Rash-Differential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

137

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$96.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$379

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-30 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

88% 96% +$121

Politics

5% 100% +$6

Crypto

3% 94% -$47

Sports

3% 100% +$7

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,011	2,011	+0	No	+$9	05-14 11:24
spx above 5550 on march 20 2026	6	$3.2K	3,113	100	+3,013	Yes	+$3	03-20 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,508	1,508	+0	No	+$6	05-17 07:05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	05-29 07:35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	06-03 02:25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,504	1,504	+0	No	-$8	05-21 03:46
will poland record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 651	6	$2.8K	2,782	0	+2,782	Yes	+$5	02-15 08:48
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	1	$2.5K	2,505	0	+2,505	No	+$5	03-18 02:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$16	05-21 23:49
will spx dip to 4750 in march	4	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	No	+$4	03-31 01:35
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	2	$2.0K	1,004	1,003	+1	No	+$3	04-19 18:33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$1	05-16 09:17
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 300 319	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	03-05 13:29
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	No	+$4	04-09 01:48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	No	+$4	05-09 07:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1.9K	1,902	0	+1,902	No	+$2	05-15 02:28
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 18 2026?	6	$1.8K	939	939	+0	No	+$42	05-22 00:12
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 200plus	1	$1.8K	1,802	0	+1,802	No	+$2	03-13 03:53
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$1.6K	807	807	+0	No	-$25	05-21 03:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	40	$1.5K	1,744	1,744	+0	Up	-$29	05-15 11:03
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	No	+$2	04-02 07:05
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 240plus	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	No	+$2	02-24 02:58
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in May 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,457	0	+1,457	No	+$1	04-28 03:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	2	$1.3K	1,301	0	+1,301	No	+$1	04-14 03:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	05-25 03:18
will spx dip to 5200 in march	2	$1.0K	501	501	+0	No	+$1	03-31 19:19
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	02-24 02:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	02-27 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	05-07 06:18
nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	03-05 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 03:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x5b9ca9…
07-15 03:31:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x144103…
07-09 09:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa1d896…
07-06 06:42:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xce0b4b…
07-06 06:40:34	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x83466b…
07-06 06:39:50	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xb87974…
07-02 03:29:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xfcd0fc…
06-29 07:01:05	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0xd1131e…
06-28 04:16:23	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x086f38…
06-28 04:15:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x2dc169…
06-21 07:23:52	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7815a6…
06-21 07:23:28	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x35329d…
06-21 07:21:29	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x447bb3…
06-19 07:36:59	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaa4fce…
06-19 01:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xc70343…
06-18 15:09:04	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9447c9…
06-18 03:33:13	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdd423d…
06-18 03:11:58	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xacf1bd…
06-18 02:34:34	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc797a3…
06-17 16:42:14	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb51701…
06-15 08:43:30	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xc18baa…
06-15 08:43:07	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb26bf4…
06-15 08:42:54	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0acc1b…
06-06 13:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xf71d8c…
06-03 02:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x3676fd…
05-29 07:35:38	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x558286…
05-25 03:18:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x98bc6e…
05-25 03:16:51	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9e287d…
05-24 03:12:03	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	414	100¢	$414	0xbb1ffa…
05-24 03:11:43	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x8889a3…
05-24 03:11:36	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1757e0…
05-22 19:55:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf6a6c…
05-22 19:55:05	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x7e36ba…
05-22 19:53:16	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x759361…
05-22 14:05:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0xc5c560…
05-22 13:28:20	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x9045fb…
05-22 13:27:52	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x23295d…
05-22 13:27:34	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x08cb1e…
05-22 11:25:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x9ef982…
05-22 10:38:17	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x0f7199…
05-22 08:32:44	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa5c596…
05-22 06:05:45	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x7611b8…
05-22 06:05:35	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xd63e9b…
05-22 04:17:00	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb31384…
05-22 02:56:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $425 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x9ec960…
05-22 02:56:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $430 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x9a31f0…
05-22 02:51:51	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x8d4902…
05-22 02:51:43	Will CZ post 200+ posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	358	100¢	$358	0xb7c1e2…
05-22 02:51:16	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xebabb2…
05-22 02:50:41	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf1d62e…
05-22 02:50:24	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xad6385…
05-22 02:48:23	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9f32cf…
05-22 02:46:56	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9e4aaa…
05-22 02:46:45	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	359	100¢	$357	0xe9b3b6…
05-22 02:46:07	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa210b5…
05-22 02:45:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8c87f6…
05-22 02:44:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x39d573…
05-22 02:36:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8fa63b…
05-22 01:11:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x46c842…
05-22 00:43:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x39c705…
05-22 00:15:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?	Yes	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x275d3f…
05-22 00:12:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0xc77b9d…
05-21 23:49:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	1,021	100¢	$1,016	0x80b60f…
05-21 20:25:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	398	99¢	$394	0x77c6ae…
05-21 12:53:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0x1e457c…
05-21 09:24:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0e3dcb…
05-21 08:11:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?	Yes	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x020a48…
05-21 04:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0x10833a…
05-21 04:31:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x7e92f2…
05-21 04:30:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $205?	Yes	BUY	189	93¢	$176	0x982265…
05-21 04:29:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	399	97¢	$386	0xf555ff…
05-21 03:48:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	594	99¢	$589	0xfe6863…
05-21 03:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	807	96¢	$775	0xcd7082…
05-21 03:46:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,504	99¢	$1,492	0x79ad33…
05-21 03:39:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	334	98¢	$328	0x5932d4…
05-21 03:39:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x9d6967…
05-21 01:27:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0ec325…
05-20 02:40:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	344	87¢	$300	0xe231ec…
05-20 02:33:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x5f8a00…
05-20 02:30:58	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x2a620d…
05-20 02:30:44	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xea4c0e…
05-20 02:30:00	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xd14668…
05-20 01:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc91f78…
05-20 01:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9bf65a…
05-20 01:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x48e06c…
05-20 01:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf38fed…
05-20 01:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x720dc8…
05-20 01:19:59	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4d1a92…
05-18 06:47:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	807	99¢	$800	0xb338c8…
05-18 06:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,504	100¢	$1,500	0xaea998…
05-18 06:46:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xb10196…
05-18 06:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x43a29b…
05-17 07:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1,508	100¢	$1,506	0xf56098…
05-16 09:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0x026039…
05-16 03:07:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,508	99¢	$1,500	0xb8648a…
05-16 03:06:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x8ec9d6…
05-15 11:03:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	61	69¢	$42	0x53c5d9…
05-15 11:02:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xa21726…
05-15 11:02:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	66	70¢	$46	0xde6d7e…
05-15 11:01:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	71	26¢	$19	0x374a36…