Pale-Destiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$5.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-04 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 29% $-246

Other

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$473	686	256	+430	Up	+$33	05-04 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$380	283	283	+0	Up	+$180	05-04 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$248	170	170	+0	Up	+$88	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$185	599	412	+187	Up	$-15	05-04 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$174	125	125	+0	Down	+$74	05-04 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$169	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$165	116	116	+0	Down	+$65	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$156	253	103	+150	open	—	05-04 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$154	106	106	+0	Down	+$54	05-04 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$153	104	104	+0	Up	+$53	05-04 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$144	125	125	+0	open	—	05-04 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$140	206	0	+206	Down	$-140	05-05 17:23
btc updown 5m 1780531500	2	$132	71	71	+0	open	—	06-04 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$108	86	86	+0	open	—	05-30 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	05-31 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$100	232	0	+232	Down	$-100	05-04 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	282	0	+282	Down	$-100	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$95	65	65	+0	open	—	05-31 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$76	62	62	+0	open	—	05-04 09:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$74	65	65	+0	open	—	02-13 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$62	65	65	+0	open	—	06-02 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$60	115	0	+115	Down	$-60	05-04 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$60	1,274	0	+1,274	open	—	05-04 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$60	130	0	+130	open	—	05-04 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	06-02 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$50	152	0	+152	Up	$-50	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	06-02 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	$-50	05-05 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$50	102	0	+102	Down	$-50	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	$-50	05-04 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:25:31	btc updown 5m 1780532700	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xbf30c9…
06-04 00:24:37	btc updown 5m 1780532400	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaecd6c…
06-04 00:23:57	btc updown 5m 1780532400	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x93101e…
06-04 00:22:45	btc updown 5m 1780532400	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5917a3…
06-04 00:17:03	btc updown 5m 1780532100	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb915c8…
06-04 00:16:52	btc updown 5m 1780532100	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x8b826e…
06-04 00:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x97df75…
06-04 00:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x3b1f45…
06-04 00:13:13	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8689b5…
06-04 00:11:34	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x97a809…
06-04 00:11:01	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x85a8e5…
06-04 00:09:34	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	BUY	71	89¢	$63	0xdd9f88…
06-02 23:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x4d8ace…
06-02 23:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	54	41¢	$22	0xc10328…
06-02 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xf2782b…
06-02 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0xc10464…
06-02 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x81945b…
06-02 19:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x92549d…
06-02 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x61132f…
06-02 19:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x6936b9…
06-02 19:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf44b2f…
06-02 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xde8e72…
06-02 18:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x022c6b…
06-02 18:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xc57bfa…
06-02 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5169f7…
06-02 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x3c9d29…
06-02 17:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xad48ee…
06-02 17:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdecee4…
06-02 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xde2eca…
06-02 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6ac4c7…
06-02 15:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	61	21¢	$13	0x092fc0…
06-02 15:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdb3949…
06-02 15:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x000a5f…
06-02 15:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x783c4e…
06-02 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x081228…
06-02 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x30e3fe…
06-02 14:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x98f187…
06-02 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x9bb303…
06-02 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0xfdcdd8…
05-31 14:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x7f70e8…
05-31 13:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x1fa2d6…
05-31 13:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x3e9cd0…
05-31 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x05762d…
05-31 13:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x7d64a9…
05-31 13:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x26dbba…
05-30 20:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	86	86¢	$73	0x558c2f…
05-30 20:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x806c2c…
05-30 20:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x71d4fa…
05-30 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9482fa…
05-05 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x17836a…
05-05 17:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	206	68¢	$140	0x168d97…
05-05 17:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcc8133…
05-05 17:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x472ee3…
05-04 23:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xc1e1b5…
05-04 23:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x3f023d…
05-04 23:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xe31acc…
05-04 23:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xd1717c…
05-04 23:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x7e0ce7…
05-04 22:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x464f8f…
05-04 22:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x7fd889…
05-04 22:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0xf49570…
05-04 22:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x04b80b…
05-04 22:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xfc0625…
05-04 22:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xe24ff3…
05-04 22:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x2153fc…
05-04 22:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x456ccf…
05-04 22:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x549ccc…
05-04 22:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xbc38f2…
05-04 21:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x4b3ce0…
05-04 21:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xa0e902…
05-04 21:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	282	35¢	$100	0xddaea4…
05-04 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	256	99¢	$253	0xd4b04c…
05-04 21:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	430	5¢	$20	0x0951ad…
05-04 21:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x201152…
05-04 21:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x5ec87c…
05-04 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x6c9e5c…
05-04 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	187	16¢	$30	0xe360c2…
05-04 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	412	21¢	$85	0x6dd0a3…
05-04 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	263	11¢	$30	0xecfaaa…
05-04 21:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x7ae080…
05-04 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xa0a572…
05-04 21:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	283	99¢	$280	0xe1648a…
05-04 20:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	283	35¢	$100	0x4d0a97…
05-04 20:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x056c28…
05-04 17:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xde13db…
05-04 17:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe4ca01…
05-04 16:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0xe607db…
05-04 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfa1ca3…
05-04 16:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	274	18¢	$50	0x79fef3…
05-04 16:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x84c8e3…
05-04 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x174512…
05-04 16:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x6eb721…
05-04 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x529f90…
05-04 16:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf5e080…
05-04 12:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xff32a6…
05-04 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x606d40…
05-04 11:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6265ca…
05-04 09:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x536307…
05-04 09:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x62db9e…
05-03 23:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x121757…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	73	$31.7K	4,010	06-04 00:27
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	72	$23.4K	3,210	06-04 00:27
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	69	$180.1K	7,530	06-04 00:28
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	69	$25.0K	453	06-04 00:22
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	69	$23.5K	6,046	06-04 00:27
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	69	$19.5K	5,126	06-04 00:27
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	68	$48.9K	1,984	06-04 00:28
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	68	$5.86K	1,258	06-04 00:27