Wobbly-Breakthrough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

126

Trades

982

lifetime

Volume

$6.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-17 03:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% $-53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 302 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$49	90	+90	open	—	05-16 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$48	90	+90	open	—	05-16 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$47	96	+96	open	—	05-16 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$42	60	+60	open	—	05-16 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$40	60	+60	open	—	05-16 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$40	60	+60	open	—	05-16 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$39	60	+60	open	—	05-16 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$38	60	+60	open	—	05-16 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$37	60	+60	open	—	05-16 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$36	60	+60	open	—	05-16 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$34	60	+60	open	—	05-16 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$32	60	+60	open	—	05-16 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$30	60	+60	open	—	05-16 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$30	61	+61	open	—	05-16 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$30	60	+60	open	—	05-16 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$30	60	+60	open	—	05-16 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$30	60	+60	open	—	05-16 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$30	60	+60	open	—	05-16 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$30	40	+40	open	—	05-16 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$30	156	+156	open	—	05-15 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$29	60	+60	open	—	05-16 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$29	60	+60	open	—	05-16 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$29	60	+60	open	—	05-16 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$29	60	+60	open	—	05-16 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$29	60	+60	open	—	05-16 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$29	40	+40	open	—	05-17 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$29	60	+60	open	—	05-16 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$29	40	+40	open	—	05-17 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$29	40	+40	open	—	05-17 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$29	40	+40	open	—	05-17 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 03:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xdbbb8d…
05-17 03:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xdeea6e…
05-17 03:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4aa57a…
05-17 03:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11c41a…
05-17 03:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x5ec2d5…
05-17 03:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x43ff04…
05-17 03:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9649f9…
05-17 03:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x50083a…
05-17 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xe4f270…
05-17 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc9c259…
05-17 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xc0131c…
05-17 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbc63a6…
05-17 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x7280ef…
05-17 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x6fbbec…
05-17 03:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x1f0e21…
05-17 03:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x67e983…
05-17 03:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x649d2a…
05-17 03:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x11be24…
05-17 03:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x26ce52…
05-17 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x5e9d85…
05-17 02:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x8b0d96…
05-17 02:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xdc3076…
05-17 02:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x00d9a9…
05-17 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x14ed85…
05-17 02:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x019707…
05-17 02:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1cef8e…
05-17 02:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x66af05…
05-17 02:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5bc929…
05-17 02:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x78d331…
05-17 02:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x68f878…
05-17 02:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3e13c2…
05-17 02:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xdcea46…
05-17 02:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4a4dab…
05-17 02:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x40bc15…
05-17 02:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc40e86…
05-17 02:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x59a68c…
05-17 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0ca063…
05-17 02:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe58e1d…
05-17 02:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5402b2…
05-17 01:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x98f068…
05-17 01:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4f37df…
05-17 01:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x24cc5d…
05-17 01:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdcd24a…
05-17 01:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x728613…
05-17 01:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb1427e…
05-17 01:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9c3abf…
05-17 01:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x938c5e…
05-17 01:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x207f98…
05-17 01:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xcbd71d…
05-17 01:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x3c5838…
05-17 01:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4b6183…
05-17 01:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd44140…
05-17 01:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc7aea0…
05-17 01:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xcee40e…
05-17 01:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe24632…
05-17 01:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa0f580…
05-17 01:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6aa96f…
05-17 01:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5c22b6…
05-17 01:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x385f2a…
05-17 01:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe945e4…
05-17 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x146e58…
05-17 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xf39807…
05-17 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc520f2…
05-17 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xbfcdcf…
05-17 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4730ef…
05-17 01:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xbd0461…
05-17 01:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x69b67b…
05-17 01:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x0331d2…
05-17 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe6c215…
05-17 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xddb8ad…
05-17 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xa566fb…
05-17 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6bd514…
05-17 00:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xaebfda…
05-17 00:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd872f3…
05-17 00:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa222cd…
05-17 00:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x50220c…
05-17 00:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xa0fa11…
05-17 00:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x65f516…
05-17 00:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf343ac…
05-17 00:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1c84a6…
05-17 00:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xbc55ee…
05-17 00:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x3b4228…
05-17 00:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe88cff…
05-17 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x333712…
05-17 00:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x1a6320…
05-17 00:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x11ea62…
05-17 00:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xbf3877…
05-17 00:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2a3903…
05-17 00:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xbfd40c…
05-17 00:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe1a31c…
05-16 23:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2db1dd…
05-16 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x30eb60…
05-16 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2fe8bf…
05-16 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2b6d84…
05-16 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x1f8fce…
05-16 23:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xbbf34b…
05-16 23:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xad44d4…
05-16 23:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x56f9a3…
05-16 23:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x256781…
05-16 23:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc0da2d…