Relieved-Route — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$725

Unrealized P&L

-$494

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

242

Trades

642

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$257

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-27 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

97% 55% -$710

Politics

3% 50% -$8

Crypto

0% 20% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+11,963	$751	2¢	$257	-$494	10-27 15:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	90	$3.4K	49,111	50,083	-972	No	-$642	06-28 12:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	46	$2.6K	13,980	15,672	-1,692	No	+$121	06-25 00:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	37	$1.6K	24,028	12,065	+11,963	open	—	10-27 15:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	6	$943	2,001	1,970	+30	No	+$13	04-06 03:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	41	$688	22,364	22,364	+0	No	-$51	05-29 02:20
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	3	$211	908	908	+0	Yes	-$49	04-26 02:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$161	643	643	+0	No	-$19	03-22 00:36
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	11	$119	475	196	+279	open	—	10-11 01:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$103	72	72	+0	Yes	+$3	03-06 04:00
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$55	36	36	+0	No	+$1	03-05 21:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	5	$46	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$17	04-23 16:21
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	3	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	03-06 23:31
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	3	$22	18	18	+0	No	+$2	03-06 23:30
will qatar strike iran by march 31	3	$21	14	14	+0	No	+$1	03-06 23:30
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$21	13	13	+0	No	+$1	03-25 14:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$20	16	16	+0	No	$0	03-05 22:37
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$17	21	21	+0	Yes	-$3	03-07 03:52
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	2	$16	17	17	+0	No	-$4	03-06 03:52
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 13c	3	$15	15	14	+1	Yes	+$14	04-09 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	2	$15	14	14	+1	Yes	+$13	04-29 06:53
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 7 2026 28c	2	$13	13	12	+1	Yes	+$12	04-07 19:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	1	$10	24	0	+24	No	-$10	03-05 22:39
highest temperature in san francisco on april 10 2026 68 69f	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-11 00:08
highest temperature in panama city on april 10 2026 32corhigher	4	$5	17	17	+1	Yes	-$1	04-09 19:33
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 21?	2	$5	52	0	+52	No	-$5	05-19 21:33
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 80 81f	2	$5	12	12	+0	No	-$1	04-09 19:32
Ōita Trinita vs. Albirex Niigata: O/U 2.5	2	$5	6	6	+0	Over	$0	10-15 16:22
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 14c	3	$5	16	16	+1	No	+$1	04-07 19:58
nor lil ik 2026 04 11 total 1pt5	3	$4	8	7	+1	Over	+$0	04-07 19:55
highest temperature in dallas on april 8 2026 72 73f	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-07 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:29:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	175	4¢	$7	0x3de86f…
10-27 15:29:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x7e7ff2…
10-23 23:13:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	863	5¢	$44	0xb9d57b…
10-23 23:12:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	490	5¢	$25	0x06e3ea…
10-19 22:50:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,021	4¢	$45	0x428764…
10-19 22:49:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,801	4¢	$81	0x2f90c7…
10-15 16:23:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x482286…
10-15 16:22:20	col bra lin 2026 10 15 spread home 1pt5	Lincoln Red Imps FC	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x5d0ed4…
10-15 16:22:05	Ōita Trinita vs. Albirex Niigata: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x96ddf9…
10-15 16:21:52	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	SELL	5	33¢	$1	0x9b6e61…
10-15 16:21:29	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x3672f2…
10-15 07:07:44	ja2 oit alb 2026 10 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xd5df5b…
10-15 05:03:38	lib est fla 2026 10 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbeab68…
10-15 04:59:16	col bra lin 2026 10 15 spread home 1pt5	Lincoln Red Imps FC	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x611410…
10-15 03:59:02	uel bou stu1 2026 10 15 spread home 1pt5	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2ac63b…
10-13 10:26:34	Iceland vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc8bce3…
10-13 08:53:37	Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xe9d3c6…
10-13 07:33:25	Spread: Iceland (-1.5)	Croatia	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe5e1b3…
10-13 07:33:25	Spread: Iceland (-1.5)	Croatia	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd68ef9…
10-13 05:45:39	Spread: IFK Norrkoping FK (-1.5)	GIF Sundsvall	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1814ed…
10-12 12:20:08	Tractor Tabriz vs. Al-Shamal: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x5ee2b6…
10-12 11:53:14	Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 1 - 1 Cruzeiro EC?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x55afa8…
10-12 11:16:48	Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x95b0e8…
10-12 11:00:50	Eyüpspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd686e6…
10-12 10:05:20	AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón vs. Escorpiones de Belén: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8e0d95…
10-12 09:53:32	RKS Radomiak Radom vs. LKP Motor Lublin: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xeea9c5…
10-12 09:20:29	FK Livyi Bereh vs. FK Zorya Luhansk: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xf7c6bf…
10-12 08:52:25	North East United FC vs. Mohun Bagan Super Giant: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x48342a…
10-12 08:43:40	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xa769c9…
10-12 07:04:59	Nacional Asuncion vs. Recoleta FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xe933ad…
10-12 06:15:12	CA All Boys vs. CD Godoy Cruz: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xa96431…
10-12 06:04:11	CA Boca Juniors vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc709bc…
10-11 11:25:54	CA Temperley vs. Nueva Chicago: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfb91b1…
10-11 11:22:23	Fredrikstad FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x6f9558…
10-11 11:01:56	Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. Young Boys Bern: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x1872b4…
10-11 10:50:32	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa95018…
10-11 10:32:15	Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x203ead…
10-11 10:28:50	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8a6c9c…
10-11 09:57:45	Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9ea0b1…
10-11 09:53:18	Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball vs. Ranheim: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf427a8…
10-11 09:53:18	Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball vs. Ranheim: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x4b0719…
10-11 09:32:19	Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd88cab…
10-11 08:59:25	US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Mantova 1911: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xff1b10…
10-11 08:25:27	Exact Score: RFK Akhmat Groznyi 1 - 1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x3522a0…
10-11 08:15:48	FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kudrivka: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4e6568…
10-11 08:02:46	RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Baltika Kaliningrad: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xbaf05f…
10-11 01:41:33	Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0x6bf0c9…
10-11 01:41:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,962	3¢	$119	0xddf414…
10-11 00:23:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,282	3¢	$158	0xaefcc9…
10-07 00:50:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	562	3¢	$18	0x78c9d4…
10-07 00:49:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	781	3¢	$25	0x4524b6…
09-29 16:50:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x682dae…
09-29 16:50:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	758	3¢	$25	0xc806ed…
09-18 14:40:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x389428…
09-18 14:40:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,145	4¢	$50	0x8f388c…
09-18 14:39:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,217	4¢	$50	0x87c8c3…
09-11 17:03:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	892	4¢	$33	0xee347b…
09-11 17:02:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,351	4¢	$50	0x502ea5…
09-11 17:02:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,351	4¢	$50	0x11fc46…
09-11 17:02:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x94ae9e…
09-10 15:59:13	Falkenbergs FF vs. Osters IF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xa41efa…
09-10 14:08:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	175	3¢	$6	0x8e7a82…
09-10 14:07:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,482	3¢	$50	0x562fb9…
09-10 13:57:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	794	3¢	$27	0x308a78…
09-10 13:56:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,562	3¢	$50	0xa8d8d1…
09-10 13:56:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,584	3¢	$50	0xef8e4e…
09-10 13:55:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,613	3¢	$50	0x9fa78e…
07-01 16:59:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	186	7¢	$13	0x007237…
06-30 19:24:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb28e78…
06-30 19:22:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xd1ed02…
06-30 18:39:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xfe156c…
06-30 18:39:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbcce43…
06-30 17:44:17	japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	Yes	BUY	114	18¢	$20	0x675559…
06-29 03:07:55	japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	Yes	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0x9f04a0…
06-29 03:07:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,644	9¢	$238	0xf299e6…
06-29 03:06:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	256	9¢	$23	0x719155…
06-28 16:36:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x60e487…
06-28 16:32:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x4c0785…
06-28 15:38:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	156	9¢	$14	0x950ef2…
06-28 15:38:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xbcd829…
06-28 12:54:05	japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x5b56a2…
06-28 12:53:43	japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3820eb…
06-28 12:52:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18,960	0¢	$19	0x022858…
06-25 00:44:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5,818	5¢	$304	0x744788…
06-22 14:42:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x4b0b81…
06-22 14:41:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6,320	0¢	$14	0xdd2791…
06-17 16:23:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	189	4¢	$7	0x3cd40d…
06-17 16:22:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0xcf2b0a…
06-17 16:22:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	676	4¢	$25	0x034773…
06-17 14:53:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	257	4¢	$9	0x8e293b…
06-17 14:52:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$10	0x5cd901…
06-16 19:04:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x9e1f86…
06-16 19:03:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x15c2eb…
06-16 19:00:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	481	4¢	$19	0x8d7cd9…
06-16 19:00:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0xbfe9ef…
06-09 18:09:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xd7a6db…
06-09 18:08:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x44dec6…
06-09 09:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x118b3c…
06-09 07:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x53de2d…
06-08 16:56:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x2f9f04…