Oval-Counseling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$335

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$180

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-04 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

68% 55% +$309

Other

16% 33% -$41

Sports

11% 100% +$67

Crypto

5% 22% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+197	$156	92¢	$180	+$25	08-04 07:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	6	$603	895	+895	No	+$291	03-16 01:07
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$295	567	+567	Yes	-$295	01-06 16:18
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	6	$275	895	+895	No	-$275	03-16 01:07
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	2	$262	329	+329	No	+$67	01-12 12:16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$213	506	+506	Yes	+$293	02-06 13:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$156	197	+197	open	—	08-04 07:04
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$98	105	+105	Yes	-$98	05-05 16:43
solana above 80 on march 8	1	$89	100	+100	Yes	+$11	03-08 05:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$87	161	+161	Yes	+$74	02-09 10:40
nothing ever happens khamenei	1	$64	290	+290	No	+$226	01-06 11:18
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	2	$53	77	+77	No	+$24	03-08 08:25
Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$50	51	+51	No	+$1	05-05 16:46
trump approval up or down this week 119	1	$44	64	+64	Up	-$44	04-06 00:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$39	393	+393	Yes	-$39	01-06 10:39
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	1	$31	33	+33	Yes	+$1	03-08 05:33
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$19	54	+54	No	-$19	01-06 10:47
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 56	2	$18	77	+77	No	-$18	03-08 08:25
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 10 2026	1	$14	64	+64	Yes	+$50	04-06 00:53
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 8	1	$9	100	+100	No	-$9	03-08 05:30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$5	105	+105	Yes	+$99	05-05 16:42
will trumps approval rating be at least 40pt5 on april 10 2026	1	$2	64	+64	No	-$2	04-06 00:52
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on april 10 2026	1	$1	64	+64	No	-$1	04-06 00:52
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 8	1	$1	100	+100	No	-$1	03-08 05:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	1	$1	33	+33	No	-$1	03-08 05:33
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	1	$0	33	+33	No	$0	03-08 05:33
will the price of solana be less than 40 on march 8	1	$0	100	+100	No	$0	03-08 05:30
will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 8	1	$0	100	+100	No	$0	03-08 05:30
will the price of solana be between 40 50 on march 8	1	$0	100	+100	No	$0	03-08 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 07:04:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	197	79¢	$156	0x7c9017…
05-05 16:46:28	Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x270757…
05-05 16:43:32	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	105	93¢	$98	0xb362d0…
05-05 16:42:40	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xcddeb0…
05-05 16:42:24	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x27ede1…
04-06 00:53:23	trump approval up or down this week 119	Down	BUY	64	68¢	$44	0x8acb41…
04-06 00:53:07	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	64	21¢	$14	0x454599…
04-06 00:52:55	will trumps approval rating be at least 40pt5 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x8c5242…
04-06 00:52:41	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x0187bc…
03-16 01:07:39	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	BUY	145	73¢	$106	0x494724…
03-16 01:07:21	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	145	25¢	$37	0xa25ee1…
03-15 14:11:53	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	BUY	133	68¢	$90	0x2ea478…
03-15 14:11:39	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	133	31¢	$41	0x969c56…
03-15 13:39:39	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$13	0x01c2f4…
03-15 13:39:29	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x2019d6…
03-15 13:38:55	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	BUY	201	65¢	$131	0x35028a…
03-15 13:38:37	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	201	32¢	$64	0xeffad2…
03-15 12:57:49	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	BUY	188	68¢	$128	0x09ab1f…
03-15 12:57:39	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	188	31¢	$58	0x8710d1…
03-13 09:58:47	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	BUY	186	65¢	$122	0x050131…
03-13 09:58:27	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	186	33¢	$61	0xa77ad8…
03-08 08:25:49	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 56	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x47a518…
03-08 08:25:37	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x2b7ba0…
03-08 08:24:27	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 56	Yes	BUY	65	24¢	$15	0xd913c1…
03-08 08:24:03	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	No	BUY	65	69¢	$44	0x1ff039…
03-08 05:33:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0x3dda2f…
03-08 05:33:17	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x6f02a2…
03-08 05:33:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xbc4568…
03-08 05:30:55	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 8	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf9ddaa…
03-08 05:30:43	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 8	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd9d335…
03-08 05:30:23	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 8	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x830e74…
03-08 05:30:13	will the price of solana be between 40 50 on march 8	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x175f06…
03-08 05:30:01	will the price of solana be less than 40 on march 8	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8d5826…
03-08 05:29:21	solana above 80 on march 8	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xd97d5d…
02-09 10:40:49	Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	54¢	$87	0x9603e7…
02-06 13:17:43	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	42¢	$57	0x7dbe18…
02-06 13:15:45	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	42¢	$155	0x527483…
01-12 12:16:36	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xb42d0d…
01-12 12:16:28	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	300	80¢	$239	0xa62c65…
01-06 16:18:41	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	567	52¢	$295	0x490a27…
01-06 11:18:55	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	290	22¢	$64	0xdaa09e…
01-06 10:47:55	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0xa72e88…
01-06 10:39:45	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x3e7ebf…
01-06 10:34:05	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	356	10¢	$36	0x69f6eb…