Ample-Tolerance 0x9106cf…44afcb
whale hot
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$27.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.95K
Hit rate
76.9%
Resolved
1,030
Trades
98,289
lifetime
Volume
$19.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$550.9K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Other
71% 83% +$31,774
Sports
27% 56% -$4,121
Politics
3% 0% -$340
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 475 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +147,775 $136,453 94¢ $138.2K +$1,717 10-29 19:31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +143,690 $104,455 74¢ $105.6K +$1,157 10-29 12:02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +126,056 $83,275 68¢ $85.1K +$1,813 10-28 06:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +77,777 $72,155 92¢ $71.9K -$211 10-29 22:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +126,056 $44,062 32¢ $41.0K -$3,093 10-28 13:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +113,690 $28,695 26¢ $30.1K +$1,433 10-26 03:36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22,223 $20,445 92¢ $20.6K +$111 10-28 20:08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +19,072 $18,780 99¢ $18.9K +$148 09-27 14:53
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +16,400 $11,152 68¢ $11.2K +$82 10-23 13:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +141,485 $10,278 6¢ $9.2K -$1,081 10-30 00:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20,000 $6,600 32¢ $6.3K -$300 10-28 10:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +77,777 $5,444 8¢ $5.8K +$389 10-23 03:02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16,414 $5,253 32¢ $5.2K -$82 10-28 04:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22,223 $1,778 8¢ $1.7K -$111 10-25 17:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +19,054 $161 1¢ $143 -$18 10-03 00:20