Brief-Play — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,755

lifetime

Volume

$5.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-21 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 68% $-27

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 380 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774125900	24	$100	115	53	+62	open	—	03-21 20:59
btc updown 15m 1774107000	34	$73	127	75	+51	open	—	03-21 15:44
btc updown 15m 1774118700	19	$68	69	88	-19	open	—	03-21 18:51
btc updown 15m 1774106100	15	$56	115	13	+101	open	—	03-21 15:29
btc updown 15m 1774105200	27	$55	110	0	+110	open	—	03-21 15:12
btc updown 15m 1774121400	11	$50	39	38	+1	open	—	03-21 19:37
btc updown 15m 1774108800	23	$50	90	42	+48	open	—	03-21 16:12
btc updown 15m 1774109700	26	$49	93	16	+76	open	—	03-21 16:22
btc updown 15m 1774134000	12	$46	45	23	+22	open	—	03-21 23:11
btc updown 15m 1774103400	20	$40	79	0	+79	open	—	03-21 14:44
btc updown 15m 1774102500	17	$39	73	0	+73	open	—	03-21 14:24
btc updown 15m 1774133100	10	$36	85	0	+85	open	—	03-21 22:47
btc updown 15m 1774122300	21	$31	61	60	+1	open	—	03-21 19:58
btc updown 15m 1774139400	9	$30	29	16	+12	open	—	03-22 00:32
btc updown 15m 1774114200	19	$29	65	11	+54	open	—	03-21 17:42
btc updown 15m 1774116900	17	$27	45	22	+23	open	—	03-21 18:27
btc updown 15m 1774125000	14	$26	48	9	+39	open	—	03-21 20:41
btc updown 15m 1774120500	11	$24	37	17	+20	open	—	03-21 19:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 01:56
btc updown 15m 1774123200	12	$21	24	23	+0	open	—	03-21 20:11
btc updown 15m 1774134900	9	$19	41	34	+6	open	—	03-21 23:24
btc updown 15m 1774143000	7	$18	26	13	+13	open	—	03-22 01:36
btc updown 15m 1774124100	7	$17	19	11	+7	open	—	03-21 20:24
btc updown 15m 1774116000	9	$17	35	4	+31	open	—	03-21 18:08
btc updown 15m 1774104300	4	$15	35	0	+35	open	—	03-21 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$14	16	0	+16	Up	$-3	05-05 01:12
btc updown 15m 1774319400	4	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	03-24 02:40
btc updown 15m 1774119600	7	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	03-21 19:01
eth updown 15m 1774323000	3	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 03:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$13	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe0ded2…
05-21 01:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc3e754…
05-21 01:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x007ea8…
05-21 01:40:39	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2eb301…
05-21 01:35:48	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xd7912f…
05-21 01:35:10	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbea7fb…
05-21 01:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x85760f…
05-21 01:30:09	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb06113…
05-21 01:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8bf2e3…
05-21 01:25:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x41d861…
05-21 01:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7fd8e3…
05-21 01:20:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3a9828…
05-21 01:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xafadf1…
05-21 01:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xeeaa64…
05-21 01:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8b92fc…
05-21 01:12:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4fc4fd…
05-21 01:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb7d223…
05-20 16:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb7f884…
05-20 15:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x0d29dc…
05-20 15:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x07a2bd…
05-20 00:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe48be0…
05-20 00:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x00b87b…
05-20 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7115a1…
05-20 00:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1f5cb4…
05-20 00:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xde37e0…
05-20 00:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x07b1d2…
05-20 00:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf83979…
05-20 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x23b570…
05-20 00:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4c0837…
05-20 00:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe582c1…
05-20 00:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5a92ba…
05-20 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x758bdc…
05-20 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x430059…
05-19 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x74b017…
05-19 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x70d49a…
05-19 22:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x393ce3…
05-19 22:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x05298b…
05-19 22:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x422741…
05-19 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb89aec…
05-19 22:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2b6cbd…
05-19 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x66e22d…
05-19 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeb5566…
05-19 22:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb0ecf1…
05-19 22:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x10b4c4…
05-19 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe9715d…
05-19 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc268f4…
05-19 22:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x63e9c0…
05-19 22:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x455a29…
05-19 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5fc144…
05-19 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xadbf35…
05-19 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c0035…
05-19 21:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x63e9a4…
05-19 21:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x646e66…
05-19 21:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x677abc…
05-19 21:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb29a1c…
05-19 21:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x930044…
05-19 21:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4ccc6e…
05-19 21:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9f3c72…
05-19 21:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6acebe…
05-19 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xec87ea…
05-19 21:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee2947…
05-19 21:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc58199…
05-19 21:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd0fc50…
05-19 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x95f314…
05-19 20:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x10bd53…
05-19 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7d6538…
05-19 20:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2502b0…
05-19 01:56:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x879f88…
05-19 01:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1eba45…
05-19 00:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe9c252…
05-19 00:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfd272f…
05-19 00:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33efdd…
05-19 00:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1ecd43…
05-18 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa52c7…
05-18 19:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3b5cb6…
05-18 19:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd970d…
05-18 19:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x923495…
05-18 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xecdd0c…
05-18 19:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcf18e0…
05-18 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe4d63f…
05-18 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa7007a…
05-18 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x28945e…
05-18 18:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x066101…
05-18 18:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x017c74…
05-18 18:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x73266b…
05-18 18:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb027e6…
05-18 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4ce4ff…
05-18 17:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x34353a…
05-18 16:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf415dd…
05-18 16:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1c72ce…
05-18 16:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x58be27…
05-18 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa35eb8…
05-18 15:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6dac16…
05-18 15:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8900ba…
05-18 15:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4ee32f…
05-18 15:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x27ad41…
05-18 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71982b…
05-18 15:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8299ac…
05-18 15:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf46aac…
05-18 14:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x092f16…