Tender-Stress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$413

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$187

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-20 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

57% 70% -$520

Politics

43% 100% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$826	431	431	+0	No	+$34	04-01 20:42
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	2	$760	397	396	+0	Yes	+$32	03-22 19:03
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	2	$454	245	245	+0	Yes	+$37	01-31 08:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	1	$430	693	0	+693	No	-$430	04-05 07:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	2	$403	209	209	+0	Yes	+$14	01-25 15:56
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	2	$347	181	181	+0	No	+$14	01-16 07:24
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	2	$323	167	167	+0	No	+$9	01-15 07:15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	2	$293	156	156	+0	Yes	+$17	05-07 01:55
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$281	294	0	+294	No	+$14	01-20 22:37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$251	139	139	+0	Yes	+$26	05-06 17:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$222	113	113	+0	Yes	+$4	05-03 16:37
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$219	119	119	+0	No	+$19	02-01 08:08
will israel strike gaza on january 4 2026	2	$198	106	106	+0	No	+$8	01-05 14:33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$154	175	0	+175	No	-$154	05-12 19:26
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$148	157	0	+157	No	+$9	01-12 07:49
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$102	109	0	+109	No	-$102	09-20 20:37
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	1	$23	58	0	+58	Yes	+$35	01-08 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 20:37:23	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	109	94¢	$102	0x2822c7…
05-12 19:26:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	88¢	$154	0x51dbf5…
05-07 01:55:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0xc5b634…
05-06 18:03:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	156	89¢	$138	0x145639…
05-06 17:58:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xbef6e5…
05-06 14:19:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	81¢	$112	0x68ab26…
05-03 16:37:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x76a8f4…
05-03 09:41:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	113	96¢	$109	0xc352c8…
04-05 07:26:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	693	62¢	$430	0xb59910…
04-01 20:42:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	431	100¢	$430	0xc7be5e…
03-28 15:14:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	431	92¢	$396	0x2bce40…
03-22 19:03:09	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	Yes	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0xfde5e5…
03-22 09:25:33	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	Yes	BUY	397	92¢	$364	0x02cadd…
02-01 08:08:22	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x17b4fd…
01-31 08:47:38	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x55fb33…
01-25 15:57:18	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	245	85¢	$208	0xc0b5e4…
01-25 15:56:18	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	Yes	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x8d0ed9…
01-25 13:19:24	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	Yes	BUY	209	93¢	$194	0xa2631a…
01-25 09:38:56	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x2c43c7…
01-20 22:37:02	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	284	95¢	$271	0xbe7875…
01-20 22:36:46	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x70e0dc…
01-16 07:24:44	will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x857c11…
01-15 07:47:08	will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	No	BUY	181	92¢	$166	0x4fb553…
01-15 07:15:08	will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	No	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0x531dab…
01-14 09:13:18	will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	No	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x2311e0…
01-12 07:49:02	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0xd5cca4…
01-08 09:50:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	Yes	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0xd5a05a…
01-05 14:33:33	will israel strike gaza on january 4 2026	No	SELL	106	98¢	$103	0x1f83dd…
01-05 11:07:37	will israel strike gaza on january 4 2026	No	BUY	106	90¢	$95	0x541325…