Neglected-Congressman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-20 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Sports

36% 100% +$5

Politics

13% 50% +$3

Tech

7% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$182	94	94	+0	open	—	03-22 23:09
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	7	$149	94	93	+1	open	—	04-18 09:05
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	7	$98	59	59	+0	open	—	03-17 17:10
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	5	$69	54	41	+14	open	—	03-22 10:58
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	4	$53	40	23	+17	open	—	04-20 21:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	04-17 13:21
btc updown 5m 1773622200	5	$50	4,950	0	+4,950	open	—	03-16 00:55
nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	5	$49	73	0	+73	open	—	04-21 01:03
nhl utah las 2026 04 19	5	$49	72	0	+72	open	—	04-20 04:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$30	72	10	+61	open	—	04-22 09:35
deepseek v4 released by april 24	3	$30	21	11	+10	open	—	04-24 03:24
nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	3	$30	49	0	+49	open	—	04-22 00:18
nhl car ott 2026 04 23	3	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	04-24 01:18
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	3	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 03:30
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	3	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 23:03
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-18 17:55
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	3	$22	46	0	+46	open	—	04-21 04:01
nhl phi pit 2026 04 18	2	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-19 02:07
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17 spread home 2pt5	2	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-17 21:59
nhl lak col 2026 04 19	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-19 21:06
will the next model released by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480 896	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-17 16:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$19	11	10	+1	open	—	03-20 07:36
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-23 14:36
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	3	$19	17	3	+14	open	—	04-24 03:15
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	2	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 14:36
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$18	19	3	+16	open	—	05-05 23:07
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$14	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 19:58
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	4	$14	21	20	+0	open	—	04-20 16:52
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 01:21:12	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x158510…
05-19 22:11:37	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x87c888…
05-14 08:42:48	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8c2947…
05-14 08:42:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x23d0d1…
05-13 03:36:44	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb4aa9e…
05-10 18:43:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0eb011…
05-08 19:01:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x4ca1fb…
05-08 18:45:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x5e9aad…
05-08 18:31:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xfc724e…
05-08 01:47:42	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x0dd131…
05-07 02:46:24	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2590e4…
05-06 01:16:00	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xc9b4d3…
05-05 23:07:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0ccf41…
05-05 16:41:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x115930…
05-05 13:59:04	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xccf9ee…
05-04 21:15:32	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9ad4a3…
04-24 03:27:04	nhl col lak 2026 04 23	Avalanche	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7388d8…
04-24 03:24:26	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7fd7d3…
04-24 03:17:30	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x838a52…
04-24 03:15:18	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd22589…
04-24 02:57:44	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x325a1e…
04-24 02:56:22	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8ae1fe…
04-24 02:55:28	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xff473b…
04-24 01:29:30	nhl buf bos 2026 04 23	Sabres	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x789e09…
04-24 01:18:22	nhl car ott 2026 04 23	Hurricanes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xd0511c…
04-24 01:13:38	nhl car ott 2026 04 23	Hurricanes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x730bbc…
04-24 01:13:28	nhl car ott 2026 04 23	Hurricanes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xc8822f…
04-23 14:36:54	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xb341f1…
04-23 14:36:40	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xc72e29…
04-23 13:49:14	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x9b66e2…
04-23 05:38:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2b1d80…
04-23 03:30:36	nhl dal min 2026 04 22	Wild	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc89133…
04-23 03:29:44	nhl dal min 2026 04 22	Wild	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xec0fb0…
04-23 03:04:02	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Oilers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x24095a…
04-23 02:23:54	nhl dal min 2026 04 22	Stars	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa698c9…
04-23 01:11:38	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xca45f7…
04-23 00:05:48	nhl pit phi 2026 04 22	Penguins	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x24112e…
04-22 23:03:42	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x61a3cc…
04-22 22:43:38	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x48caab…
04-22 09:35:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdd7c9b…
04-22 05:02:56	nhl lak col 2026 04 21	Avalanche	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xd5e5d2…
04-22 03:54:54	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bc310…
04-22 01:11:16	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x147463…
04-22 00:18:12	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Lightning	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc684f9…
04-22 00:11:50	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Lightning	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xbe8bf8…
04-22 00:02:52	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Lightning	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xcdf4df…
04-21 23:23:38	nhl bos buf 2026 04 21	Bruins	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x900ec0…
04-21 19:58:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x2aa0a2…
04-21 19:57:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x283776…
04-21 11:57:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6b8cee…
04-21 04:22:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0f658c…
04-21 04:01:52	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	Ducks	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb102a4…
04-21 01:13:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x0dbe8b…
04-21 01:03:18	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Flyers	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe0202e…
04-21 01:02:54	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Flyers	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1daa90…
04-21 01:02:20	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Flyers	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc2e094…
04-21 00:19:22	nhl ott car 2026 04 20	Hurricanes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2b537d…
04-21 00:03:34	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Flyers	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xa7279c…
04-20 23:08:26	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Penguins	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0ca72e…
04-20 21:29:14	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb600d6…
04-20 16:52:24	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc4029f…
04-20 16:51:38	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0fc0ce…
04-20 10:37:58	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	Ducks	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x0c4cff…
04-20 10:36:02	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	Ducks	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe2947a…
04-20 04:38:24	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Golden Knights	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe226ae…
04-20 04:04:22	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Utah	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x872b4a…
04-20 04:04:12	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Utah	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x267b07…
04-20 04:03:10	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Utah	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbf14f9…
04-20 03:44:44	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xf16ad5…
04-20 03:44:16	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0725d7…
04-20 03:44:12	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xf99017…
04-20 03:06:12	nhl utah las 2026 04 19	Utah	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x102af0…
04-19 21:06:24	nhl lak col 2026 04 19	Avalanche	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc634a3…
04-19 21:04:16	nhl lak col 2026 04 19	Avalanche	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x236e95…
04-19 12:49:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x50df10…
04-19 03:57:46	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7fe67e…
04-19 03:37:32	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd1197b…
04-19 02:07:56	nhl phi pit 2026 04 18	Penguins	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x33478d…
04-19 01:07:00	nhl phi pit 2026 04 18	Penguins	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x557e8a…
04-19 00:54:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xa44aee…
04-18 14:50:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xd9d544…
04-18 09:05:42	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xacade8…
04-18 00:27:44	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x899025…
04-17 23:04:32	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2d14a9…
04-17 22:52:54	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8e34d6…
04-17 22:51:06	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5fa6fb…
04-17 22:49:44	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc4d62a…
04-17 22:15:32	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1e6250…
04-17 21:59:00	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17 spread home 2pt5	Suns	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8f6037…
04-17 21:58:54	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17 spread home 2pt5	Suns	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7a6b45…
04-17 21:58:54	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x1fad2d…
04-17 16:39:04	will the next model released by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480 896	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ba7ac…
04-17 16:32:48	will claude opus 4pt7 by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500 969	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1db696…
04-17 16:29:14	will the next model released by anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480 896	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfaaa0…
04-17 13:21:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc78ed9…
03-22 23:09:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x61cd38…
03-22 10:58:15	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	41	71¢	$29	0xeea5cb…
03-22 10:37:17	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x07b3a5…
03-22 10:33:39	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x43243b…
03-22 10:33:33	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb80ea6…