Obedient-Bamboo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.5%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-17 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

92% 19% -$2,483

Politics

8% 33% -$414

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	33	$5.0K	22,892	8,479	+14,413	No	-$1,158	03-31 18:05
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	21	$3.1K	7,860	7,860	+0	No	-$386	05-12 05:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	29	$2.5K	8,309	8,309	+0	No	-$235	03-30 20:55
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	21	$1.7K	9,886	9,886	+0	No	-$15	03-29 22:04
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	10	$847	888	888	+0	Yes	+$317	03-27 18:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$678	0	1,441	-1,441	Yes	-$762	05-11 20:59
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$419	3,176	3,176	+0	No	-$41	03-29 22:05
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	6	$389	282	282	+0	Yes	+$97	03-26 17:40
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	9	$383	1,727	935	+792	No	-$27	05-17 06:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$353	980	980	+0	No	-$98	03-23 12:55
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	9	$350	3,511	0	+3,511	No	-$350	05-08 14:40
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$200	345	345	+0	Yes	+$0	03-22 19:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$196	224	224	+0	No	-$4	03-26 07:01
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$172	2,025	2,025	+0	No	-$28	03-22 06:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$150	500	500	+0	No	+$60	03-23 14:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	6	$148	2,057	2,057	+0	No	-$106	03-30 21:42
will the us invade iran by march 31	5	$128	922	922	+0	No	-$22	03-29 18:59
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	5	$69	459	0	+459	No	-$69	05-13 19:41
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	3	$40	803	0	+803	No	-$40	05-17 06:57
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$30	450	0	+450	No	-$30	05-17 06:56
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$5	0	667	-667	No	+$5	05-10 16:09
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$4	444	0	+444	No	-$4	05-07 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 06:58:24	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x248af5…
05-17 06:57:21	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xfd74dd…
05-17 06:57:06	Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	4¢	$10	0xb51acf…
05-17 06:56:50	Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	7¢	$30	0xa47d6d…
05-17 06:56:36	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xc4ae15…
05-14 10:13:08	Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x795f99…
05-14 10:12:28	Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	5¢	$20	0xec9e12…
05-14 06:51:55	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	935	19¢	$178	0x430cde…
05-13 19:41:36	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	15¢	$9	0xa83328…
05-13 19:41:12	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x1f01cb…
05-13 19:41:05	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xcf0111…
05-13 19:40:38	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x1454db…
05-13 19:40:31	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x629fa7…
05-13 19:39:48	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x6aaece…
05-13 19:39:41	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x41057b…
05-13 19:39:27	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x0cb34e…
05-13 19:38:55	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	511	12¢	$60	0x75cea7…
05-13 19:38:41	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x5a0d0a…
05-12 05:10:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	685	28¢	$190	0x8175ee…
05-11 20:59:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	407	74¢	$302	0x178efd…
05-11 20:47:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	43¢	$56	0x150ded…
05-11 20:38:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	43¢	$52	0x81493c…
05-11 20:37:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	43¢	$127	0x55c72d…
05-11 20:37:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	389	43¢	$168	0x9d875a…
05-11 18:56:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	381	24¢	$91	0xcbb571…
05-11 18:14:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	741	21¢	$154	0x85bce9…
05-11 18:13:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	602	22¢	$130	0x06e691…
05-11 06:12:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	545	8¢	$45	0xef45e2…
05-10 17:04:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	248	10¢	$25	0x57b127…
05-10 17:03:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	619	10¢	$61	0x69c93a…
05-10 16:59:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	10¢	$48	0x61d7b2…
05-10 16:09:50	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$5	0x50b61f…
05-10 16:07:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	394	6¢	$23	0xb3b447…
05-10 16:06:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,319	6¢	$79	0xac0acf…
05-08 14:40:31	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	406	5¢	$20	0x998163…
05-08 14:40:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	26¢	$22	0x6ed72d…
05-08 14:33:00	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	580	5¢	$28	0xba959d…
05-08 14:32:04	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	476	4¢	$19	0x0f23e4…
05-08 14:31:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	26¢	$30	0x562bf1…
05-08 13:43:42	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	25¢	$21	0x42dec3…
05-08 13:43:16	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	615	5¢	$29	0x1f3dbb…
05-08 13:42:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	25¢	$30	0xee2704…
05-08 06:35:38	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	663	17¢	$115	0xda16af…
05-08 06:35:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	48¢	$122	0x427f71…
05-08 06:34:37	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	327	16¢	$54	0xc39e06…
05-08 06:34:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	604	10¢	$58	0x6d092c…
05-08 05:11:45	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x439e44…
05-08 03:39:39	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	236	21¢	$50	0x9018f1…
05-08 03:38:48	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	43¢	$57	0x091339…
05-08 03:37:55	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	175	17¢	$30	0x62dcb6…
05-07 21:54:54	Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	1¢	$4	0x36b03e…
05-07 18:55:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	314	12¢	$37	0x98e056…
05-05 18:58:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	921	10¢	$93	0x290088…
05-05 18:57:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	39¢	$96	0xc62d7b…
04-24 07:41:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,488	19¢	$650	0xe35cfa…
04-22 06:54:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,357	28¢	$380	0x26cda4…
04-21 18:55:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,072	29¢	$600	0x807ebf…
04-21 18:54:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xb7d93f…
03-31 18:05:53	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	5,256	2¢	$100	0x30ec9a…
03-31 17:27:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	3,558	3¢	$100	0x325a2a…
03-31 17:02:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	1,847	5¢	$100	0xdac7ce…
03-31 16:58:17	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	900	11¢	$100	0xae3d77…
03-31 16:57:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	837	12¢	$100	0x07a6d8…
03-31 16:56:03	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	1,006	10¢	$100	0x1c6ea4…
03-31 16:55:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	1,009	10¢	$100	0x4f8de2…
03-31 16:51:23	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	5,743	12¢	$718	0x728f32…
03-31 16:46:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	429	23¢	$100	0xb1ab11…
03-31 16:37:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	938	43¢	$399	0xa157f6…
03-31 16:36:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	1,563	44¢	$685	0xd44e9a…
03-31 08:56:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	434	23¢	$100	0xe31dc3…
03-31 08:27:19	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0x3eee9e…
03-31 07:00:13	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	356	31¢	$110	0xcbb4b7…
03-31 06:05:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xc2a89d…
03-31 05:20:03	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x5fbb4d…
03-30 21:42:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,057	1¢	$21	0x48d24f…
03-30 20:55:07	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	5,184	12¢	$640	0x67deb3…
03-30 18:33:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	938	32¢	$300	0xb887a6…
03-30 16:51:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0x5f2217…
03-30 16:19:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	830	12¢	$100	0x135cf0…
03-30 12:34:22	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	1,072	28¢	$300	0xde6aa4…
03-30 07:29:18	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	547	37¢	$200	0x0ecffe…
03-30 07:21:34	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0x9914e8…
03-30 06:47:16	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	2,345	13¢	$310	0xb07e75…
03-30 03:49:36	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0xa2e530…
03-30 03:49:24	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	527	38¢	$200	0xee42cb…
03-30 03:49:14	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	2,739	15¢	$400	0xa2605a…
03-29 22:19:54	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	123	24¢	$30	0xb648f6…
03-29 22:16:10	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	150	27¢	$40	0xb7f583…
03-29 22:13:06	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0xf21a33…
03-29 22:09:32	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x0b708c…
03-29 22:05:38	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xcaafbd…
03-29 22:05:24	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	935	3¢	$26	0x07912f…
03-29 22:04:42	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	2,452	6¢	$146	0x534fe4…
03-29 22:02:44	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	2,552	6¢	$164	0xdfe0a1…
03-29 22:01:46	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	2,044	8¢	$156	0x07cded…
03-29 18:59:50	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	922	6¢	$53	0xc78450…
03-29 18:47:58	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	1,653	11¢	$175	0xa53b7f…
03-29 17:24:32	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	1,065	9¢	$100	0xe15b3b…
03-29 16:40:54	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	952	3¢	$30	0x349a8e…
03-29 13:19:48	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	313	6¢	$20	0x789fd3…