Wobbly-Breakthrough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$213

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-14 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-14 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	26	+26	Up	$-5	05-14 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-14 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	22	+22	Up	$-5	05-14 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	$-5	05-14 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-14 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-14 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	16	+16	Up	$-5	05-14 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-14 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-14 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-14 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	14	+14	Up	+$9	05-14 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$5	14	+14	Down	$-5	05-14 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	13	+13	Up	+$8	05-14 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-14 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	+$7	05-14 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-14 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-14 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-14 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-14 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	$-5	05-14 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-14 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$3	05-14 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-14 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-14 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-14 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$3	05-14 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-14 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$2	05-14 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$2	05-14 06:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe448ce…
05-14 06:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x9062a9…
05-14 06:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x748d3a…
05-14 06:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfdfa1c…
05-14 06:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0347ea…
05-14 05:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xda2f3a…
05-14 05:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf3c794…
05-14 05:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xbf4a22…
05-14 05:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xda6915…
05-14 05:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xf259dd…
05-14 05:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0aff7d…
05-14 05:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x50a3d0…
05-14 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbaad4b…
05-14 05:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xd8e5bc…
05-14 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x876379…
05-14 04:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xf668f5…
05-14 04:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb48577…
05-14 04:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6a31ae…
05-14 04:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x16019e…
05-14 04:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xc95524…
05-14 04:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfff7ff…
05-14 04:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc6b3a1…
05-14 04:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb00e62…
05-14 03:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x136289…
05-14 03:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcae6c7…
05-14 03:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x45dff3…
05-14 03:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x12432b…
05-14 03:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8c9115…
05-14 03:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7e0eff…
05-14 03:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x22c87e…
05-14 03:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3fa11e…
05-14 02:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe1978c…
05-14 02:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9adbde…
05-14 02:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaf8906…
05-14 02:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3cf62b…
05-14 02:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x867d4c…
05-14 01:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xd259e6…
05-14 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0xb1a1c5…
05-13 23:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x9a4cda…
05-13 22:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xad81e1…
05-13 21:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x8beae9…
05-09 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc8dab7…
05-09 03:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x8d6716…
05-08 05:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa6dc8b…
05-08 05:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf95900…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	45	$18.0K	540	05-14 06:29
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	45	$7.08K	651	05-14 06:26
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	45	$1.39K	373	05-14 06:29
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	44	$7.77K	314	05-14 06:26
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	44	$3.49K	331	05-14 06:26
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	44	$1.19K	320	05-14 06:25
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	43	$7.67K	314	05-14 06:26
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	42	$4.73K	318	05-14 06:26