Deserted-Earring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$343

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

235

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$480

14 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-27 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

60% 26% -$317

Politics

21% 67% -$13

Crypto

14% 20% -$2

Sports

4% 24% -$9

Tech

1% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	+288	$106	48¢	$137	+$31	10-25 09:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+138	$128	97¢	$133	+$5	09-15 17:58
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+50	$47	97¢	$48	+$1	06-15 12:31
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$45	96¢	$48	+$2	06-15 12:32
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	+33	$26	99¢	$33	+$7	10-19 01:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+46	$44	52¢	$24	-$21	10-23 22:01
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+63	$22	34¢	$21	$0	10-27 01:57
will bitcoin dip to 75k in october 2026	Yes	+100	$20	16¢	$16	-$3	10-27 06:01
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+200	$7	4¢	$8	+$1	10-23 12:35
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	+111	$66	4¢	$4	-$61	10-27 07:21
will wti dip to 75 in october 2026	No	+4	$3	99¢	$4	+$1	10-15 00:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+73	$5	3¢	$2	-$3	07-02 02:35
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+3	$1	7¢	$0	$0	10-25 03:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	+0	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	10-12 21:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$3.9K	4,864	4,864	+0	No	-$13	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.6K	1,601	1,601	+0	No	-$16	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	17	$401	350	350	+0	open	—	10-27 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	21	$370	365	365	+0	open	—	10-21 21:39
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	12	$359	300	282	+18	No	+$4	09-29 02:51
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	15	$331	400	349	+51	No	+$8	09-28 03:44
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$271	150	150	+0	No	$0	10-25 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	9	$252	280	130	+150	Yes	+$28	10-17 03:53
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	13	$236	412	124	+288	open	—	10-25 09:13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$212	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	10-23 13:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	9	$195	244	134	+110	Yes	-$28	10-13 15:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	10	$192	248	202	+46	open	—	10-23 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?	3	$189	151	79	+72	Yes	-$35	06-09 12:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	4	$148	83	83	+0	Yes	-$12	06-24 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 5?	3	$148	87	77	+10	Yes	-$10	06-05 21:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	6	$133	210	0	+210	open	—	09-15 17:58
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	8	$130	185	122	+63	open	—	10-27 01:57
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	10	$116	350	150	+200	open	—	10-23 12:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	10-15 05:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	6	$106	122	118	+4	open	—	10-15 00:08
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	8	$105	232	121	+111	open	—	10-27 07:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-17 01:58
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-13 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 24?	1	$97	98	0	+98	Yes	+$1	06-24 14:42
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?	3	$96	51	51	+0	No	$0	07-18 21:03
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	2	$96	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-03 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?	1	$95	99	0	+99	Yes	+$4	06-05 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	1	$95	96	0	+96	Yes	+$1	06-05 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	1	$88	90	0	+90	Yes	+$2	06-11 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	1	$86	89	0	+89	Yes	+$3	06-06 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:21:45	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xb00c61…
10-27 06:54:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x63b349…
10-27 06:51:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x0553b5…
10-27 06:15:17	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x26e46c…
10-27 06:01:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0x00df4c…
10-27 04:48:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xf0346c…
10-27 01:57:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	22	34¢	$7	0xcf6730…
10-25 19:30:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x00d307…
10-25 18:04:47	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xa30a58…
10-25 16:22:23	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x96f034…
10-25 11:10:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xe1ab9b…
10-25 10:51:02	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa1c980…
10-25 09:13:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xaccebf…
10-25 03:26:12	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x5aa5a7…
10-24 16:27:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x46e9c3…
10-24 16:22:29	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x4e8e24…
10-24 16:18:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x9423a2…
10-24 11:35:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x924f7f…
10-24 10:44:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x3a0c76…
10-24 10:04:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x356e34…
10-24 05:27:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xaa43ed…
10-24 03:12:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xf40b66…
10-24 01:07:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xe15853…
10-23 22:01:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xed1a3b…
10-23 18:05:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0xa3e38f…
10-23 17:55:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x0570df…
10-23 17:31:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe0a3a1…
10-23 13:00:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x462a14…
10-23 12:35:42	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xa9afc1…
10-23 12:22:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7fbd24…
10-23 05:51:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xd9c520…
10-23 04:11:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x352338…
10-23 02:49:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xbb8e65…
10-23 01:01:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x855ed6…
10-22 17:56:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xab234f…
10-22 12:57:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xa534c7…
10-22 09:13:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xaa0f1f…
10-22 05:46:37	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x82b433…
10-22 05:46:20	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x105d16…
10-22 02:49:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x181e50…
10-22 02:47:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xc0c296…
10-21 22:04:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xbfbb71…
10-21 21:47:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x15a28c…
10-21 21:39:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xe05c67…
10-21 21:19:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd766bc…
10-21 21:02:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1b4352…
10-21 20:56:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x684cc9…
10-21 19:06:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0x11f2dd…
10-21 09:59:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x481f19…
10-21 09:00:23	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xf465d7…
10-21 08:44:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xb81134…
10-21 07:06:02	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x26f65c…
10-21 06:23:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	12¢	$6	0xa9697c…
10-21 06:04:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xe6d333…
10-21 02:02:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x0d529b…
10-20 17:05:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0x46b8e1…
10-20 12:29:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	25¢	$10	0x9093fd…
10-20 12:24:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x54e365…
10-20 08:45:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x14e720…
10-20 02:45:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$37	0x66577a…
10-19 09:08:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xb6d422…
10-19 01:00:21	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xae2d82…
10-19 00:35:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0x84117f…
10-18 19:25:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x5c9a11…
10-18 16:10:44	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x6f5400…
10-17 21:27:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x0a17a2…
10-17 17:44:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xe6d896…
10-17 03:53:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x8f2b0d…
10-17 00:50:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x02ef69…
10-16 06:49:36	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x423a21…
10-16 00:56:15	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xbda69d…
10-16 00:53:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0xae7c3d…
10-15 22:58:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x17def7…
10-15 22:37:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb4240f…
10-15 16:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x48be94…
10-15 14:56:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	52	25¢	$13	0xec53e9…
10-15 14:50:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x3325e0…
10-15 07:04:31	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x0bf0a8…
10-15 06:19:17	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	51	62¢	$32	0x9e54c8…
10-15 05:43:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xf90146…
10-15 01:03:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xb2f0f3…
10-15 00:08:13	will wti dip to 75 in october 2026	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x3de571…
10-14 22:33:30	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0x97329e…
10-14 21:59:45	will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	39	31¢	$12	0x5fb683…
10-14 17:02:52	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xb6f118…
10-14 12:47:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x1f4d2c…
10-14 12:32:33	will bitcoin dip to 75k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x504517…
10-14 11:25:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x76d665…
10-14 10:04:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0x63f885…
10-14 07:49:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x221f8f…
10-13 21:40:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0xc5d2da…
10-13 15:53:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8dc9bf…
10-13 15:34:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7643f2…
10-13 10:05:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x630634…
10-13 02:15:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	52	16¢	$8	0xe8bf16…
10-13 01:02:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x45bcad…
10-13 00:02:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xed3190…
10-12 23:08:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0xc69745…
10-12 23:07:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xb0c6b0…
10-12 22:51:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa964d2…