Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

$204

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-18 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Politics

39% 78% -$15

Other

39% 96% +$34

Crypto

16% 65% -$21

Tech

6% 78% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+211	$200	97¢	$204	+$4	07-02 15:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	No	-$1	01-20 08:15
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	-$27	02-28 15:29
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Yes	+$11	01-29 17:03
will the us next strike iran on february 1 2026 et	1	$900	901	0	+901	No	+$1	02-02 09:01
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$749	750	0	+750	No	+$1	06-02 15:26
will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	1	$604	605	0	+605	No	+$1	01-20 08:16
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	02-11 15:11
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$550	551	0	+551	No	+$1	07-02 01:36
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	02-13 06:49
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	05-28 17:11
bitcoin above 74k on february 12	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	02-12 14:19
will the us next strike iran on february 15 2026 et	1	$499	501	0	+501	No	+$2	02-15 16:15
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	02-10 13:11
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	1	$450	450	0	+450	No	+$0	02-24 12:47
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	1	$401	401	0	+401	No	+$0	02-25 09:03
will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	03-17 15:17
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	5	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$4	03-17 14:25
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$350	351	0	+351	No	+$1	01-19 16:38
will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	02-10 13:18
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	04-08 08:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	2	$294	150	150	+0	Yes	+$3	06-12 08:40
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$278	279	0	+279	No	+$1	06-25 15:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	9	$261	136	136	+0	Yes	+$6	05-20 09:51
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$235	250	0	+250	No	+$15	02-27 10:56
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$1	02-24 11:43
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	04-30 12:08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$210	212	0	+212	No	+$2	05-01 13:38
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	10-18 15:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	07-02 15:45
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	05-01 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 15:41:18	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$102	0x573abe…
07-15 12:34:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x62ad0c…
07-15 12:31:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xc2058c…
07-02 17:01:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbb989b…
07-02 15:59:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa67536…
07-02 15:45:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x79428c…
07-02 15:39:23	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x564690…
07-02 01:36:19	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	551	100¢	$550	0x2e25a6…
06-26 01:19:37	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa21de8…
06-25 15:33:16	Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0x4d052c…
06-12 08:40:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x9b1430…
06-02 15:26:41	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	750	100¢	$749	0xb8c30d…
05-28 17:11:11	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x5eccb9…
05-23 00:58:56	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x4942a2…
05-20 09:51:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xc4c280…
05-20 07:34:53	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8f0ad…
05-20 07:34:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf549fb…
05-20 07:11:59	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xa2d7c5…
05-20 07:11:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xc6d5ea…
05-20 07:11:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x3ad08e…
05-01 17:19:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xacf2a4…
05-01 13:39:24	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x76106f…
05-01 13:38:26	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xbaf13b…
05-01 13:38:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc568e2…
05-01 13:37:56	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x17f65d…
04-30 12:08:30	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x429f3e…
04-30 12:08:14	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0xc3a932…
04-30 11:03:40	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa1b837…
04-26 13:23:32	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x727649…
04-15 01:20:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x835bfe…
04-08 16:06:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xcc565d…
04-08 14:19:19	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 14 516	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x732cfb…
04-08 08:28:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xd53a74…
04-08 08:25:45	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x05bf03…
04-08 08:25:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x560edb…
04-03 12:34:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2ee548…
04-03 12:25:25	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8f307a…
03-30 14:23:55	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4aaade…
03-18 14:08:35	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xaba6cb…
03-18 13:43:39	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0e939d…
03-17 15:18:31	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xccd67f…
03-17 15:17:05	will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xbba944…
03-17 14:25:27	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x23d7d7…
03-17 14:22:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3e11e7…
03-17 14:07:39	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x7c549d…
03-17 14:05:27	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0xcc36ed…
03-16 13:55:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x82b9d6…
03-11 16:27:47	will china join the board of peace	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xcfaf18…
03-09 14:56:59	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9d638e…
03-08 13:30:11	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x29997c…
03-02 13:49:07	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xe1a536…
03-02 13:48:35	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0xfd983b…
02-28 15:29:49	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	600	92¢	$553	0xceb2de…
02-28 08:39:03	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xb98a66…
02-28 08:33:47	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0xac43a7…
02-28 06:30:17	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xeb1630…
02-27 13:05:25	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9826cb…
02-27 10:56:27	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0x9cc5db…
02-25 13:17:06	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf93055…
02-25 09:03:04	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	401	100¢	$401	0x9a2f0c…
02-24 12:47:12	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x3c0477…
02-24 11:43:52	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0xea27e7…
02-17 18:36:21	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaf774f…
02-15 16:15:19	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0bd0b5…
02-15 16:15:05	will the us next strike iran on february 15 2026 et	No	BUY	501	100¢	$499	0xb20952…
02-13 16:55:27	bitcoin above 70k on february 13	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9c708e…
02-13 06:49:27	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x5f4e73…
02-12 14:19:21	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x300e36…
02-11 15:11:55	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xdae0f6…
02-10 13:18:01	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	292	99¢	$290	0x3cf731…
02-10 13:15:29	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79c561…
02-10 13:14:37	ethereum above 2300 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x99d814…
02-10 13:11:29	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x276331…
02-02 14:03:30	bitcoin above 78k on february 2	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa7447c…
02-02 13:08:32	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x312768…
02-02 09:54:20	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xca9c9e…
02-02 09:53:48	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x3f9b80…
02-02 09:01:52	will the us next strike iran on february 1 2026 et	No	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x19d92f…
01-29 17:03:46	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	519	100¢	$516	0xfc1cf4…
01-29 17:03:34	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x0d4bd4…
01-29 13:29:36	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 29 2026	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xf64847…
01-28 13:09:09	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 28 2026	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xe4e011…
01-26 07:54:09	will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xcd2e7f…
01-23 09:24:28	nvda above 155 on january 23 2026	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2739b5…
01-23 09:05:10	will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x5513c7…
01-22 12:29:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	519	97¢	$505	0x1844cc…
01-22 12:28:18	nvda above 155 on january 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x321f47…
01-20 08:16:06	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	No	BUY	605	100¢	$604	0x96b653…
01-20 08:15:46	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	602	100¢	$599	0x9e3f1b…
01-20 02:14:46	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0x9f02dd…
01-19 16:38:12	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	351	100¢	$350	0xdbc2a4…
01-17 02:22:38	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x182a79…
01-16 12:32:40	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1e92f0…
01-16 01:27:38	israel strikes iran by january 15 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x06dc26…
01-16 01:26:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb22933…
01-15 16:21:28	bitcoin above 100k on january 15	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xcb994e…
01-15 13:58:16	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	47	84¢	$40	0xdca2ff…
01-14 15:46:54	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3c34f8…
01-14 15:45:28	bitcoin above 92k on january 14	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xce6024…
01-14 15:29:36	will bitcoin reach 106k january 12 18	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x4f74ec…