Small-Physics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

1,737

Trades

3,361

lifetime

Volume

$3.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-27 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 45% -$30

Other

14% 7% -$100

Politics

0% 18% +$2

Sports

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:10 UTC	2	$67	35	35	+0	Down	+$2	04-05 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:00 UTC	2	$60	33	32	+0	Up	+$4	04-05 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:35 UTC	2	$52	28	28	+0	Up	+$4	04-05 14:39
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$48	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	05-04 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:55 UTC	3	$48	54	6	+48	Up	+$1	02-20 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 06:30 UTC	1	$45	46	0	+46	Up	+$0	04-06 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 19:20 UTC	1	$45	49	0	+49	Up	+$4	02-20 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 07:35 UTC	3	$42	34	22	+12	Up	+$7	04-09 07:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 14:30 UTC	1	$42	45	0	+45	Up	+$3	02-20 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC	1	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	04-05 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:55 UTC	3	$39	31	19	+12	Up	-$3	04-06 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:15 UTC	1	$36	38	0	+38	Up	+$2	04-05 19:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 22:30 UTC	2	$36	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	02-19 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:00 UTC	1	$35	37	0	+37	Down	+$2	02-19 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:35 UTC	2	$33	35	0	+35	Up	$0	04-08 07:39
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$31	47	45	+2	No	-$9	04-07 12:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	5	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	02-14 01:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 21:50 UTC	1	$30	35	0	+35	Down	+$5	02-19 21:54
tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	4	$29	45	45	+0	No	-$13	06-04 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 5?	10	$28	138	138	+0	Yes	+$10	05-05 06:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:40 UTC	2	$28	29	0	+29	Down	-$1	04-08 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:00 UTC	2	$28	30	0	+30	Down	+$3	04-05 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:50 UTC	1	$28	29	0	+29	Down	+$2	04-05 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:15 UTC	3	$27	33	9	+24	Up	+$1	02-20 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:10 UTC	1	$27	28	0	+28	Down	+$1	04-05 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:35 UTC	3	$26	29	19	+11	Down	-$1	04-07 19:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	2	$25	24	24	+0	Down	+$6	02-13 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:50 UTC	1	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	04-09 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:35 UTC	1	$24	27	0	+27	Down	+$3	04-05 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:20 UTC	1	$24	29	0	+29	Up	+$5	04-05 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 13:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x14fd3c…
07-27 13:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0e9b9e…
07-27 13:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x41d531…
07-27 13:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x81bdb4…
07-27 13:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x160aa9…
07-27 12:15:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x8517ca…
07-14 08:44:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x72f335…
07-14 08:44:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xdf6df0…
07-14 08:39:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x47329a…
06-04 00:27:18	tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x541a9d…
06-04 00:22:49	tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0xa2b11d…
06-03 16:34:57	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1a3118…
06-03 15:54:01	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x1dc5df…
06-03 15:47:54	Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7e5c02…
06-03 11:46:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x518bde…
06-02 16:12:02	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0c940e…
06-02 12:29:33	Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x024554…
05-30 18:04:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x938dd7…
05-29 13:39:08	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfd997d…
05-23 14:30:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xa2df26…
05-19 07:17:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x61e22c…
05-16 00:38:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x055149…
05-15 14:44:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd54b1c…
05-15 08:22:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x9da011…
05-14 17:58:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x546587…
05-14 17:57:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xeee1da…
05-14 12:26:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	0¢	$2	0x18b094…
05-13 22:54:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1ffb4e…
05-13 20:58:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1f9cc5…
05-08 10:43:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x57bdff…
05-07 07:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7a34d7…
05-07 07:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xad4729…
05-07 06:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x57e6b3…
05-07 04:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x4dce8f…
05-07 04:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x60fa13…
05-07 04:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x0f7afe…
05-07 04:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfb5708…
05-07 04:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa710da…
05-07 04:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa1b2ed…
05-07 04:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4990db…
05-07 04:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x260e37…
05-07 04:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x881fa9…
05-07 03:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xba6bb6…
05-07 03:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe15d58…
05-07 02:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x40ceff…
05-07 02:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1c7de2…
05-07 01:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x13bdb5…
05-07 00:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3cd74a…
05-06 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfffeed…
05-06 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf617b3…
05-06 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb35803…
05-06 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa4a194…
05-06 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8271e6…
05-06 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x721218…
05-06 17:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2f3e55…
05-06 17:30:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0xecbbe2…
05-06 17:26:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x2eb079…
05-06 17:07:21	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x49967b…
05-06 16:24:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x965024…
05-06 16:00:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7b69e1…
05-06 15:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xeab75a…
05-06 15:26:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6b1946…
05-06 15:25:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xce57a2…
05-06 15:25:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8e32a4…
05-06 15:25:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x803ca6…
05-06 15:25:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x18d4ff…
05-06 15:25:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfde1f1…
05-06 15:25:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc16abe…
05-06 15:25:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbd7434…
05-06 15:25:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa1a543…
05-06 15:25:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x95425c…
05-06 15:25:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4b5e57…
05-06 15:25:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0c9fab…
05-06 15:17:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa9b2ea…
05-06 15:04:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x53a0f4…
05-06 15:03:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x62880c…
05-06 15:00:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x4e4c56…
05-06 15:00:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xc15dcf…
05-06 14:48:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1369c6…
05-06 14:48:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x1d62e7…
05-06 14:32:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb1f6e2…
05-06 13:51:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x1cca62…
05-06 13:47:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x16315f…
05-06 13:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8cff7c…
05-06 12:41:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x66233c…
05-06 12:39:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x0b67b7…
05-06 12:22:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xde3d8e…
05-06 12:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa5294c…
05-06 12:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xd37010…
05-06 12:01:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x26481c…
05-06 12:00:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x291891…
05-06 11:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xc8d342…
05-06 11:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6e034d…
05-06 08:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x068a8c…
05-06 08:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x1e544f…
05-06 08:07:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xeea731…
05-06 06:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x28f7ad…
05-06 06:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd8f42f…
05-06 06:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0a3555…
05-06 06:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0da2e0…