Turbulent-Butane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-25 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

45% 0% $-1

Other

22% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

14% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$728	376	376	+0	No	$-1	03-31 07:37
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	8	$655	344	344	+0	open	—	03-20 11:01
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	6	$640	331	331	+0	open	—	03-14 23:03
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$635	335	335	+0	open	—	03-27 17:55
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$634	332	332	+0	open	—	03-27 05:51
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$526	272	272	+0	open	—	03-28 19:12
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$434	222	222	+0	open	—	04-13 00:47
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$353	189	189	+0	open	—	03-11 04:32
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$349	186	186	+0	open	—	04-27 19:21
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$348	193	193	+0	open	—	03-17 23:03
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$348	182	182	+0	No	+$0	03-18 07:45
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$347	177	177	+0	open	—	03-13 08:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$339	175	175	+0	open	—	03-15 21:10
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	2	$338	174	174	+0	open	—	03-18 20:40
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$337	175	175	+0	open	—	03-12 14:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$335	174	174	+0	open	—	03-11 17:29
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$334	171	171	+0	open	—	03-25 10:00
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$333	170	170	+0	open	—	03-23 00:25
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$332	176	176	+0	open	—	03-08 05:07
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$329	172	172	+0	open	—	03-12 19:45
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$329	168	168	+0	open	—	03-08 20:20
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	2	$328	167	167	+0	open	—	03-16 19:06
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$326	171	171	+0	open	—	03-21 22:21
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$324	167	167	+0	open	—	03-06 19:33
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$320	167	167	+0	open	—	03-21 02:31
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$318	175	175	+0	open	—	03-21 12:53
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$316	166	166	+0	open	—	03-29 20:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$307	159	159	+0	open	—	03-04 17:11
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$306	157	157	+0	open	—	03-26 04:49
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$303	157	157	+0	open	—	03-26 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 20:02:55	mlb sd mia 2026 07 25 extra innings	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8ea8c1…
07-25 06:27:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xfa8858…
07-24 22:24:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xc88c74…
06-22 02:17:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x60db0a…
06-21 22:07:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xff3eb4…
06-21 21:31:37	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x35eb03…
06-21 17:28:10	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xd008a4…
06-21 12:44:46	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xe094cc…
06-21 07:39:19	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xd55985…
06-20 10:16:43	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x545865…
06-20 03:14:28	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x4fe1ff…
06-16 09:41:33	will south africa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149711	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0xc39df7…
06-16 04:39:46	will south africa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149711	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x3e7310…
06-13 03:22:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0xc084c9…
06-12 20:16:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$61	0xfc9c41…
06-12 12:59:36	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x0f27ca…
06-12 08:52:58	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xaceb93…
06-11 23:03:16	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	52	92¢	$48	0xf83cc3…
06-11 15:02:12	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x68eaf7…
06-11 14:26:54	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x7bd326…
06-11 07:21:03	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xcb66ec…
06-10 09:46:37	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	57	92¢	$52	0x4c209b…
06-10 01:42:31	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x677860…
06-06 04:52:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x7f8201…
06-05 23:48:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x10ee0a…
06-05 23:15:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0x8cf307…
06-05 16:12:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x91e755…
06-03 03:18:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x81323f…
06-02 22:18:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x706ef9…
06-02 21:42:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0xbeaa94…
06-02 14:41:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0x624550…
06-02 14:09:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xcd501a…
06-02 06:03:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$54	0x4f18c6…
05-22 17:59:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x2918ae…
05-22 10:55:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xd38073…
05-21 15:34:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	57	89¢	$51	0x648447…
05-21 10:34:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0xdaab4a…
05-21 03:18:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x0f3a73…
05-20 15:02:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	55	92¢	$50	0xba7368…
05-20 10:01:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x553a05…
05-20 00:03:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xa8f59b…
05-19 18:57:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xe94aa5…
05-19 09:41:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x4543a9…
05-19 04:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xcfab46…
05-19 04:06:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xfeab50…
05-18 16:51:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x4f5624…
05-18 11:44:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xaa321c…
05-15 20:07:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	58	90¢	$52	0x41b5f0…
05-15 16:04:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0xde0d46…
04-30 12:40:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	68	92¢	$63	0x4ccb7f…
04-30 08:34:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x7049e5…
04-27 19:21:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x2a593b…
04-27 11:12:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$38	0xeff5de…
04-27 11:00:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	145	94¢	$137	0x08ebca…
04-27 04:14:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x98354d…
04-27 04:04:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5f6961…
04-27 03:59:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xf933f0…
04-27 03:58:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xafc4b3…
04-27 03:05:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0xa7e5de…
04-25 05:07:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0xcb2a47…
04-25 05:00:36	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	97¢	$139	0x46f4d6…
04-24 23:56:48	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x707cfa…
04-24 15:18:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$135	0x2e526a…
04-24 10:15:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xa9d46c…
04-21 03:55:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xa4bbb9…
04-20 19:57:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x81a8b8…
04-15 12:09:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x59c8ab…
04-15 02:19:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xff2f8b…
04-13 23:59:31	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$59	0x46e710…
04-13 18:51:43	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xbe5c5b…
04-13 17:16:37	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x306f07…
04-13 10:14:51	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x93c1b8…
04-13 10:10:39	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0xf2b714…
04-13 09:24:19	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x020dc0…
04-13 00:51:23	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0d617e…
04-13 00:47:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0xd3e1b5…
04-12 19:43:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x50fbb6…
04-12 03:28:21	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0x643f64…
04-11 19:38:57	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	92¢	$56	0x46676f…
04-11 05:00:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x1726ea…
04-10 23:57:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xd9818e…
04-10 18:30:17	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0x6d08db…
04-10 09:44:55	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xbeac04…
03-31 23:57:43	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0xe0e8bd…
03-31 18:55:53	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x2ad966…
03-31 07:37:39	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xf6aa58…
03-31 03:07:09	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xc7aa1a…
03-29 20:50:42	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	166	94¢	$157	0x3aa970…
03-29 12:34:22	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	166	95¢	$158	0xfcdfcf…
03-28 19:12:30	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$99	0xca94ed…
03-28 10:20:45	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x59c85a…
03-28 09:41:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	154	98¢	$151	0x2fa6f1…
03-28 00:56:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0x1157be…
03-27 17:55:21	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	168	95¢	$160	0x415692…
03-27 12:10:47	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	168	96¢	$161	0x433b4a…
03-27 10:51:19	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	154	98¢	$150	0x4d3bba…
03-27 06:48:39	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0xf468b4…
03-27 05:51:53	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	158	96¢	$152	0x223748…
03-26 23:33:19	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	158	96¢	$152	0x73754f…
03-26 09:52:03	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	157	97¢	$152	0x38bd37…