05-09 22:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x776ad2…
05-09 19:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x619c11…
05-09 16:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4cdfb8…
05-09 13:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6046d5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	365	$96.5K	8,018	06-02 21:49
Sweet-Convection 0xc0ff…136b	300	$5.44K	1,160	06-09 20:14
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	291	$76.1K	4,567	06-09 18:36
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	282	$210.6K	47,568	06-09 18:48
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	277	$33.1K	3,328	06-09 18:19
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	251	$17.2K	4,684	06-09 18:19
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	240	$713	299	06-04 04:01
Funny-Credential 0x0dfa…c0e3	228	$32.8K	272	04-25 11:45