Ultimate-Memorial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

126

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-24 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$4

Crypto

44% 100% +$3

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-02 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:58
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-05 01:18
will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 1 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-01 23:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-13 23:17
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	09-27 12:17
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-10 16:15
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-22 15:20
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	04-18 00:43
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	09-19 12:55
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 20	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	04-20 20:09
will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	07-17 14:18
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	08-01 07:53
ethereum above 1700 on august 15 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	08-14 20:49
bitcoin above 68k on april 17	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:08
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	07-11 05:25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-27 12:35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	09-13 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-23 00:20
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-14 02:04
Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-07 08:33
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-09 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	10-05 13:39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-24 01:04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-25 05:53
will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-05 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	07-26 19:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-18 09:17
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-25 19:19
ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:04:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0246f0…
10-23 18:03:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x01296a…
10-23 11:05:27	Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x05df9f…
10-19 00:36:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb3410b…
10-12 18:11:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xcc2ea8…
10-12 08:31:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3d8c61…
10-09 10:57:36	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x57bec3…
10-05 13:39:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1c51f7…
10-01 23:51:27	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd1ae1f…
09-30 22:18:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6a35e3…
09-30 09:31:33	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc08504…
09-27 12:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x41a78c…
09-24 11:55:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcb12fa…
09-23 20:13:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf43a1c…
09-20 09:58:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xff1161…
09-19 12:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa32059…
09-13 15:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x89e168…
09-12 14:21:49	Will Netflix win the most Emmys?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf454b5…
09-05 23:14:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2b4a43…
09-03 05:35:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x346ab3…
09-02 21:45:48	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1155b0…
08-29 16:15:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x341039…
08-27 04:20:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xb187e8…
08-24 13:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x015a5a…
08-22 15:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x23ba44…
08-17 19:35:03	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc4cffd…
08-16 13:54:51	Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa9bafc…
08-15 03:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6e3d3…
08-14 20:49:45	ethereum above 1700 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x45fffb…
08-10 16:15:24	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x37c2b7…
08-01 07:53:11	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x851ea6…
07-29 16:37:15	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe5d0d8…
07-28 22:09:29	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x834417…
07-26 19:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2cce7f…
07-26 05:03:09	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6b324f…
07-23 23:25:43	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 23	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4385c8…
07-17 14:18:09	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf9f381…
07-17 04:11:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa51e27…
07-16 07:21:52	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0966db…
07-13 19:09:25	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 13	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2a37fa…
07-13 03:14:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc65cf6…
07-11 05:25:50	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x631681…
07-10 19:39:16	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa7eae3…
07-10 06:56:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5d0002…
07-10 00:01:38	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x2cdd73…
07-06 08:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6f7413…
07-04 21:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7a1a7b…
07-03 16:03:22	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xebccc8…
07-03 05:40:56	will bitcoin dip to 48k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f1076…
07-03 01:58:25	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc230f4…
07-02 14:24:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8013d8…
07-01 16:47:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0ddaf6…
06-30 21:50:47	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbef295…
06-30 20:35:10	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 30	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2cf908…
06-23 19:05:16	bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48184b…
06-23 02:58:08	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb75a23…
06-21 18:43:08	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa36e23…
06-05 18:29:06	will bitcoin reach 74k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb826dc…
06-02 20:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x637b40…
06-02 02:53:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf628f7…
06-01 05:38:05	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x696c9b…
05-30 20:55:33	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x386912…
05-30 13:48:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x71dd86…
05-30 11:18:38	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2f4b89…
05-27 12:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9c2ff7…
05-25 19:19:50	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xdd33c9…
05-25 05:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x2fff68…
05-23 08:08:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x08d33e…
05-23 00:20:02	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf12ffb…
05-22 06:35:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8d6f2b…
05-22 00:00:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6f9f05…
05-21 10:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7d20f1…
05-21 00:17:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe9ff25…
05-20 13:02:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb6a775…
05-20 05:47:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x74cb51…
05-18 09:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x55bc07…
05-18 07:26:57	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x7a7171…
05-17 08:09:52	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x25bd57…
05-16 18:04:28	Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x99527a…
05-16 00:06:37	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xab02af…
05-13 23:17:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x135a53…
05-13 12:54:05	Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4f4ee2…
05-12 09:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6abb6…
05-12 02:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb175b3…
05-11 21:24:07	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa4c619…
05-11 08:18:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd3f6aa…
05-10 05:10:01	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6e47ce…
05-09 20:50:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xceb9db…
05-09 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x095c17…
05-07 08:33:25	Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8659f7…
05-06 00:04:04	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf76230…
05-05 05:04:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4fd961…
05-04 09:58:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0d084d…
05-03 03:42:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x72a5c0…
05-02 07:54:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4d1126…
05-02 03:16:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x28fdf7…
04-30 18:08:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc7177c…
04-30 15:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7d427e…
04-29 10:08:22	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0d663a…
04-28 21:34:02	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb3e1d9…