Complete-Fail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$111

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-04 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 100% +$0

Other

23% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No		+111	$111	100¢	$111	+$0	06-04 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$180	180	0	+180	Up	+$0	05-06 15:19
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	06-04 13:12
btc updown 5m 1773726900	7	$96	101	0	+101	open	—	03-17 05:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	3	$75	50	25	+25	open	—	04-21 07:34
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$58	50	30	+20	open	—	04-06 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	05-06 15:21
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	05-06 15:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	05-06 15:21
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	3	$47	35	14	+21	open	—	03-17 06:06
will bnb dip to 400 in january	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	01-19 11:59
trump out as president by march 31	3	$33	23	11	+11	open	—	03-04 18:21
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-21 07:32
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-28 16:14
will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	01-19 12:00
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-17 06:06
will bnb dip to 500 in january	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-19 12:00
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 16:15
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	01-19 12:02
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	01-19 12:02
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-21 07:34
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-21 07:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-06 15:21
will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-17 06:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-06 13:47
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 06:05
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	06-04 13:12
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-25 16:58
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-11 16:18
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-04 04:32
will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-26 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 13:12:39	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfeb982…
06-04 13:12:18	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x034a9c…
05-06 15:21:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x41747e…
05-06 15:21:41	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x49c187…
05-06 15:21:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xdf13ed…
05-06 15:21:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x99338f…
05-06 15:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2accea…
05-06 15:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb4bd19…
04-21 07:34:18	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf8d03…
04-21 07:34:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8d3b6e…
04-21 07:33:54	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5eb44d…
04-21 07:33:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2e7eae…
04-21 07:32:36	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9636e3…
04-21 07:32:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6aa9e1…
04-06 14:54:59	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x621aa0…
04-06 13:49:13	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x89f353…
04-06 13:48:39	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x708833…
04-06 13:47:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbe5810…
04-06 13:47:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6adb62…
03-25 16:58:47	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8c924f…
03-17 06:06:39	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8f5b88…
03-17 06:06:21	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2de758…
03-17 06:06:09	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcc776d…
03-17 06:05:57	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5f202e…
03-17 05:59:55	btc updown 5m 1773726900	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x99b3c1…
03-17 05:59:53	btc updown 5m 1773726900	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x82fbd6…
03-17 05:59:53	btc updown 5m 1773726900	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x73f23c…
03-17 05:59:53	btc updown 5m 1773726900	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x57c04a…
03-17 05:57:59	btc updown 5m 1773726900	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x64cad4…
03-17 05:57:59	btc updown 5m 1773726900	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x1f3273…
03-17 05:57:59	btc updown 5m 1773726900	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x1696bd…
03-17 04:32:09	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x180d91…
03-04 18:26:59	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xe5dea0…
03-04 18:22:11	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 40 59	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93db1f…
03-04 18:21:51	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 560 579	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4080c9…
03-04 18:21:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x834606…
02-28 22:39:53	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x572989…
02-28 16:16:17	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xb2f57c…
02-28 16:15:57	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xef13c6…
02-28 16:15:05	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb9051c…
02-28 16:14:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x794e59…
02-28 16:14:45	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb32157…
02-11 16:19:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xf181a0…
02-11 16:19:17	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x049b0a…
02-11 16:18:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x8972cd…
02-11 16:18:31	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x7a47fa…
02-11 16:18:21	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xbc41ea…
02-04 04:32:00	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x035469…
02-04 04:31:52	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x768230…
02-04 04:31:44	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xed4a2d…
01-26 07:38:31	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x1aa44a…
01-26 07:37:43	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0d4a0b…
01-26 07:37:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xe8d244…
01-19 12:03:36	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4258b1…
01-19 12:03:20	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc24d80…
01-19 12:03:10	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2aed52…
01-19 12:03:04	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe40319…
01-19 12:02:26	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x2bbca0…
01-19 12:02:06	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x096c63…
01-19 12:00:46	will bnb dip to 500 in january	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xad258e…
01-19 12:00:22	will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7e581b…
01-19 11:59:50	will bnb dip to 400 in january	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf65730…
01-06 17:13:57	will bnb dip to 400 in january	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3a4cc4…
01-06 17:13:49	will bnb dip to 500 in january	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb49864…
01-06 17:13:43	will bnb dip to 600 in january	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe71d1c…
01-06 17:12:35	elon musk of tweets january 2026 960 999	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4edd0f…
01-06 17:12:07	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 340 359	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x235a5f…
01-06 17:11:57	will jesse plemons win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3dde1b…
01-06 17:11:51	will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x75c215…
01-06 17:11:43	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x219063…