Tidy-Republic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 10-25 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

64% 23% -$25

Sports

21% 27% -$11

Tech

7% 33% +$5

Politics

7% 50% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+50	$6	11¢	$6	-$1	06-29 12:30
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026	Yes	+60	$6	8¢	$5	-$1	10-14 11:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+20	$3	16¢	$3	+$0	10-09 23:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+4	$2	72¢	$3	+$1	08-28 15:18
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+6	$3	16¢	$1	-$2	08-28 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$35	60	60	+0	open	—	09-22 20:53
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	3	$33	68	68	+0	open	—	10-06 20:24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$19	34	34	+0	No	+$9	07-19 14:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$16	30	30	+0	open	—	09-22 20:54
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$12	06-17 19:50
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-24 12:18
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$12	50	50	+0	open	—	07-04 22:46
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$11	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	07-05 21:44
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	09-22 20:54
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	2	$8	54	0	+54	No	-$8	07-09 07:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$6	50	0	+50	open	—	06-29 12:30
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026	2	$6	60	0	+60	open	—	10-14 11:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$6	30	30	+0	open	—	06-24 19:11
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	4	$5	361	361	+0	No	-$4	07-04 22:52
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	2	$5	60	0	+60	No	-$5	06-15 23:04
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	1	$5	385	0	+385	Yes	-$5	06-15 22:54
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	06-03 09:30
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	1	$5	13	0	+13	Yes	+$8	06-25 23:46
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	2	$5	40	40	+0	open	—	09-22 20:54
will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	4	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	07-03 03:11
world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	2	$4	30	0	+30	Mbappe	-$4	06-16 20:44
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	1	$4	30	0	+30	No	-$4	06-18 14:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	09-10 19:43
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1	$4	90	0	+90	No	-$4	07-02 20:39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$3	20	0	+20	No	-$3	07-31 22:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	10-09 23:29
will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	1	$3	30	0	+30	No	-$3	06-25 23:53
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	1	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	-$3	07-17 19:19
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	08-28 15:15
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	08-25 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:39:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x935e75…
10-25 19:35:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x4ce0d7…
10-25 19:35:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x016ffe…
10-14 11:29:20	kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x15cf30…
10-14 11:25:58	russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xcb969f…
10-14 11:23:52	Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb4d250…
10-09 23:29:25	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe3225f…
10-09 23:27:40	Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3e2b69…
10-06 20:24:36	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	28¢	$19	0x34c2e7…
10-04 10:41:13	saudi troops fighting in yemen by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x951802…
10-02 19:25:17	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x91d9f3…
10-02 19:04:44	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc9e38b…
09-22 20:54:54	Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x0770b5…
09-22 20:54:31	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x1da9a0…
09-22 20:54:06	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x3332bc…
09-22 20:53:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x4ed684…
09-10 19:48:52	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa35539…
09-10 19:43:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x865362…
08-28 15:18:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc247c6…
08-28 15:15:18	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x071b5c…
08-25 15:54:12	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x61d2da…
08-02 14:43:09	mlb nyy chc 2026 08 02	Chicago Cubs	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x226597…
07-31 22:31:03	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb56185…
07-31 22:19:38	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6181e2…
07-31 22:18:06	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x03b1ea…
07-31 22:17:18	carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x4b56e1…
07-19 14:36:27	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	41¢	$14	0x2dac13…
07-17 19:19:00	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x83d835…
07-09 07:05:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xcc220d…
07-07 22:54:01	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x24eaba…
07-07 18:39:50	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x2087ab…
07-06 23:10:53	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x55780d…
07-06 23:10:40	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9eec59…
07-06 23:10:16	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x690231…
07-06 23:10:08	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe8d93f…
07-05 21:44:55	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x5093c8…
07-05 21:38:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x23eeb6…
07-05 15:49:01	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x546fd0…
07-04 22:53:53	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf0b96f…
07-04 22:52:50	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	361	0¢	$1	0xe2fc0a…
07-04 22:46:11	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x791308…
07-04 22:40:14	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xcd9856…
07-04 22:33:58	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd76247…
07-03 03:11:53	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xba1777…
07-03 03:11:19	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0xefc51c…
07-03 03:10:17	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x3f7e18…
07-03 03:10:16	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x545fa1…
07-02 20:40:32	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xb0a2f9…
07-02 20:39:40	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xeade9c…
06-29 12:30:08	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x7abc06…
06-28 11:00:23	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa90c94…
06-28 11:00:07	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb3b800…
06-25 23:53:53	will saudi arabia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120765	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x873dd1…
06-25 23:53:43	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x33785a…
06-25 23:52:43	will uruguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120764	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf652a5…
06-25 23:51:35	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x60cdb0…
06-25 23:50:22	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x73a4d3…
06-25 23:48:32	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 btts	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc66924…
06-25 23:48:16	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe53022…
06-25 23:46:08	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2c2711…
06-25 17:32:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x1a74bc…
06-24 19:11:35	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x61b212…
06-24 12:18:34	Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xafbb93…
06-18 14:32:32	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x77a389…
06-18 13:12:10	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xbd16dc…
06-17 19:50:05	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x97260b…
06-16 20:44:02	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Yamal	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xd8d673…
06-16 18:35:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xfb41bb…
06-16 04:12:48	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Yamal	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xa5fc23…
06-15 23:04:57	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd9d8e3…
06-15 22:59:18	Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f53e4…
06-15 22:58:51	Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x666a57…
06-15 22:54:46	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xc8cd8d…
06-15 17:54:00	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x332129…
06-15 17:52:19	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4b756a…
06-13 02:40:34	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e749d…
06-10 22:40:52	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc2ef59…
06-09 07:31:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x4a4fb7…
06-06 04:44:19	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5aa903…
06-03 20:58:58	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa6b208…
06-03 20:47:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x5f2349…
06-03 20:45:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9dbaf8…
06-03 09:30:40	Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xed6cb0…