Sardonic-Radish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

560

Trades

1,544

lifetime

Volume

$83.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-26 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 63% +$1,152

Other

1% 50% -$3

Sports

0% 40% $0

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	13	$5.1K	7,837	7,837	+0	Up	+$1,128	02-02 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:45 UTC	3	$3.3K	2,032	2,010	+22	Down	+$430	02-10 20:58
bitcoin up or down on february 5	33	$2.2K	6,192	6,192	+0	Down	+$26	02-05 09:15
bitcoin up or down january 31 1pm et	7	$2.1K	1,324	1,324	+0	Down	+$62	01-31 18:59
bitcoin up or down february 28 9am et	18	$2.1K	2,353	2,353	+0	Down	+$56	02-28 14:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:45 UTC	2	$2.1K	2,132	2,100	+33	Up	+$125	03-04 18:47
bitcoin up or down march 4 11pm et	2	$2.0K	1,235	1,235	+0	Up	+$115	03-05 04:23
bitcoin up or down february 1 11am et	2	$2.0K	1,786	1,786	+0	Down	+$144	02-01 16:25
bitcoin up or down on march 1	13	$2.0K	1,830	1,830	+0	Up	+$86	02-28 18:14
bitcoin up or down february 16 5am et	18	$1.8K	1,138	1,138	+0	Down	+$390	02-16 10:40
bitcoin up or down on february 10	4	$1.2K	1,796	1,796	+0	Down	-$758	02-10 10:42
bitcoin up or down on march 9	5	$1.2K	1,971	1,941	+31	Up	-$782	03-09 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 01:15 UTC	5	$1.1K	589	588	+1	Down	+$59	02-16 01:28
bitcoin up or down on january 31	6	$1.0K	1,173	1,173	+0	Down	+$840	01-31 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:45 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,014	0	+1,014	Down	+$7	03-01 08:54
bitcoin up or down on april 10 2026	15	$999	1,064	1,045	+19	Up	-$174	04-10 16:04
bitcoin up or down on february 7	8	$994	1,389	1,389	+0	Down	-$29	02-07 14:15
bitcoin up or down february 12 3am et	77	$982	762	762	+0	Down	+$357	02-12 08:54
bitcoin up or down february 28 11am et	11	$964	800	800	+0	Up	-$29	02-28 16:45
bitcoin up or down on february 11	15	$906	4,056	4,056	+0	Down	-$294	02-11 14:57
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	8	$865	806	794	+11	Up	+$15	03-30 07:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 17:45 UTC	2	$856	1,046	997	+49	Up	+$164	04-22 17:47
bitcoin up or down on february 8	2	$805	879	879	+0	Up	+$5	02-08 04:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:15 UTC	2	$695	525	510	+15	Down	+$75	04-22 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 03:25 UTC	1	$651	665	0	+665	Down	+$13	02-16 03:29
bitcoin up or down february 10 3pm et	6	$626	1,513	1,513	+0	Down	-$407	02-10 20:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 07:45 UTC	2	$621	316	316	+0	Up	+$4	02-12 08:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	2	$619	438	428	+11	Down	+$55	04-22 15:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-29 05:00 UTC	4	$608	675	675	+0	Down	+$27	01-29 06:09
bitcoin up or down on january 28	7	$523	683	683	+0	Up	+$22	01-28 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:29:54	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$27	0xbee2f3…
10-26 03:03:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x67ab00…
10-26 02:48:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x41bdf9…
10-25 12:46:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0xceb553…
10-25 12:46:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x248862…
10-24 10:44:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5973ed…
10-23 14:28:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x39c7d6…
10-23 14:28:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0xd07aa6…
10-23 14:28:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf3f76a…
10-23 14:27:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xf31cb5…
10-23 13:55:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x587349…
10-23 13:55:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xa5f89d…
10-23 08:00:45	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xe578cb…
10-23 05:26:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x8a5769…
10-22 09:54:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x872acc…
10-22 02:25:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	39	32¢	$12	0x9194c2…
10-22 01:52:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0xb295cf…
10-22 01:50:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1cd88f…
10-21 00:56:39	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x1c1247…
10-17 10:01:11	will bitcoin reach 82k on october 17 2026	No	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x24a277…
10-17 07:20:33	will bitcoin reach 82k on october 17 2026	No	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0xf26c9e…
10-16 14:17:40	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	Yes	SELL	36	44¢	$16	0x7da943…
10-16 10:36:25	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0xc06b4f…
10-16 02:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?	Down	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0x4afe32…
10-15 17:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?	Down	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x6c66fc…
10-15 16:45:34	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	30	55¢	$17	0xc1b1b9…
10-15 15:23:10	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc9dd5d…
10-15 15:20:58	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3de5e2…
10-15 15:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Down	SELL	105	12¢	$13	0x7b2644…
10-15 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	105	88¢	$92	0x10450e…
10-14 13:52:48	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x67524c…
10-14 13:52:21	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x9fa7ea…
10-14 13:47:27	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x7487ed…
10-14 13:47:24	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xe9bbb4…
10-14 13:47:24	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe4f5e5…
10-14 10:36:56	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x60e119…
08-06 01:53:20	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0x60f56f…
08-03 07:13:00	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	135	34¢	$46	0x60f949…
07-30 04:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x20bff4…
07-30 04:42:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0xa63279…
07-30 04:38:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	95	17¢	$16	0xab24c4…
07-30 04:06:50	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	95	44¢	$42	0x726129…
06-27 03:39:25	will hyperliquid dip to 52 in june	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xd5d489…
06-23 09:54:35	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xfbe19b…
06-23 06:57:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$3	0x5b52d5…
06-15 17:21:00	Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x17bb81…
06-15 16:14:45	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 15	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xdc0663…
06-15 16:06:51	Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xb02b4a…
06-15 15:54:15	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 15	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2c6c4d…
06-15 08:52:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xefeb1a…
06-15 08:52:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xd380ac…
06-14 14:51:18	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x8f6e82…
06-14 11:56:58	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 14	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x8f5d0d…
06-14 09:40:48	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 14	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xe695c2…
06-11 10:59:57	ethereum up or down on june 11 2026	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0xbec376…
06-11 02:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down on June 11?	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb2fc94…
06-10 09:11:12	will hyperliquid dip to 52 in june	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x8b2f45…
06-10 09:10:39	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x5d2022…
06-10 09:10:34	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x9ae8dc…
06-10 09:10:31	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xdd6157…
06-10 02:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x941dbb…
06-10 02:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xef1a25…
06-09 07:07:03	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x4a22f1…
06-07 12:16:09	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1c46c6…
06-06 02:37:34	will hyperliquid reach 76 in june	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xb8f531…
06-05 02:15:18	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9a8c87…
06-03 14:00:17	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x765724…
06-03 14:00:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8d348f…
06-03 13:59:50	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd0df96…
06-03 13:59:07	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x038f9f…
06-03 13:59:00	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8f5622…
06-03 13:58:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0fc3a5…
06-03 13:58:19	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf7bed7…
06-02 14:28:26	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x0f82f9…
06-02 09:07:24	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x41efd0…
06-02 03:31:38	Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x464d61…
06-01 04:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x004917…
06-01 04:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2c9d2b…
06-01 01:33:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x505f3c…
05-31 14:56:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbce2d0…
05-31 09:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x752c75…
05-31 09:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x004b43…
05-30 14:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe60d25…
05-30 14:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x7d6940…
05-30 14:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8942f2…
05-29 04:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xee4ad9…
05-29 04:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4b4a3f…
05-29 03:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x07bc5e…
05-29 03:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf7b4a1…
05-29 02:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x317dd6…
05-29 00:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5dcdc3…
05-28 15:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa4739c…
05-28 15:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0035a7…
05-28 14:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x641a31…
05-28 14:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0fdf25…
05-15 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8967f2…
05-15 04:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbfe409…
05-15 04:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x6fbc21…
05-10 01:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x4755e8…
05-10 00:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xff2d18…