Grouchy-Polenta 0x913c3f…9b3fb4
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
18
18 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$19
$19 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 05-17 00:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
79% — —
Politics
21% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 05-17 00:38
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +200 $2 1¢ $2 $-0 05-17 00:13
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 05-17 00:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 05-17 00:34
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 05-17 00:30
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:16
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:18
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Yes +2 $1 59¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:18
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:18
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:37
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $1 23¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:22
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:18
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:19
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +13 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:12
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22? Yes +12 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 05-17 00:41