Arctic-Worm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$593

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up		-44	$-3	32¢	$-14	$-11	05-06 01:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$42	0	43	-43	Up	$-2	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$39	34	34	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$37	45	45	+0	Down	$-4	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$33	0	37	-37	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$30	41	0	+41	Down	+$11	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$29	47	0	+47	Down	+$18	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	Down	$-25	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Down	+$18	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$23	0	27	-27	open	—	05-05 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$21	80	0	+80	open	—	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$21	46	0	+46	Up	+$25	05-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$21	35	0	+35	Down	$-21	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Up	+$12	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-05 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$20	87	0	+87	open	—	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	05-05 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$19	29	0	+29	open	—	05-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$19	40	0	+40	Down	+$21	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$16	175	0	+175	open	—	05-05 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$15	0	38	-38	open	—	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$15	0	41	-41	open	—	05-05 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$14	53	0	+53	open	—	05-05 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$12	0	58	-58	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$7	0	86	-86	open	—	05-05 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$3	0	44	-44	open	—	05-06 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0x21e300…
05-05 20:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x86d584…
05-05 19:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	86	9¢	$7	0x3d2ea4…
05-05 18:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0xfb894f…
05-05 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	26¢	$14	0x5b35e5…
05-05 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x1956d1…
05-05 11:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa522e0…
05-05 11:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	41	36¢	$15	0x314ca2…
05-05 10:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	175	9¢	$16	0xb1db73…
05-05 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x262dac…
05-05 07:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	58	20¢	$12	0xb4ef83…
05-05 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xc88984…
05-05 07:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xd65502…
05-05 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	64¢	$20	0xf503c9…
05-05 07:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x142aca…
05-05 06:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0x50a323…
05-05 06:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xdd8add…
05-05 06:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	59¢	$21	0xad994d…
05-05 05:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	34	60¢	$20	0x391bc0…
05-05 05:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0x7d65db…
05-05 05:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x164083…
05-05 05:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x1fcfb1…
05-05 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	37¢	$17	0xcc6627…
05-05 04:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x2d9fe1…
05-05 04:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x37a8ab…
05-05 03:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0xa63ab5…
05-05 03:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x60e46a…
05-05 03:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x713e38…
05-05 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0xffecdc…
05-04 23:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0xe3ca1a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	28	$5.14K	175	05-06 01:29
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	27	$1.81K	110	05-05 20:14
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	26	$1.43K	126	05-06 01:29
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	26	$1.39K	119	05-06 01:29
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	24	$1.94K	112	05-05 20:14
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	24	$736	85	05-06 01:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$5.05K	124	05-06 01:28
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	23	$3.76K	60	05-06 01:29