Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

+$57

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

548

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$116

Politics

29% 50% +$1,032

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1,090	$-139	8¢	$-82	+$57	06-13 08:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	7	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-05 10:09
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	65	$940	3,303	0	+3,303	open	—	02-13 17:44
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	24	$745	1,133	708	+425	open	—	02-14 18:50
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	8	$744	300	600	-300	open	—	01-16 10:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	10	$715	500	500	+0	open	—	06-15 15:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$708	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	+$1,092	03-18 07:46
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	19	$596	500	473	+27	open	—	03-23 18:48
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	25	$576	3,030	0	+3,030	open	—	03-30 12:00
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	18	$575	1,640	1,640	+0	open	—	04-12 19:12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	13	$563	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-25 23:36
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	9	$527	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	02-09 15:34
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	14	$518	1,267	0	+1,267	open	—	01-17 05:04
will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	10	$500	800	0	+800	open	—	03-20 21:18
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	16	$452	1,945	0	+1,945	open	—	01-16 10:24
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$402	300	300	+0	open	—	01-15 12:08
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	11	$395	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	03-23 10:22
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	13	$391	255	255	+0	Yes	+$116	04-22 08:26
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	2	$334	200	200	+0	open	—	01-30 17:39
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	9	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 01:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$298	700	700	+0	Yes	$-60	03-09 19:51
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	5	$261	300	150	+150	open	—	06-16 18:09
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	97	$217	350	0	+350	open	—	06-25 09:14
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$216	600	62	+538	open	—	01-31 13:16
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	3	$212	600	600	+0	open	—	03-23 05:53
will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	16	$201	300	0	+300	open	—	07-01 05:20
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$193	700	0	+700	open	—	01-15 13:09
will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	5	$188	400	0	+400	open	—	06-29 17:27
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	9	$177	456	0	+456	open	—	01-12 10:47
will russia enter orikhiv by march 31	12	$177	600	573	+27	open	—	03-19 03:10
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	9	$175	850	0	+850	open	—	01-06 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 05:20:31	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	221	67¢	$148	0xea2797…
06-29 22:17:40	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xc2176e…
06-29 20:49:25	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x46d8d9…
06-29 20:47:40	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4c914a…
06-29 20:46:28	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x25d9a4…
06-29 20:44:55	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd3d596…
06-29 20:37:56	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xfe9da7…
06-29 20:36:52	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9a9804…
06-29 20:35:37	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcbe0ba…
06-29 20:34:23	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd33bd8…
06-29 20:33:28	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x62ef94…
06-29 20:26:46	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0a8986…
06-29 17:27:17	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x3a160f…
06-29 16:51:43	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	176	13¢	$23	0x016d33…
06-29 16:08:14	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xabe295…
06-29 16:07:17	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x257def…
06-29 16:03:40	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xf2f25e…
06-29 16:02:56	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x67ce1b…
06-29 15:59:41	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5cc180…
06-29 15:53:47	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x36509d…
06-29 15:52:02	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x07164c…
06-29 15:51:29	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x54c15b…
06-29 15:47:59	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xa05e79…
06-29 15:47:14	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x1f65f0…
06-29 15:45:16	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x27daae…
06-29 15:39:25	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0xee3778…
06-29 15:38:05	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x01bb45…
06-25 10:35:13	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	48	55¢	$27	0x0f7591…
06-25 10:34:53	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x44e4ae…
06-25 10:11:28	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	89	55¢	$49	0xacc7d5…
06-25 09:40:50	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xd60335…
06-25 09:14:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x7f42d7…
06-25 09:14:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xe7142f…
06-25 09:14:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x45d3cb…
06-25 09:14:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x4768c6…
06-25 09:14:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x412af6…
06-25 09:14:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x8bda7b…
06-25 09:14:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x029aed…
06-25 09:14:41	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x509e65…
06-25 09:14:41	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x4d055b…
06-25 09:14:40	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x8158c5…
06-25 09:14:40	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x0f69ac…
06-25 09:04:50	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1e53d2…
06-25 09:04:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xad01b2…
06-25 09:04:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1f83e6…
06-25 09:04:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xde4238…
06-25 09:04:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x0e3914…
06-25 09:04:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xb133e8…
06-25 09:04:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x2f03bd…
06-25 09:04:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x2420ef…
06-25 09:04:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1b019b…
06-25 09:04:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xbd0193…
06-25 09:04:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x38d9d5…
06-25 08:55:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xba7b0d…
06-25 08:55:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xdf41ed…
06-25 08:55:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x78d96b…
06-25 08:55:20	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xd4908f…
06-25 08:55:20	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x6580a0…
06-25 08:55:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x867136…
06-25 08:55:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x7695f9…
06-25 08:55:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x71062b…
06-25 08:55:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x649ba2…
06-25 08:55:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x5881dd…
06-25 08:55:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xedeb94…
06-25 08:55:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xe199c0…
06-25 08:55:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xa9c779…
06-25 08:55:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x7af779…
06-25 08:55:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x598702…
06-25 08:55:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x286792…
06-25 08:55:17	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x17694c…
06-25 08:55:16	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xfbf039…
06-25 08:55:16	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xef93b3…
06-25 08:44:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xc1ca53…
06-25 08:44:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x3db7e3…
06-25 08:44:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x37574e…
06-25 08:44:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x2645a4…
06-25 08:44:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1dabfc…
06-25 08:44:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x1294ec…
06-25 08:44:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x105736…
06-25 08:44:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xbddaf3…
06-25 08:44:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xaf293b…
06-25 08:44:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x9c8f3f…
06-25 08:44:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x5b139c…
06-25 08:44:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x2de7cd…
06-25 08:44:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x05804b…
06-25 08:44:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xc3a9ff…
06-25 08:44:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x894563…
06-25 08:44:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x75504c…
06-25 08:44:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x6746ea…
06-25 08:44:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x43e9bf…
06-25 08:44:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xbdd148…
06-25 08:44:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x9c7da4…
06-25 08:44:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x81b393…
06-25 08:44:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x11499f…
06-25 08:44:50	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xec0bc9…
06-25 08:44:50	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x137521…
06-25 08:34:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x86e3e1…
06-25 08:34:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x71c423…
06-25 08:34:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x503b50…
06-25 08:34:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xee359d…