Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-21 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

51% 10% -$8,258

Politics

49% 19% +$1,062

Sports

0% 0% -$52

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$7.1K	5,209	5,209	+0	Yes	+$3,096	02-02 22:41
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	11	$3.9K	13,216	0	+13,216	No	-$3,935	01-07 22:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.9K	0	2,077	-2,077	Yes	-$208	06-20 22:08
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	1	$1.6K	9,815	0	+9,815	No	-$1,570	02-02 23:04
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	4	$1.2K	3,557	0	+3,557	No	-$1,209	02-02 23:06
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$935	0	949	-949	Yes	-$14	06-20 22:09
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$773	621	621	+0	Yes	+$464	02-02 22:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	16	$747	19,518	200	+19,318	Yes	-$427	03-01 00:36
starmer out by june 22 2026	5	$740	2,126	0	+2,126	Yes	-$740	06-20 23:13
nothing ever happens israel edition	2	$703	625	625	+0	No	-$131	01-05 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$560	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$560	01-07 00:49
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$426	3,289	0	+3,289	No	-$426	01-11 01:35
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$405	17,729	0	+17,729	No	-$405	01-04 17:53
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$405	6,881	0	+6,881	No	-$405	01-04 17:52
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	1	$264	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	+$936	01-03 12:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	54	$221	1,192	0	+1,192	No	-$221	01-11 23:06
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	1	$200	31,573	0	+31,573	No	-$200	01-04 17:37
us strike on somalia by january 31	6	$190	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$190	01-07 01:39
will andr ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$186	275	0	+275	Yes	+$88	01-11 16:21
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$174	790	0	+790	No	-$174	01-12 12:30
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	1	$159	23,443	0	+23,443	No	-$159	01-04 17:57
starmer out by june 26 2026	13	$150	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$150	06-21 00:10
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	1	$120	3,292	0	+3,292	No	-$120	01-04 17:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$110	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$110	02-02 23:07
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	1	$100	1,111	0	+1,111	Yes	-$100	02-02 22:47
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$93	1,005	0	+1,005	No	-$93	01-03 12:28
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$84	1,829	0	+1,829	No	-$84	01-12 09:55
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 btts	7	$80	114	0	+114	Yes	+$34	01-11 08:31
will uae strike yemen by january 31	1	$53	508	0	+508	No	-$53	01-03 13:06
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$52	200	0	+200	No	-$52	06-20 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 00:10:43	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	294	15¢	$44	0x8d1adf…
06-21 00:01:53	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x10af8d…
06-20 23:37:58	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xfdbf5d…
06-20 23:33:07	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x15084c…
06-20 23:15:11	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb9c513…
06-20 23:13:02	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	331	35¢	$116	0xa3780c…
06-20 23:12:50	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x605cf1…
06-20 23:12:37	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbcb03d…
06-20 23:09:53	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x0d81da…
06-20 23:08:52	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x092a47…
06-20 23:07:16	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbc7b6c…
06-20 23:04:01	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	410	35¢	$144	0x4f4c19…
06-20 23:02:16	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	974	35¢	$341	0x097a5d…
06-20 23:02:05	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2b9eb1…
06-20 23:01:38	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	210	34¢	$71	0x3d3cc5…
06-20 22:58:10	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x60841c…
06-20 22:57:50	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	305	15¢	$46	0x12a60a…
06-20 22:57:49	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd12350…
06-20 22:47:08	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x232fb0…
06-20 22:09:25	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	949	98¢	$935	0x7337e8…
06-20 22:08:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,077	90¢	$1,869	0x3077e4…
03-01 00:36:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,046	2¢	$25	0x9f9579…
03-01 00:36:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,354	2¢	$56	0x7b06e8…
03-01 00:35:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0x12025c…
03-01 00:25:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	7,418	2¢	$185	0xcdc0d0…
03-01 00:23:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xe6cf75…
03-01 00:23:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x6ed0c0…
03-01 00:23:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x454521…
03-01 00:23:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	3,665	2¢	$84	0x75f44f…
03-01 00:23:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xa13ea2…
03-01 00:23:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x0a47a2…
03-01 00:23:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$48	0x7960f7…
03-01 00:23:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	512	2¢	$12	0xd9bf2b…
03-01 00:23:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2eabee…
03-01 00:22:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x85c790…
02-02 23:07:28	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x88b4a1…
02-02 23:06:42	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0x360565…
02-02 23:06:04	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xee90fa…
02-02 23:06:04	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x444860…
02-02 23:04:12	will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	Yes	BUY	9,815	16¢	$1,570	0x4b2791…
02-02 23:03:44	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	3,494	34¢	$1,188	0x56b939…
02-02 22:47:54	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xd4920d…
02-02 22:44:18	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	621	100¢	$618	0x7a03f1…
02-02 22:42:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x09c073…
02-02 22:41:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,209	98¢	$5,096	0xa5c960…
02-02 03:02:52	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x46c9b9…
02-02 03:02:50	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xb88df9…
02-02 02:30:36	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc1da28…
02-02 02:30:36	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x72996e…
02-02 02:30:36	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x63c273…
02-02 02:18:20	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf24240…
02-02 02:17:40	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xa33afe…
02-02 02:16:08	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6b59fa…
02-02 02:16:06	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xf7158b…
02-02 02:08:02	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd8da34…
02-02 02:08:02	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0xc6be15…
02-02 02:08:02	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0x70ff1b…
02-02 02:07:32	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xaeac50…
02-02 01:56:42	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa383c6…
02-02 01:56:42	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x20ebbc…
02-02 01:33:10	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$1	0x021e84…
02-02 01:33:08	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0xa56036…
02-02 01:33:08	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$1	0x3feb25…
02-02 01:05:00	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x8a5b99…
02-02 01:05:00	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x5581c2…
02-02 01:05:00	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x48b784…
02-02 01:04:54	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2c3937…
02-02 01:03:46	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3ebb5e…
02-02 00:56:58	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9d9b50…
02-02 00:56:58	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x264636…
02-02 00:56:56	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9e3986…
02-02 00:56:56	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7bbdff…
01-19 05:19:58	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in january	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1242fe…
01-13 15:28:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x6a33ed…
01-12 12:33:40	maduro trial scheduled by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,362	1¢	$14	0x426338…
01-12 12:31:30	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcdbbf5…
01-12 12:30:56	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd74b0c…
01-12 12:30:56	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4f0b74…
01-12 12:30:56	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x17ac45…
01-12 12:30:56	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x067a90…
01-12 12:30:54	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xb87169…
01-12 12:30:48	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe56659…
01-12 12:30:48	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x6cccfe…
01-12 12:30:44	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$0	0xd8e877…
01-12 12:30:28	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$0	0x85b91d…
01-12 12:30:22	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	790	22¢	$174	0xbd8bbb…
01-12 12:30:20	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xb93f4f…
01-12 12:30:12	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb7ce7d…
01-12 12:30:12	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x67c71f…
01-12 12:30:12	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4503ee…
01-12 12:30:02	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x757897…
01-12 12:30:02	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0a6d6c…
01-12 12:29:30	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x20caff…
01-12 12:29:20	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x870d39…
01-12 09:55:14	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,106	5¢	$51	0x7aa08e…
01-11 23:06:58	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xe8138c…
01-11 17:45:04	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x030af7…
01-11 16:45:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	542	25¢	$136	0x40ef8f…
01-11 16:45:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0xcf4646…
01-11 16:36:34	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xb65719…