Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

124

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$214

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-24

last 11-05 01:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

87% 54% $0

Politics

9% 70% +$10

Tech

3% 50% $0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 5, 2026?	No	—	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	11-05 01:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	2	$4	12	+12	No	+$2	08-02 23:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 02:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 02:36
wti closes above 103 on september 16 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-16 06:55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-13 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-22 18:36
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-24 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-15 22:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-08 06:05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-10 01:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-13 06:16
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-17 11:14
Will BlackBerry say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-23 22:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-13 02:42
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 01:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	10-17 12:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 21:30
will trump say through the roof during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421455	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 08:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-23 02:37
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-29 22:37
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-14 02:47
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 02:02
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	08-01 04:28
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-12 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 16:33
will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-12 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 01:36:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x032a65…
11-03 17:11:43	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x100857…
11-03 09:05:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x056caa…
11-03 01:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1558bf…
11-01 16:52:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3bf2d3…
10-31 16:44:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x229cff…
10-29 00:18:50	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6e27c6…
10-27 00:05:47	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x27bf78…
10-24 14:56:35	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x516b02…
10-24 06:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa010b1…
10-21 19:11:11	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfd3309…
10-21 11:05:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2ba42c…
10-21 03:04:53	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbeaaa2…
10-20 07:01:01	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x274c3e…
10-19 23:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa00969…
10-18 22:59:20	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x11bae5…
10-18 14:56:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x447c0c…
10-18 06:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x97fd2c…
10-17 20:09:38	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x473788…
10-17 12:09:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x42c40b…
10-17 11:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4c9d34…
10-17 01:33:00	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x971897…
10-16 12:37:12	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc06809…
10-16 04:17:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x68f916…
10-15 19:07:26	Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xed358a…
10-15 10:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5e40ec…
10-15 02:56:07	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x108600…
10-13 18:53:04	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd1129a…
10-13 10:51:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x881811…
10-13 02:51:02	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfa4554…
10-12 18:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x03cb4d…
10-10 22:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x84ecbf…
10-10 14:34:31	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xff8d84…
10-09 17:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x43b165…
10-09 09:47:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6d573c…
10-09 00:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x49cff9…
10-07 16:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc44ad0…
10-07 08:15:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe72264…
10-07 00:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x47aa75…
10-04 06:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5517b2…
10-03 20:04:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x662726…
10-03 02:46:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x534927…
10-02 06:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x90d30b…
09-29 08:19:12	will msft dip to 502 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x72bda5…
09-26 22:17:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa37379…
09-26 13:22:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x21da20…
09-26 05:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbb0d19…
09-25 20:53:29	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8d303a…
09-25 12:33:44	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3120a1…
09-25 03:28:14	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x134fb9…
09-24 07:07:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x106b9e…
09-23 22:42:52	Will BlackBerry say "Headwind" during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x220f13…
09-23 02:37:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x939638…
09-22 18:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb3d350…
09-22 10:34:43	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfdc534…
09-17 11:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x72e6ee…
09-17 03:10:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd474ae…
09-16 06:55:15	wti closes above 103 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf3d8d5…
09-15 22:54:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x789cd8…
09-13 14:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x70ded1…
09-13 06:16:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf449ac…
09-10 01:00:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5f2391…
09-08 16:36:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x46fd09…
09-08 14:29:24	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe0529d…
09-08 06:05:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7bee34…
09-07 21:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa229b9…
09-07 13:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd30691…
09-03 23:57:39	will wti dip to 90 by august 31 2026 from september 3	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x179042…
09-03 23:48:45	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc58430…
09-03 12:36:52	will abnb dip to 182 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x87a63f…
09-03 04:34:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf66fd4…
08-30 18:43:07	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x901dc1…
08-29 22:37:51	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb6020e…
08-29 14:33:49	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x44e2f9…
08-29 04:28:10	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd45fe9…
08-23 16:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd259e9…
08-23 07:32:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x49a6c7…
08-22 21:59:57	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x08a90b…
08-22 11:48:01	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xca155f…
08-22 00:30:54	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x65c013…
08-20 15:57:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x277846…
08-20 07:42:45	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcbb659…
08-19 15:44:55	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7c95ed…
08-19 07:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1f388b…
08-18 23:17:52	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa834b9…
08-18 03:14:58	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb31da7…
08-16 05:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4a884c…
08-15 17:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8ea3af…
08-15 05:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x723a12…
08-14 21:29:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe4883f…
08-14 13:26:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x23cd62…
08-14 02:47:34	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa42a18…
08-13 18:46:46	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb90b0e…
08-13 10:43:28	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x52852c…
08-13 02:42:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa055e1…
08-12 17:52:55	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x64573d…
08-12 09:52:31	will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x78b338…
08-12 01:51:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf2c3f8…
08-08 17:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7554ed…
08-08 09:00:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x47a013…