Feisty-Passage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$178

Open exposure

$99

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-21 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$6

Other

47% 100% +$8

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No		+54	$54	99¢	$54	$0	10-11 08:51
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+47	$45	97¢	$45	+$0	10-21 06:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	1	$700	702	+702	No	+$2	01-04 17:00
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$684	685	+685	No	+$1	01-22 07:27
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$647	652	+652	No	+$5	02-08 13:36
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$635	636	+636	No	+$1	04-08 15:19
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$624	625	+625	No	+$1	06-04 10:58
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	1	$622	623	+623	No	+$1	05-06 12:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$611	613	+613	No	+$2	03-12 12:09
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$200	201	+201	No	+$1	07-13 13:19
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$155	155	+155	No	+$0	08-07 14:24
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	09-16 09:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	10-11 08:51
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$45	47	+47	open	—	10-21 06:11
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$43	43	+43	No	+$0	03-19 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	05-16 13:59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	06-29 12:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-13 13:11
will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-22 13:58
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	04-13 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-16 09:28
will bnb reach 1000 in august	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-07 14:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	09-16 09:29
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	10-11 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	05-22 12:06
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	09-20 13:25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	07-13 13:20
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	04-27 08:53
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	08-07 14:26
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	03-12 12:11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	04-27 08:55
Will Solana dip to $40 in August?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	08-25 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 06:11:51	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x019893…
10-11 08:52:27	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe0e3ab…
10-11 08:51:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x53bcf9…
09-20 13:25:45	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7cf23f…
09-16 09:29:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70f7fc…
09-16 09:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcea715…
09-16 09:27:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x03bde2…
08-25 12:27:37	Will Solana dip to $40 in August?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd063cb…
08-07 14:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x01e1a5…
08-07 14:25:39	will bnb reach 1000 in august	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeb98b1…
08-07 14:24:57	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x466f94…
07-13 13:20:28	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa901ae…
07-13 13:19:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x78e5f9…
06-29 12:50:02	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x317d5f…
06-04 10:58:51	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	625	100¢	$624	0x90c9cf…
05-22 12:06:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd58e14…
05-16 13:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8ea0a1…
05-06 12:59:42	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	623	100¢	$622	0x7650a7…
04-27 08:55:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1da2e7…
04-27 08:53:42	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x683a4f…
04-13 13:12:33	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb1fb0c…
04-13 13:11:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6dff7e…
04-08 15:19:07	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	636	100¢	$635	0xde9a8b…
03-22 13:58:25	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x260157…
03-19 09:26:03	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x0f97b1…
03-12 12:11:09	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfca3bd…
03-12 12:09:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	613	100¢	$611	0xb630a6…
02-08 13:36:21	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	652	99¢	$647	0xaccdf6…
01-22 07:27:02	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	685	100¢	$684	0x26064f…
01-04 17:00:01	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	No	BUY	702	100¢	$700	0xc2f614…