Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,555
$19,341 in 24h
Trades
106
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$30,323
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-14 12:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $527
vs crowd: 0% YES on $3.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | — | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $823 | $823 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $7 | $101 | $94 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $527 | $527 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 3 | — | $509 | $509 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $49 | $49 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| unranked | 3 | $7 | $101 | $94 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wry-Register 0x02f0…d710 | Yes | +1,318 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 17:46 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +862 | $859 | $859 | 32 | 05-14 12:44 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +845 | $842 | $842 | 16 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +529 | $527 | $527 | 13 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +331 | $330 | $330 | 13 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +180 | $179 | $179 | 5 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +143 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 05-11 08:10 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +142 | $141 | $141 | 2 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +123 | $122 | $122 | 5 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +95 | $95 | $95 | 4 | 05-10 22:45 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:44:27 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x246188… |
| 05-14 12:20:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1a8915… |
| 05-14 12:15:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8cc27e… |
| 05-14 12:15:47 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0xd51cdb… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2aeaa1… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x23049e… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x7ede63… |
| 05-14 12:15:40 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xddb43c… |
| 05-14 12:15:36 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x263573… |
| 05-14 12:15:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xec783c… |
| 05-14 12:15:31 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbb7e91… |
| 05-14 12:15:29 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x260553… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8a650a… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x56fcee… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0xf90438… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x9a8453… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xe720d1… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xb3db80… |
| 05-14 12:14:24 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x20df06… |
| 05-14 12:14:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x48ec02… |
| 05-14 12:14:23 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xae307a… |
| 05-14 09:59:11 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe981a7… |
| 05-14 09:59:08 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x9251d8… |
| 05-14 09:59:08 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x05a38d… |
| 05-14 05:41:02 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x26ffd9… |
| 05-14 05:39:49 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x6515bb… |
| 05-14 04:21:23 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 421 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xadf9da… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x1d3f5f… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3c47dd… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x0d119b… |
| 05-13 22:44:09 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0xa9f6cb… |
| 05-13 22:44:09 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x7cf6a5… |
| 05-13 22:42:03 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x41fe57… |
| 05-13 22:42:03 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa80eaa… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x525f03… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x1a20bc… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x887e8f… |
| 05-13 20:29:07 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 923 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x0a39d1… |
| 05-13 20:05:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd4799e… |
| 05-13 19:57:39 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xfb5011… |
| 05-13 19:49:11 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5cbfbe… |
| 05-13 19:49:01 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 49 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x851c7a… |
| 05-13 19:48:50 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xb0aec1… |
| 05-13 16:42:36 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xb72f3c… |
| 05-13 14:13:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xfae405… |
| 05-13 12:38:18 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8fbee6… |
| 05-13 11:23:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xdf41b7… |
| 05-13 11:18:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x77bd96… |
| 05-13 11:18:06 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x21ac99… |
| 05-13 10:38:24 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x70d0e2… |
| 05-12 17:52:27 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0xe600ea… |
| 05-12 17:46:35 | Wry-Register 0x02f0…d710 | Yes | BUY | 1,318 | 0¢ | $7 | 0x14e555… |
| 05-12 17:41:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xac0a35… |
| 05-12 17:36:36 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xf363e6… |
| 05-12 17:32:26 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $34 | 0xe5a087… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 92 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x3c8b08… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0xd2afd8… |
| 05-12 12:37:48 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x15080a… |
| 05-12 08:27:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x15e4d2… |
| 05-11 23:58:25 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x5468a7… |
| 05-11 22:26:20 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xa90ef1… |
| 05-11 20:57:54 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x119804… |
| 05-11 19:13:31 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb4ce36… |
| 05-11 18:58:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xebea27… |
| 05-11 18:58:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe9ae41… |
| 05-11 11:48:12 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa4a360… |
| 05-11 10:35:27 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3a7072… |
| 05-11 08:10:17 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x5a0160… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x4b2066… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0x0e2659… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2ec1ff… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x91a509… |
| 05-11 08:10:14 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xb3f766… |
| 05-11 08:10:05 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 143 | 100¢ | $143 | 0xbf8c00… |
| 05-10 23:26:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf3b876… |
| 05-10 23:22:43 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x62a2ae… |
| 05-10 23:22:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x595b55… |
| 05-10 23:21:14 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd2545b… |
| 05-10 22:45:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 47 | 100¢ | $47 | 0x933ebf… |
| 05-10 22:45:53 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd7c97a… |
| 05-10 22:41:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x116681… |
| 05-10 22:24:55 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xca33db… |
| 05-10 19:38:54 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc33e63… |
| 05-10 19:38:36 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 241 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d9bf1… |
| 05-10 18:36:11 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6ed143… |
| 05-10 15:55:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x3f785b… |
| 05-10 15:55:53 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb5a79a… |
| 05-10 14:30:33 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0x292cae… |
| 05-10 14:30:31 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x51697e… |
| 05-10 11:20:32 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xc405eb… |
| 05-10 11:20:30 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa24547… |
| 05-10 10:41:14 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 97 | 100¢ | $97 | 0x334d79… |
| 05-10 10:41:14 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6eaa5a… |
| 05-10 10:41:13 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x86a11d… |
| 05-10 05:32:01 | Insistent-Term 0x4661…18b5 | No | SELL | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x7dd82b… |
| 05-10 03:31:33 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x392b0a… |
| 05-10 02:16:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x69baa9… |
| 05-09 08:40:04 | Satisfied-Mist 0x0901…935b | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x7ebb8a… |
| 05-08 15:37:24 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x338fc8… |
| 05-08 06:44:32 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x555aa9… |