Authorized-Refuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$758

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved (90d)

3,414

Trades (90d)

19,488

22,360 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$76.8K

$98.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-02 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$1,644

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 1346 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2PM ET	20	$237	445	75	+370	Up	+$11	10-19 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	28	$225	224	119	+105	Up	+$10	10-08 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	26	$212	217	105	+112	Down	-$7	10-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	27	$194	187	97	+91	Up	-$2	10-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	27	$179	170	99	+71	Up	+$16	09-15 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	25	$175	290	181	+109	Up	+$67	06-02 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC	7	$166	165	164	+1	Up	+$11	03-20 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:20 UTC	21	$164	164	85	+79	Up	-$10	10-09 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ET	8	$161	350	0	+350	Down	+$14	10-19 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$153	280	0	+280	Down	+$128	05-24 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$150	109	109	+0	Up	+$50	09-12 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	18	$148	131	74	+57	Down	-$1	10-22 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	10	$148	108	78	+30	Down	+$7	11-01 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 18:45 UTC	16	$144	130	130	+0	Up	+$72	06-10 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	18	$139	146	65	+80	Down	+$1	10-08 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	11	$139	300	0	+300	Down	+$11	10-19 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	17	$132	123	70	+53	Up	-$1	10-22 17:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 10:55 UTC	8	$127	92	91	+1	Up	+$27	03-18 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	30	$126	184	45	+139	Down	+$32	09-15 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$124	100	100	+0	Down	+$20	10-20 11:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 10:50 UTC	10	$124	160	80	+80	Down	-$38	03-18 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	15	$122	188	0	+188	Down	-$27	11-01 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	28	$122	166	43	+122	Down	-$4	09-15 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:25 UTC	26	$122	232	0	+232	Up	-$16	09-20 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	24	$120	130	59	+70	Down	-$3	09-15 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:55 UTC	32	$117	261	0	+261	Down	-$14	09-20 02:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:30 UTC	20	$115	80	80	+0	Down	+$26	08-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	14	$114	153	0	+153	Down	-$2	11-01 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	13	$112	145	0	+145	Down	+$13	11-01 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$112	61	61	+0	Down	+$10	11-01 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb99ae3…
11-02 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x21183a…
11-02 05:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x42042e…
11-02 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4249e5…
11-02 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe5d0af…
11-01 23:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0xabaaee…
11-01 23:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x515cd2…
11-01 23:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2d1877…
11-01 23:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9f76af…
11-01 23:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x385ca2…
11-01 23:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc24cae…
11-01 23:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa3e109…
11-01 23:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa53853…
11-01 23:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x554280…
11-01 23:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x3171a3…
11-01 23:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x1f3aae…
11-01 23:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xaa153c…
11-01 23:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x379703…
11-01 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf0f20a…
11-01 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x941f80…
11-01 23:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd1825a…
11-01 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f60b3…
11-01 23:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x3be7b0…
11-01 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x050844…
11-01 19:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x03f76c…
11-01 19:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xfda985…
11-01 19:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xafbaa0…
11-01 19:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x3e769b…
11-01 19:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0xd04bcd…
11-01 19:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7a49a7…
11-01 19:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x49ea54…
11-01 19:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x70b5a0…
11-01 19:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x808aaa…
11-01 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdbf635…
11-01 19:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe20a30…
11-01 19:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x396c7f…
11-01 19:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xda6ed4…
11-01 19:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x157381…
11-01 19:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x37ee1d…
11-01 19:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	59¢	$13	0x3b2db4…
11-01 19:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xdf1c9f…
11-01 19:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xa7e71e…
11-01 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x67d28e…
11-01 19:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe4e8b4…
11-01 19:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x328d87…
11-01 19:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x31cde4…
11-01 19:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb8503a…
11-01 19:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x7ba62a…
11-01 19:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xee9728…
11-01 19:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfaf0bc…
11-01 19:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x60be05…
11-01 19:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$8	0x0fdc9b…
11-01 19:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe2f877…
11-01 19:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x9d8df2…
11-01 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x540b8b…
11-01 18:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xc87262…
11-01 18:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb25b49…
11-01 18:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x79c8d3…
11-01 18:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x198ad7…
11-01 18:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x180c5d…
11-01 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe5d96e…
11-01 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x2bcc40…
11-01 18:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x00df48…
11-01 18:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x49ffbc…
11-01 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7d33fa…
11-01 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x761859…
11-01 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0b5865…
11-01 18:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x6357ab…
11-01 18:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x98c3ab…
11-01 18:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x547652…
11-01 18:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x0e06fb…
11-01 18:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf272d4…
11-01 18:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa21859…
11-01 18:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5ffbf5…
11-01 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8b1062…
11-01 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4e9504…
11-01 18:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xdf8bef…
11-01 18:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd60df3…
11-01 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf62915…
11-01 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2ffb5d…
11-01 18:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x9380ba…
11-01 18:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xe556ea…
11-01 18:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x749efa…
11-01 18:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x5b57f9…
11-01 18:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x1f7f37…
11-01 18:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x95eba6…
11-01 18:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x1f4037…
11-01 18:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x717bbb…
11-01 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa85aff…
11-01 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6b5771…
11-01 18:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x2d430a…
11-01 18:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x48d004…
11-01 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa03b9d…
11-01 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7476ef…
11-01 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x33e117…
11-01 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x071de6…
11-01 18:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xec3017…
11-01 18:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8b0ba1…
11-01 18:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x023e8f…
11-01 18:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x29d52b…