Third-Fringe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

131

Trades

1,573

lifetime

Volume

$4.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-18 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 66% $-32

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 739 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	97	$546	567	567	+0	Yes	+$8	05-08 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	17	$62	60	55	+5	open	—	05-15 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	14	$61	60	30	+30	open	—	05-16 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	22	$43	90	0	+90	open	—	05-15 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	18	$42	65	20	+45	open	—	05-16 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	20	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	05-15 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	20	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	05-15 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	13	$38	40	20	+20	open	—	05-15 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	19	$38	75	0	+75	open	—	05-15 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	16	$34	70	0	+70	open	—	05-15 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	17	$34	70	0	+70	open	—	05-15 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	15	$33	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	15	$32	65	0	+65	open	—	05-16 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	16	$32	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	18	$32	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	12	$32	50	10	+40	open	—	05-16 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	16	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	18	$31	65	0	+65	open	—	05-16 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	15	$31	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	12	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	05-16 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	18	$31	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	16	$31	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	20	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	14	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	15	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	14	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-16 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	14	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	15	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	16	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	12	$28	55	0	+55	open	—	05-15 20:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 09:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xedeadb…
05-18 09:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x78fec8…
05-18 09:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0ae1ae…
05-18 07:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe3c472…
05-18 07:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x92b11a…
05-18 07:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x67d2ca…
05-18 07:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4dd86b…
05-18 07:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb72cdc…
05-18 06:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbbc540…
05-18 06:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x00c7a8…
05-18 05:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5f1d78…
05-18 05:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d147a…
05-18 04:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d2b77…
05-18 04:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa508b3…
05-18 03:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x197bef…
05-18 03:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a2058…
05-18 03:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b964a…
05-18 03:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x79e610…
05-18 03:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb30e1…
05-18 03:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x34d865…
05-18 03:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x72ff15…
05-18 02:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfe062d…
05-18 01:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68e4f8…
05-18 01:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7b252e…
05-18 01:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc38b83…
05-18 01:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd09c73…
05-18 01:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcc0eb8…
05-18 01:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b8ec7…
05-18 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdbbfb9…
05-18 00:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2702ba…
05-18 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x33a204…
05-18 00:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd4d2a7…
05-17 23:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc6cc4c…
05-17 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x830a3d…
05-17 22:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc348de…
05-17 22:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x04d381…
05-17 22:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa76cf6…
05-17 21:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd0a767…
05-17 21:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xa85787…
05-17 20:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3d94fc…
05-17 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1d2a7…
05-17 18:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5b9a39…
05-17 17:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x70bac5…
05-17 17:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7ebfa5…
05-17 16:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x140bf8…
05-17 13:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x930cea…
05-17 12:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3557be…
05-17 12:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x126bb8…
05-17 11:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x339b3a…
05-17 10:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc4aee8…
05-17 05:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x2a5acf…
05-17 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xca923c…
05-17 05:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb9dc36…
05-17 05:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa98673…
05-17 05:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3494b4…
05-17 05:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x905dd1…
05-17 05:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x997153…
05-17 04:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x42677c…
05-17 04:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x56b127…
05-17 04:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa92ae5…
05-17 04:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1ec05f…
05-17 04:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb895c7…
05-17 04:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xefbdf1…
05-17 04:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x7eccc9…
05-17 04:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xec52b5…
05-17 04:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdd7197…
05-17 04:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x350c88…
05-17 04:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0xcadda7…
05-17 04:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0b6b1b…
05-17 04:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x98409c…
05-17 03:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe1ad59…
05-17 03:46:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x201ba7…
05-17 03:46:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x225c57…
05-17 03:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x56a437…
05-17 03:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x32e37b…
05-17 03:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x39d864…
05-17 03:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xb1cc72…
05-17 03:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x214bd5…
05-17 03:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x770f2a…
05-16 20:10:42	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc8bd36…
05-16 14:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x0f0d5d…
05-16 14:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc85343…
05-16 14:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf46c77…
05-16 06:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x85f031…
05-16 06:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x55c94e…
05-16 06:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x567faa…
05-16 06:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xee41b6…
05-16 06:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3b434e…
05-16 06:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcf73a4…
05-16 05:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x040e33…
05-16 05:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd4a6f7…
05-16 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf9bfed…
05-16 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xacb494…
05-16 05:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x365e94…
05-16 05:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1481c9…
05-16 05:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0bd393…
05-16 05:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x22e05c…
05-16 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x5edbbb…
05-16 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0fde30…
05-16 05:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc1b1c6…