Cautious-Settlement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved (90d)

192

Trades (90d)

199

2,414 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$984

$12.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 11-10 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$8

Sports

15% 99% -$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-10 03:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:10
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-11 10:12
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
Will Mikes Evans play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-10 06:12
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Levanga Hokkaido vs. Alvark Tokyo	2	$10	5	5	+0	Levanga Hokkaido	+$0	05-03 07:28
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-09 22:15
Will Mikes Evans play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-10 06:12
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:27
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	3	$10	5	5	+0	Stricker	+$0	02-27 05:59
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 03:46:09	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1da75…
11-08 04:25:49	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba5ca4…
11-07 16:33:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x271127…
11-07 16:03:30	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ddbe4…
11-01 02:36:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf75124…
11-01 01:38:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1e30d…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e4a12…
11-01 00:05:09	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2af4b…
10-31 23:20:33	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba7188…
10-31 16:00:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0797ea…
10-31 00:29:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x572ccc…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9be4ef…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f4636…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57f7b8…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe08728…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b4061…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x807d50…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x466e6a…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5389a1…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc649a0…
10-20 18:41:36	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89a4b9…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47880e…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36f844…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2b931…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf822f7…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48481e…
10-13 14:15:19	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc66595…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x700c6a…
10-12 09:02:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab2038…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bf26f…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fbf60…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1c64d…
10-07 10:16:26	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xacb5e5…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x998510…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2639c9…
10-04 23:23:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a7eca…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f7c13…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae6b4e…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf83a30…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f3638…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa32e01…
10-01 12:05:33	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea1b8a…
10-01 07:27:03	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7461bd…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ef616…
09-30 23:55:02	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x978dea…
09-30 01:53:35	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x938bad…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c65ab…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x140787…
09-29 06:37:54	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x560d08…
09-29 06:37:44	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xeb91de…
09-29 04:35:57	wta dart ma 2026 09 28	Harriet Dart	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc910b1…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c3c5b…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2093d…
09-27 20:20:11	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50dd76…
09-27 13:30:39	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2ee56…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa71231…
09-27 00:27:45	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5936fe…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd882e8…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29fe8d…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc32db…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd518c2…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe495d5…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x429ff8…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x230dec…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x619289…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34df75…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd15476…
09-19 20:30:14	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x582352…
09-19 15:39:36	lol kor usa 2026 09 19	South Korea	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e58eb…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf12a7b…
09-18 15:37:16	Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs mskLANERS - Map 2 Winner	JUMBO TEAM	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c92b8…
09-17 20:22:42	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11bda9…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01d036…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd0b8b…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8db13…
09-17 14:00:54	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26019f…
09-17 12:44:27	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0855e7…
09-16 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ea651…
09-16 10:23:04	M25 Zlatibor: Veljko Krstic vs Henry Best	Veljko Krstic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ec7e0…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x080ce9…
09-15 17:48:58	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48850f…
09-14 18:22:49	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x706577…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5a709…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20fd18…
09-13 13:30:45	European T20 Premier League: Edinburgh Castle Rockers vs Amsterdam Flames	Amsterdam Flames	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c1560…
09-13 10:58:09	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13 game3	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05df73…
09-13 10:57:07	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04e450…
09-12 14:19:52	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10063d…
09-12 10:54:10	itf naw1 brown1 2026 09 12	Oscar Brown	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43c1df…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49dea9…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06b22e…
09-11 10:52:42	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa7740…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b324b…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d1874…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x466319…
09-10 17:31:51	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc18644…
09-10 12:35:24	Montreux: Fiona Ferro vs Barbora Palicova	Fiona Ferro	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c9ea9…
09-10 12:07:15	M25 Plaisir + H: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Nikola Slavic	Nikola Slavic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf75cf5…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbcc977…
09-09 22:45:51	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a8529…