Gleeful-Kilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

3.2%

Resolved

Trades

713

lifetime

Volume

$8.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-12 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 25% $-3

Other

30% 0% $-0

Tech

8% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes		-1	$-1	88¢	$-1	$-0	05-28 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	14	$580	292	292	+0	open	—	03-29 02:10
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$446	224	224	+0	open	—	03-29 02:17
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$434	218	218	+0	open	—	03-29 02:11
btc updown 5m 1775010000	4	$379	380	366	+14	open	—	04-01 02:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	12	$359	180	180	+0	open	—	04-01 00:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$348	180	180	+0	open	—	03-28 03:12
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	03-29 02:12
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	03-29 02:14
will trump visit china by march 31	8	$230	268	268	+0	open	—	03-28 03:48
btc updown 5m 1774825200	2	$218	121	121	+0	open	—	03-29 23:02
btc updown 5m 1774397700	4	$214	141	141	+0	open	—	03-25 00:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	12	$213	111	105	+6	open	—	03-30 03:02
btc updown 5m 1773277200	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-12 01:03
btc updown 5m 1775009400	2	$192	146	143	+3	open	—	04-01 02:13
btc updown 5m 1775009100	2	$190	113	111	+2	open	—	04-01 02:09
btc updown 5m 1774840800	4	$186	176	173	+3	open	—	03-30 03:24
btc updown 5m 1775009700	2	$182	96	95	+0	open	—	04-01 02:19
will tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in q1 2026	9	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	03-28 03:32
btc updown 5m 1774917000	2	$154	192	188	+3	open	—	03-31 00:33
btc updown 5m 1774840500	2	$145	91	90	+1	open	—	03-30 03:18
btc updown 5m 1774397400	2	$143	126	124	+1	open	—	03-25 00:14
btc updown 5m 1774398600	1	$107	215	0	+215	open	—	03-25 00:32
btc updown 5m 1776484500	2	$106	68	67	+1	open	—	04-18 03:58
btc updown 5m 1776483900	2	$106	58	57	+1	open	—	04-18 03:50
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	13	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	03-14 01:00
btc updown 5m 1773277500	1	$102	134	0	+134	open	—	03-12 01:06
btc updown 5m 1776483000	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	04-18 03:35
btc updown 5m 1775010300	1	$95	517	0	+517	open	—	04-01 02:26
btc updown 5m 1776482700	4	$93	49	49	+0	open	—	04-18 03:31
will trumps approval rating be at least 41pt0 on april 3 2026	9	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	03-29 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:49:31	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7c89a4…
06-01 13:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa63eca…
06-01 00:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x8bc7d0…
06-01 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x096a2f…
06-01 00:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe8b258…
06-01 00:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3f5316…
06-01 00:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x61a767…
06-01 00:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x64c5bb…
06-01 00:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x293b3a…
05-31 22:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9255b…
05-31 22:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe5e1df…
05-31 05:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x898f83…
05-31 05:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa22bd3…
05-31 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa20cc8…
05-31 05:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7fc4be…
05-31 05:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x866c9a…
05-31 05:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x264dc4…
05-30 01:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xea4d2f…
05-30 01:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf59143…
05-30 01:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x69cb8f…
05-29 10:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x159048…
05-29 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8757ee…
05-28 10:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x36be26…
05-28 10:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x303899…
05-28 10:07:29	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x92c63a…
05-28 10:07:22	UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Haddon	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd6a310…
05-28 10:07:12	Will Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe9e802…
05-28 10:06:05	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa9feab…
05-28 10:05:49	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2b8cbc…
05-28 10:05:11	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x1ee20a…
05-28 10:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8c8c14…
05-28 10:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xac52c8…
05-28 09:51:58	Will Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf29703…
05-25 23:38:43	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4be06d…
05-25 23:38:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xdf203b…
05-25 23:38:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x926f68…
05-25 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b71cc…
05-25 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc771bb…
05-25 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc17684…
05-25 10:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7067eb…
05-25 10:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf226c4…
05-25 10:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9ac209…
05-25 10:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5df988…
05-25 10:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff2a0c…
05-25 10:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf7fc2a…
05-25 10:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa0861e…
05-25 10:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x824a13…
05-25 10:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xebf4e1…
05-25 10:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x97612e…
05-25 10:31:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc0e7ce…
05-25 10:30:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x919ed8…
05-25 10:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1c505…
05-25 10:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x765707…
05-25 10:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9b92c0…
05-25 10:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x224b76…
05-25 10:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x86c209…
05-25 09:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe2d71c…
05-25 09:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x591eb2…
05-25 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4ac99…
05-25 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd82dff…
05-25 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x364279…
05-25 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e113a…
05-25 09:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe00bd8…
05-25 09:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x1340ce…
05-25 09:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7519ba…
05-25 09:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93bc5b…
05-25 09:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a041e…
05-25 09:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4aa6c6…
05-25 09:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x278074…
05-25 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x907138…
05-25 09:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x629033…
05-25 09:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3b962f…
05-25 09:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2eb0b8…
05-25 09:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0b50a4…
05-25 09:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x97657c…
05-25 09:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x06e775…
05-25 09:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4d1c5a…
05-25 09:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x49288d…
05-25 09:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd461fa…
05-25 09:42:38	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd28543…
05-25 09:42:29	UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Haddon	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3a7927…
05-25 09:42:20	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x373ad0…
05-25 09:42:08	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3722c7…
05-25 09:41:31	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2d9685…
05-25 09:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c7cca…
05-25 07:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8e58c0…
05-25 07:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x870d77…
05-25 07:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x0e7c87…
05-25 07:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x76dcc4…
05-24 14:30:08	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x49ec2c…
05-24 14:30:01	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0xdc5b53…
05-24 14:29:53	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6b5c61…
05-22 22:42:07	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x1d1256…
05-22 22:41:58	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x129d84…
05-22 22:41:51	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xee44a5…
05-22 22:41:20	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x215c11…
05-22 22:41:15	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xfd2ef6…
05-22 22:41:08	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xae9591…
05-22 22:40:59	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x4af9d6…
05-22 09:34:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x641f49…