Brief-Play — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

6.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 8% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up		-5	$-5	100¢	$-5	+$0	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up		+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	05-05 18:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x293d4b…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4162ba…
05-05 05:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x857b6a…
05-05 05:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd75a1…
05-05 04:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf8e96f…
05-05 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd00bf4…
05-05 02:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6b77fa…
05-05 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf61a23…
05-05 00:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x989a22…
05-05 00:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71de82…
05-05 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xabef66…
05-05 00:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5d5885…
05-04 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40c236…
05-04 22:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x172e98…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$2.25K	80	05-05 18:42
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$851	30	05-05 18:42
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	6	$1.92K	28	05-05 18:43
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	5	$1.33K	38	05-05 18:43
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	5	$671	25	05-05 05:15
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	4	$2.99K	7	05-05 18:36
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	4	$569	7	05-05 18:14
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	3	$2.97K	6	05-05 18:36