Meager-Craw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$125

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.5%

Resolved

129

Trades

1,090

lifetime

Volume

$632

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-20 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 7% -$19

Other

22% 5% -$85

Politics

17% 14% -$18

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$60	90	90	+0	open	—	07-18 17:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:30 UTC	5	$59	110	110	+0	Up	+$56	08-16 01:45
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	5	$49	60	60	+0	open	—	10-20 11:47
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	17	$28	165	165	+0	No	$0	08-12 04:39
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	22	$27	299	123	+176	Down	+$6	08-12 19:59
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	5	$27	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 03:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	26	$14	938	314	+625	Up	$0	08-16 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 01:45 UTC	27	$12	425	175	+250	Up	-$1	08-11 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 23:00 UTC	33	$12	810	244	+566	Down	-$2	08-11 23:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	210	210	+0	No	$0	05-30 17:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 20:00 UTC	32	$10	635	220	+415	Down	-$3	08-15 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	10	$10	1,067	0	+1,067	Down	-$10	08-12 02:59
will there be a hormuz agreement and the republicans win the senate binary	2	$9	120	120	+0	No	$0	10-11 17:32
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	8	$9	97	97	+0	No	-$3	08-12 04:22
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Team Flash (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	11	$9	4,682	4,076	+606	Team Vamos	-$1	05-24 09:47
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	4	$8	7,900	0	+7,900	AM Gaming	-$8	05-24 15:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	19	$8	1,120	320	+800	Up	-$2	08-11 20:14
Games Total: O/U 2.5	13	$7	5,165	1,409	+3,756	Under	-$3	05-25 11:54
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	7	$7	5,500	1,678	+3,822	Geek Fam ID	-$4	05-24 16:47
Games Total: O/U 2.5	14	$7	6,066	500	+5,566	Under	-$5	05-23 17:19
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	4	$7	5,800	120	+5,680	Just Players	-$5	05-23 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	12	$6	270	165	+105	Down	-$2	08-11 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:15 UTC	17	$6	665	209	+456	Down	-$1	08-11 14:29
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	15	$6	515	60	+455	Up	+$2	08-11 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 19:30 UTC	16	$5	1,265	77	+1,188	Up	-$1	08-11 19:44
cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06 game1 round total 21pt5	7	$5	3,435	1,000	+2,435	Under	-$3	06-06 13:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 01:30 UTC	15	$5	1,380	122	+1,258	Down	-$2	08-11 01:44
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit Academy White vs Suplex Team (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	11	$5	1,535	1,110	+425	Team Spirit Academy White	+$2	05-29 16:47
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	15	$5	3,805	783	+3,022	LGD Gaming	-$4	05-29 17:02
mlbb srg1 btr 2026 06 04	8	$5	4,586	224	+4,362	Selangor Red Giants	-$4	06-04 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 11:47:15	Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xd61440…
10-20 11:47:06	Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x2b671d…
10-11 17:32:42	will there be a hormuz agreement and the republicans win the senate binary	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x577ded…
10-11 17:31:03	will there be a hormuz agreement and the republicans win the senate binary	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x15e36a…
09-22 03:30:09	Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x126c4a…
09-22 03:29:56	Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x9ef4ca…
09-21 23:03:54	Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xf7f0b9…
08-16 03:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x32200e…
08-16 02:59:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6699f3…
08-16 02:59:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x251c3a…
08-16 02:59:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x8c7016…
08-16 02:59:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5492e6…
08-16 02:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xfb13a4…
08-16 02:58:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x871fab…
08-16 02:57:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xf2b1e4…
08-16 02:43:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xfa15d8…
08-16 02:43:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x66207d…
08-16 02:43:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x1d9d26…
08-16 02:43:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcaa305…
08-16 02:29:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1c3248…
08-16 02:29:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf80d45…
08-16 02:29:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x295f84…
08-16 02:28:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd5b1e5…
08-16 02:28:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x22ad85…
08-16 02:28:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x03b95e…
08-16 02:28:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf126f6…
08-16 02:26:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x657489…
08-16 02:26:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x0cc962…
08-16 02:26:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x0b20d1…
08-16 02:26:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xc164dd…
08-16 02:26:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x93a9a7…
08-16 02:25:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x6a0e6f…
08-16 02:25:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0877a8…
08-16 02:25:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0xc9ce0a…
08-16 02:25:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xf0546d…
08-16 02:24:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xc67469…
08-16 02:24:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f3dd6…
08-16 02:24:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xf41d4c…
08-16 02:24:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x7fa84e…
08-16 02:24:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd174e0…
08-16 02:24:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x002c7b…
08-16 02:23:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x0c8955…
08-16 02:14:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x13ab95…
08-16 02:14:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x7c4082…
08-16 02:14:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1ba53e…
08-16 02:14:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd27f73…
08-16 02:13:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd8dcbc…
08-16 02:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x00306a…
08-16 02:13:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf925bb…
08-16 02:13:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa776f5…
08-16 02:13:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x8af220…
08-16 01:45:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xdb8c27…
08-16 01:44:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x07ca49…
08-16 01:44:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x07c4ee…
08-16 01:41:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x489e28…
08-16 01:41:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x60ad09…
08-16 01:14:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1f9591…
08-16 01:14:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa6ad97…
08-16 01:14:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xdb9883…
08-16 01:13:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6ad25e…
08-16 01:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0xd8bc69…
08-16 01:13:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x305a41…
08-16 01:13:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x202866…
08-16 01:13:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x0c2f80…
08-16 00:59:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xc87409…
08-16 00:58:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x607629…
08-16 00:14:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	869	0¢	$1	0x1498b6…
08-16 00:14:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb3d8ab…
08-16 00:14:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xd96287…
08-16 00:14:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0x27445f…
08-16 00:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8989cf…
08-16 00:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7eb9e4…
08-16 00:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x62aaed…
08-16 00:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4b2c2b…
08-16 00:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x342868…
08-16 00:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13a8b2…
08-16 00:13:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdbe904…
08-16 00:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe58c9b…
08-16 00:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0cf45f…
08-16 00:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x3a018a…
08-16 00:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa80319…
08-16 00:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x987e7b…
08-16 00:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4ad1c9…
08-15 23:59:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0x34a5c4…
08-15 23:59:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xc1496c…
08-15 23:58:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xf6b5f3…
08-15 22:44:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x5f3525…
08-15 22:43:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x3d9cf0…
08-15 21:44:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xbbc89e…
08-15 21:44:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe0a796…
08-15 21:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x4e3995…
08-15 21:44:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xb91f04…
08-15 21:44:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x2c8b65…
08-15 21:29:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x036b35…
08-15 21:28:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd3e9a4…
08-15 21:28:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x7de6b1…
08-15 21:28:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x46487f…
08-15 21:28:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0f82a8…
08-15 21:28:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5cc5e7…
08-15 21:28:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x27bc1b…