Lost-Wont — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

177

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 09-15 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 51% +$119

Sports

3% 0% -$1

Other

1% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	10	$92	129	111	+18	Up	+$14	04-25 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$59	40	39	+1	Up	+$19	04-26 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$52	62	54	+8	Up	+$10	04-25 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	7	$49	64	58	+6	Up	+$10	04-25 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	8	$45	47	45	+2	Up	+$12	04-25 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$44	41	39	+2	Down	+$11	04-25 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	8	$41	50	48	+2	Up	+$9	04-25 22:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$40	53	53	+0	No	$0	07-11 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$38	56	40	+16	Up	-$1	04-25 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$38	55	52	+3	Up	+$8	04-26 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$36	47	42	+5	Up	+$5	04-25 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$35	65	35	+31	Down	-$5	04-25 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$34	33	16	+16	Up	-$9	04-28 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$34	34	33	+1	Up	+$5	04-25 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$32	35	33	+1	Up	+$4	04-25 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$32	44	28	+17	Up	-$7	04-25 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$30	21	20	+1	Up	+$11	04-25 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	6	$30	23	22	+1	Down	+$5	04-27 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$30	47	31	+16	Up	+$1	04-25 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$30	33	31	+2	Up	+$17	04-25 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$29	41	39	+2	Up	+$1	04-26 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$29	27	26	+1	Up	+$10	04-25 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$28	63	59	+4	Up	+$4	04-27 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$28	42	30	+12	Down	$0	04-25 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$28	29	28	+1	Down	+$1	04-27 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$28	29	28	+1	Up	+$9	04-26 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$28	31	30	+1	Up	-$2	04-25 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	5	$27	95	37	+58	Down	-$3	04-25 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$27	22	21	+1	Down	-$1	04-26 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$27	26	25	+1	Up	+$8	04-26 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x2698ff…
09-15 15:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3f152e…
09-15 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3e29de…
09-15 15:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xc92a10…
09-15 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x18e1d3…
09-15 15:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x4ef8f2…
09-15 15:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe2720e…
09-14 17:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x56dca0…
09-14 17:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdc98e3…
09-14 17:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x185f1f…
09-14 17:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xbe27cb…
09-14 17:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc1cebf…
09-14 17:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb7c3ee…
09-14 17:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x73823f…
09-14 17:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5d62c4…
09-14 17:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x9bb14f…
09-14 17:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa1f8d1…
07-11 03:20:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	53	37¢	$20	0x79059d…
07-10 21:07:41	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xc3d057…
07-10 18:35:56	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x318781…
07-08 14:21:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0xee4234…
07-08 14:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x6f6ad9…
07-08 14:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x2a36a2…
07-08 14:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbee3ee…
07-08 14:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb42729…
07-08 14:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x0dca1d…
07-08 14:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x271803…
07-08 13:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x609bd3…
07-08 13:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x714174…
07-08 13:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xe55e73…
07-08 13:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x9120a1…
07-08 13:17:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x08fcd2…
07-08 13:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x270c57…
07-08 13:11:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x28aba9…
07-08 13:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb2d220…
07-08 13:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x13d024…
07-08 13:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x68280e…
07-08 12:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd03173…
07-08 00:47:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9beeec…
07-08 00:42:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x5b6e2e…
07-08 00:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5810a0…
07-08 00:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9b5daa…
07-06 20:53:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x8503f1…
07-06 19:25:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x815cb4…
07-06 19:24:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0xa21c0a…
07-06 19:23:05	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$5	0xb23aca…
07-03 13:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5f6ef8…
07-03 13:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	56	21¢	$12	0x3b41db…
07-03 13:21:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1c8ec8…
07-03 13:18:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xfdeefe…
07-03 13:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xffc019…
07-03 13:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xff62b1…
07-03 13:07:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	45	35¢	$16	0x99f957…
07-03 13:05:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa7b5e4…
07-03 12:55:23	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa3737a…
07-03 12:53:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd7c1e8…
05-10 09:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa2d674…
05-10 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcd98e7…
05-10 09:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd21c98…
05-10 08:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x8f1100…
05-10 08:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xf54a56…
05-10 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6afe43…
05-10 08:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9333df…
05-09 21:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbcce9f…
05-09 21:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xe4ae54…
05-09 21:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xbeb50a…
05-09 21:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xc13240…
05-09 21:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x276e79…
05-09 21:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0xf1e17e…
05-09 21:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9daeb0…
05-09 21:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x6086f3…
05-09 21:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x74d4d3…
05-09 21:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xc78f88…
05-09 21:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdb33e9…
05-09 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xe7c670…
05-09 20:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5f0779…
05-09 18:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3f57be…
05-09 18:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6735b2…
05-09 18:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xddc405…
05-09 18:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x89ec16…
05-09 18:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0x56c4f3…
04-29 14:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3ea754…
04-29 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x3a6b5a…
04-29 14:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe9415a…
04-29 14:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x424a8b…
04-29 14:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x2126f7…
04-29 14:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x6652d0…
04-29 14:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x643157…
04-29 14:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xef2ab2…
04-29 14:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x056ff7…
04-29 14:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x05ec80…
04-28 10:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x1fd1f4…
04-28 10:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$13	0xfb44a5…
04-28 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x589083…
04-28 10:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9fd0e4…
04-28 10:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xfc6351…
04-28 10:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7097ff…
04-28 10:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8fa6dd…
04-28 10:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x57d0a7…
04-28 10:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x7d15f1…