Modest-Sting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-05 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 100% +$0

Politics

14% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$46	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	02-17 17:02
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$30	410	410	+0	open	—	02-21 08:06
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-12 10:36
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-11 09:30
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	04-10 13:15
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-09 08:25
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-07 13:21
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-05 23:26
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-03 12:37
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-01 13:12
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-31 12:33
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-30 08:26
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-29 09:11
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-28 07:00
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-26 02:28
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-25 03:32
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-24 12:11
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-23 08:32
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-22 14:17
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-21 15:23
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-19 13:44
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-18 08:49
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-11 09:20
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-03 07:50
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-22 03:08
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-18 14:53
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	02-28 18:30
ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	07-05 14:26
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-16 10:18
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-15 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 13:11:31	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x708ce6…
07-05 14:26:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa1e556…
07-02 03:06:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9406c4…
06-28 14:05:05	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x117f56…
06-25 15:30:13	ethereum above 1900 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x988c16…
06-14 09:58:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x59776c…
06-12 10:07:27	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dc766…
06-11 05:51:54	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3c1f6d…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5c9942…
06-04 13:04:36	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x313a0b…
05-23 12:25:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xde56fb…
05-22 13:09:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf34c6d…
05-21 10:06:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdbf3c0…
05-20 13:57:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0c6789…
05-15 12:17:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf88de4…
05-14 09:59:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8c7c5…
05-10 13:14:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x750ae7…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb54bc0…
05-05 13:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8f088d…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x668215…
05-02 14:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3598f5…
04-27 12:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07c804…
04-25 15:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbc2c37…
04-23 09:42:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ed4f7…
04-22 12:50:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19d7c3…
04-20 13:27:10	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x522603…
04-19 12:12:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x940cc4…
04-17 12:54:26	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96dc9b…
04-15 08:56:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x38cb40…
04-14 10:56:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbadaa5…
04-13 13:04:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x337ef8…
04-12 10:36:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf274d0…
04-11 09:30:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x314dc8…
04-10 13:15:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x3e38f6…
04-09 08:25:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x524a61…
04-07 13:21:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x079445…
04-05 23:26:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x16ce4d…
04-03 12:37:01	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x636e0b…
04-01 13:12:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x709b20…
03-31 12:33:59	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa789c7…
03-30 08:26:18	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5071c4…
03-29 09:11:34	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xba127c…
03-28 07:00:55	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xad1f3a…
03-26 02:28:31	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x34c5d2…
03-25 03:32:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd63c68…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 08:32:23	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcabc1b…
03-22 14:17:43	ethereum above 2200 on march 22	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x946964…
03-21 15:23:21	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x103ee8…
03-19 13:44:59	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x186dd4…
03-18 08:49:29	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb215d2…
03-17 09:51:19	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x78e158…
03-16 10:18:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6a4173…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x19f5e4…
03-12 18:07:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7fd7a4…
03-11 09:20:47	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x542b2e…
03-03 07:50:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x443b65…
03-01 19:20:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x38a382…
02-28 18:30:45	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xeed894…
02-22 03:08:16	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f1b79…
02-21 08:06:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	410	4¢	$15	0x77e62f…
02-21 04:30:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	410	4¢	$15	0x919ad0…
02-18 14:53:52	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x76433f…
02-17 17:02:25	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	SELL	3,300	1¢	$20	0x97eea2…
02-17 16:23:25	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	3,300	1¢	$26	0x31a0f2…
02-15 12:50:17	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	3,007	0¢	$6	0xcb2886…
02-14 23:03:33	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,007	0¢	$6	0x0e6ac7…
02-08 17:20:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	502	0¢	$2	0x0603df…
02-08 17:20:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	502	0¢	$2	0x16ca6e…