Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

149

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$328

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 11-01 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 33% +$7

Other

8% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		-18	-$14	90¢	$-16	-$2	09-30 05:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		-18	-$3	11¢	$-2	+$2	09-30 05:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$18	0	36	-36	open	—	09-30 05:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$10	0	20	-20	No	$0	08-31 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	11-01 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-14 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeba487…
11-01 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf92144…
11-01 21:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8101ae…
11-01 16:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xed447a…
11-01 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf7fc4f…
10-23 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xebaa8b…
10-23 04:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x26bee4…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x09854d…
10-23 01:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcbac94…
10-23 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa0b4d6…
10-23 01:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5ecf61…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3a7d16…
10-22 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbdd0c4…
10-22 22:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeddd27…
10-22 22:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x35d2f2…
10-22 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0b204d…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3e1dd2…
10-22 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x490b96…
10-22 18:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x416f3b…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaf6097…
10-22 14:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfd6332…
10-22 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4f270f…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x08f4aa…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x23b3b9…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2fbe3f…
10-22 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x09edf4…
10-22 05:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6feaaf…
10-22 05:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x120e92…
10-22 04:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1de4ab…
10-22 04:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4c9c47…
10-22 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa71dc1…
10-22 01:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xff343b…
10-22 00:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x553e0f…
10-21 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x54954b…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6d66ed…
10-21 15:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x44131d…
10-21 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1fa4fa…
10-21 11:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe44c7f…
10-21 11:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8b3d12…
10-21 11:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x62cd99…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5440b7…
10-21 08:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb1c5de…
10-21 08:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd57775…
10-21 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9faba1…
10-21 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xde93e2…
10-21 07:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x62ec25…
10-21 06:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xca1571…
10-21 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd2160d…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x678def…
10-21 01:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd2ea7a…
10-21 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa6c332…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x45c2a9…
10-21 00:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a9de2…
10-21 00:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd4e5ad…
10-20 19:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8cf355…
10-20 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1acb7d…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b1456…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8ae5ca…
10-20 04:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x79e546…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2fd548…
10-20 04:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5af886…
10-20 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaec68e…
10-20 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb68d82…
10-20 00:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6c5207…
10-20 00:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe1f92f…
10-19 23:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe1f066…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7f8e52…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe26306…
10-19 07:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe641b0…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4fc9b0…
10-18 23:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x93637e…
10-18 23:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x32f12a…
10-18 18:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9ac353…
10-18 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x96b114…
10-18 15:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd77bf4…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa255d3…
10-18 12:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdbdda6…
10-18 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x55bec4…
10-18 03:48:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb72a6c…
10-18 02:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5cd977…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2e608e…
10-17 23:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf42cc9…
10-17 17:20:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc9b4e1…
10-17 14:57:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa9eab4…
10-17 13:14:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe9b3bd…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa3b244…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb8bc39…
10-17 11:59:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x945dbe…
10-17 11:54:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e1fa5…
10-17 11:03:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1a342…
10-17 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1fb054…
10-17 04:05:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x62dfc9…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x54b79d…
10-16 20:24:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4ead5a…
10-16 20:14:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe95f08…
10-16 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9729a7…
10-16 13:11:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2b6e76…
10-16 12:40:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c27af…
10-16 00:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xebb2f6…
10-16 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x976734…