Pale-Destiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$5.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-16 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 29% $-246

Other

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$473	686	256	+430	Up	+$33	05-04 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$380	283	283	+0	Up	+$180	05-04 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$248	170	170	+0	Up	+$88	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$185	599	412	+187	Up	$-15	05-04 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$174	125	125	+0	Down	+$74	05-04 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$169	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$165	116	116	+0	Down	+$65	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$156	253	103	+150	open	—	05-04 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$154	106	106	+0	Down	+$54	05-04 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$153	104	104	+0	Up	+$53	05-04 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$144	125	125	+0	open	—	05-04 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$140	206	0	+206	Down	$-140	05-05 17:23
btc updown 5m 1780531500	2	$132	71	71	+0	open	—	06-04 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$108	86	86	+0	open	—	05-30 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	05-31 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$100	232	0	+232	Down	$-100	05-04 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	282	0	+282	Down	$-100	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$95	65	65	+0	open	—	05-31 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$76	62	62	+0	open	—	05-04 09:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$74	65	65	+0	open	—	02-13 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$62	65	65	+0	open	—	06-02 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$60	115	0	+115	Down	$-60	05-04 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$60	130	0	+130	open	—	05-04 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$60	1,274	0	+1,274	open	—	05-04 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	06-02 14:31
btc updown 5m 1783829400	3	$54	74	24	+50	open	—	07-12 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$50	152	0	+152	Up	$-50	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	06-02 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	$-50	05-05 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$50	102	0	+102	Down	$-50	05-04 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 23:14:37	btc updown 5m 1784243400	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb97cde…
07-16 23:13:08	btc updown 5m 1784243400	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x0470f1…
07-16 23:06:34	btc updown 5m 1784243100	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x7af6bd…
07-16 23:06:10	btc updown 5m 1784242800	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x829691…
07-16 23:01:07	btc updown 5m 1784242800	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x419144…
07-16 22:59:19	btc updown 5m 1784242500	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb292d0…
07-16 22:55:35	btc updown 5m 1784242500	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x09f106…
07-16 22:55:14	btc updown 5m 1784242200	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7a5b87…
07-16 22:53:22	btc updown 5m 1784242200	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x99f284…
07-16 22:50:37	btc updown 5m 1784241900	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0454bc…
07-16 22:48:10	btc updown 5m 1784241900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xccbc3f…
07-15 19:15:34	btc updown 5m 1784142600	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa76fc8…
07-15 19:11:17	btc updown 5m 1784142600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3463b6…
07-15 19:05:47	btc updown 5m 1784142300	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfcdd9f…
07-15 18:50:52	btc updown 5m 1784141400	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3a728…
07-15 18:44:41	btc updown 5m 1784140800	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc2e99c…
07-15 18:42:13	btc updown 5m 1784140800	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x3756ae…
07-12 19:39:07	btc updown 5m 1783884900	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xee7a77…
07-12 19:34:19	btc updown 5m 1783884600	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x61463b…
07-12 19:32:01	btc updown 5m 1783884600	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0f3c77…
07-12 19:30:22	btc updown 5m 1783884300	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2936af…
07-12 19:29:20	btc updown 5m 1783884300	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x611d2b…
07-12 10:16:01	btc updown 5m 1783851300	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2b489e…
07-12 10:10:22	btc updown 5m 1783850700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x00c60f…
07-12 10:07:56	btc updown 5m 1783850700	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x916d34…
07-12 10:05:25	btc updown 5m 1783850400	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x503e93…
07-12 10:04:32	btc updown 5m 1783850400	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4f99d3…
07-12 10:01:10	btc updown 5m 1783850100	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd35418…
07-12 09:58:34	btc updown 5m 1783850100	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x56a017…
07-12 09:53:04	btc updown 5m 1783849800	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xade6ec…
07-12 04:48:23	btc updown 5m 1783831500	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4fd19f…
07-12 04:34:01	btc updown 5m 1783830600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe6adcb…
07-12 04:15:41	btc updown 5m 1783829700	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xc7f840…
07-12 04:15:22	btc updown 5m 1783829400	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x70dc99…
07-12 04:14:44	btc updown 5m 1783829400	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb33e6f…
07-12 04:13:44	btc updown 5m 1783829400	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x97ac3e…
07-12 04:08:53	btc updown 5m 1783829100	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5fcefe…
07-12 04:07:44	btc updown 5m 1783829100	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc5936c…
07-12 04:05:29	btc updown 5m 1783828800	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x111dbb…
07-12 03:40:14	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xb32d07…
07-12 01:42:53	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x563d9e…
07-11 23:51:13	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x057848…
07-11 23:50:50	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x87f77a…
07-11 23:49:59	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x21157b…
06-04 00:25:31	btc updown 5m 1780532700	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xbf30c9…
06-04 00:24:37	btc updown 5m 1780532400	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaecd6c…
06-04 00:23:57	btc updown 5m 1780532400	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x93101e…
06-04 00:22:45	btc updown 5m 1780532400	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5917a3…
06-04 00:17:03	btc updown 5m 1780532100	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb915c8…
06-04 00:16:52	btc updown 5m 1780532100	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8b826e…
06-04 00:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x97df75…
06-04 00:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x3b1f45…
06-04 00:13:13	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8689b5…
06-04 00:11:34	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x97a809…
06-04 00:11:01	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x85a8e5…
06-04 00:09:34	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	BUY	71	89¢	$63	0xdd9f88…
06-02 23:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x4d8ace…
06-02 23:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	54	41¢	$22	0xc10328…
06-02 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xf2782b…
06-02 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0xc10464…
06-02 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x81945b…
06-02 19:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x92549d…
06-02 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x61132f…
06-02 19:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x6936b9…
06-02 19:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf44b2f…
06-02 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xde8e72…
06-02 18:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x022c6b…
06-02 18:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xc57bfa…
06-02 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5169f7…
06-02 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x3c9d29…
06-02 17:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xad48ee…
06-02 17:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdecee4…
06-02 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xde2eca…
06-02 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6ac4c7…
06-02 15:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	61	21¢	$13	0x092fc0…
06-02 15:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdb3949…
06-02 15:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x000a5f…
06-02 15:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x783c4e…
06-02 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x081228…
06-02 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x30e3fe…
06-02 14:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x98f187…
06-02 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x9bb303…
06-02 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0xfdcdd8…
05-31 14:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x7f70e8…
05-31 13:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x1fa2d6…
05-31 13:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x3e9cd0…
05-31 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x05762d…
05-31 13:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x7d64a9…
05-31 13:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x26dbba…
05-30 20:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	86	86¢	$73	0x558c2f…
05-30 20:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x806c2c…
05-30 20:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x71d4fa…
05-30 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9482fa…
05-05 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x17836a…
05-05 17:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	206	68¢	$140	0x168d97…
05-05 17:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcc8133…
05-05 17:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x472ee3…
05-04 23:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xc1e1b5…
05-04 23:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x3f023d…
05-04 23:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xe31acc…