Dear-Naturalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-10 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 0% $-1

Other

20% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+26	$1	4¢	$1	$-0	06-10 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	20	$257	249	204	+45	open	—	05-04 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$168	206	206	+0	open	—	05-02 11:24
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 30?	2	$110	65	65	+0	open	—	04-30 22:29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Jan Choinski	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	05-04 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	05-04 09:43
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3	$35	42	42	+0	open	—	05-28 13:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	2	$34	29	29	+0	open	—	05-27 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$29	42	42	+0	open	—	04-30 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 10:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$12	50	50	+0	open	—	05-17 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-02 08:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 12:36
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$7	12	8	+4	open	—	05-16 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 09:51
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-24 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 00:37
Real Racing Club vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-03 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 00:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	$-1	05-09 18:35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguet	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 12:36
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$4	37	17	+20	open	—	05-15 04:52
btc updown 5m 1780773900	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-06 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$2	37	37	+0	open	—	05-04 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$2	54	0	+54	open	—	06-02 16:48
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 21:25:01	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x6b6117…
06-06 21:21:48	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc5dbed…
06-06 19:28:03	btc updown 5m 1780773900	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdb6ac0…
06-06 19:28:01	btc updown 5m 1780773900	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa8507b…
06-06 19:28:01	btc updown 5m 1780773900	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4a1551…
06-06 19:18:33	btc updown 5m 1780773600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbbb41a…
06-06 19:17:40	btc updown 5m 1780773300	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5aec2b…
06-04 15:02:03	wta gormaz turini 2026 06 04	Viola Turini	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc9e6ef…
06-04 10:30:48	wta preston dudeney 2026 06 01	Alicia Dudeney	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x068b0c…
06-04 10:26:58	btc updown 15m 1780568100	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc9f9e9…
06-04 07:35:57	wta preston dudeney 2026 06 01	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x74d3ba…
06-03 18:36:13	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x119310…
06-03 13:55:54	Foggia: Tatiana Pieri vs Sofia Costoulas	Tatiana Pieri	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x71355f…
06-03 13:55:35	Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami	Jacopo Vasami	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x72de00…
06-03 13:55:26	Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak	James McCabe	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x93dd5c…
06-03 13:55:12	Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez	Pedro Martinez	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0b1d26…
06-02 16:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6bc190…
06-02 16:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9b7a27…
06-02 16:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf1ca6f…
06-02 16:45:45	Centurion 2: Tuncay Duran vs Stefano Napolitano	Tuncay Duran	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdf4859…
05-28 13:40:56	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x6c3616…
05-28 13:40:43	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x609f24…
05-28 10:01:41	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x862fac…
05-27 13:18:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0xfb0693…
05-24 18:11:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x27b07a…
05-18 09:48:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x002352…
05-17 21:43:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xb10f06…
05-16 00:52:28	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x612f12…
05-16 00:51:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x1d7d33…
05-16 00:40:27	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x81a0dc…
05-15 22:33:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3e1609…
05-15 17:23:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb3c65f…
05-15 10:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x72e7d7…
05-15 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x97579d…
05-15 05:33:19	Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5bcb2c…
05-15 04:54:30	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd6d3ef…
05-15 04:52:17	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x27d29e…
05-15 00:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8b98dd…
05-14 21:24:54	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x753d16…
05-14 21:23:42	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x95c4dc…
05-14 21:23:35	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x43fc24…
05-14 21:23:32	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xf09dc1…
05-14 21:23:26	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0238ce…
05-14 21:23:21	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x5a4eb9…
05-14 21:21:12	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x68f620…
05-14 21:21:05	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa58c62…
05-14 21:20:42	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x369888…
05-14 21:20:35	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x88fc81…
05-14 21:20:30	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x58aeaa…
05-14 21:20:24	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4fcb14…
05-09 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4a0c4e…
05-09 18:35:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,450	0¢	$1	0x686cde…
05-09 12:32:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,450	0¢	$3	0x2cb6c8…
05-04 12:36:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguet	Juan Martin	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x7b267a…
05-04 12:36:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xeec42e…
05-04 12:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x166e38…
05-04 11:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6824db…
05-04 11:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1cb6bc…
05-04 11:07:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Jan Choinski	Dusan Lajovic	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa48c3f…
05-04 11:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	204	52¢	$107	0x3ae450…
05-04 11:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd7bf8f…
05-04 11:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6763eb…
05-04 11:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4303b2…
05-04 11:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3392d6…
05-04 11:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x949605…
05-04 11:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6b8a2a…
05-04 11:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x38b9b9…
05-04 11:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x207b30…
05-04 11:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x82f6c0…
05-04 11:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4e4e9d…
05-04 11:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x319182…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xfcf8ba…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$20	0xf86aeb…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xca5389…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x75250c…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6474c2…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x44789e…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	54¢	$28	0x442de6…
05-04 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x2312ef…
05-04 10:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xd73b3f…
05-04 10:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe80fcb…
05-04 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x361a22…
05-04 10:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd2035a…
05-04 10:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7befc4…
05-04 10:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1fcd6f…
05-04 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaf4fbe…
05-04 10:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x342b43…
05-04 10:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x29c008…
05-04 10:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xf91232…
05-04 10:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbd03fe…
05-04 10:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfcc4fd…
05-04 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x099cb4…
05-03 21:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7e4307…
05-03 21:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x8dcbbe…
05-03 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x27eda6…
05-03 15:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0x87f160…
05-03 15:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xde22d9…
05-03 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa971d6…
05-03 11:53:30	Real Racing Club vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdfa756…
05-02 14:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x83bcf0…