Realized P&L (7d)
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved (7d)
44
Trades (7d)
158
230 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$477
$1.26K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$286
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-07 12:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
77% 33% +$7
Politics
21% 39% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? Yes +25 $18 98¢ $25 +$7 11-01 11:14
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +17 $6 98¢ $17 +$11 11-01 17:18
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +17 $1 99¢ $17 +$16 11-02 11:01
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +20 $10 79¢ $16 +$6 11-05 00:11
Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +20 $14 73¢ $15 +$0 11-05 21:28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +15 $4 97¢ $15 +$10 11-01 14:32
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-11-07? Yes +20 $16 72¢ $14 -$2 11-06 18:37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +15 $4 95¢ $14 +$10 11-02 05:28
Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes +20 $11 68¢ $14 +$3 11-07 12:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%? Yes — +12 $2 96¢ $12 +$10 11-01 08:49
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%? Yes +13 $9 87¢ $11 +$2 11-05 16:17
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +20 $4 49¢ $10 +$6 11-02 00:42
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? Yes +20 $12 48¢ $10 -$2 11-01 10:35
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8? Yes +20 $7 46¢ $9 +$3 11-01 23:10
Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026? Yes +10 $6 88¢ $9 +$3 11-04 17:39
Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? Yes +11 $7 82¢ $9 +$2 11-02 01:35
Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? Yes +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$1 11-06 14:42
Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14? Yes +20 $1 37¢ $7 +$6 11-04 21:36
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +10 $3 71¢ $7 +$5 10-31 02:10
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? Yes +20 $4 34¢ $7 +$2 11-01 10:35
Will Ann Kao win Hsinchu City and Hsu Hsin-ying win Hsinchu County? Yes +19 $6 36¢ $7 +$0 11-06 01:24
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $5 60¢ $6 +$1 11-05 05:12
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes +20 $6 25¢ $5 -$1 11-07 12:33
Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +20 $4 22¢ $4 $0 11-05 21:28
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +5 $2 85¢ $4 +$2 10-31 11:42
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 11-05 06:04
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. CR Brasil end in a draw? Yes — +20 $3 16¢ $3 +$1 11-06 18:37
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in October? Yes — +8 $1 43¢ $3 +$2 11-05 12:07
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes +4 $3 83¢ $3 +$0 11-05 13:01
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +20 $9 15¢ $3 -$6 11-05 00:11