Old-Mandate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$149

Unrealized P&L

-$165

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

234

Trades

4,821

lifetime

Volume

$427.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$583

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-11 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

87% 56% +$17,188

Other

8% 43% -$15,770

Crypto

4% 43% -$562

Sports

0% 11% -$706

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		-623	-$418	94¢	$-583	-$165	05-04 10:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	76	$59.8K	64,180	64,180	+0	Yes	+$12,608	02-28 19:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	23	$26.4K	16,235	16,235	+0	Yes	+$4,575	03-08 21:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	33	$25.4K	27,108	32,108	-5,000	No	-$5,968	05-08 14:35
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	40	$24.1K	14,860	13,027	+1,833	Yes	+$830	03-01 01:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	27	$23.5K	53,370	53,370	+0	No	-$12,926	03-08 19:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	42	$17.5K	18,559	9,139	+9,420	No	-$8,373	05-29 16:24
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	29	$17.2K	10,625	10,625	+0	Yes	+$4,006	03-08 22:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	31	$17.2K	13,040	13,040	+0	Yes	+$8,823	03-08 21:38
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	51	$14.7K	19,692	11,692	+8,000	No	+$1,990	04-30 07:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	25	$12.9K	10,633	10,633	+0	No	+$529	05-24 11:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	38	$11.5K	9,405	7,053	+2,351	No	+$3,148	04-21 20:32
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	3	$9.9K	5,998	5,998	+0	Yes	+$2,049	03-08 21:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	25	$8.7K	4,782	4,782	+0	No	-$1	05-03 14:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	12	$7.6K	6,402	6,402	+0	Yes	+$2,363	02-28 19:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$7.0K	25,272	25,272	-0	No	-$6,625	01-30 20:31
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	71	$6.4K	49,847	52,102	-2,254	No	-$4,927	03-08 15:03
will uae strike iran by march 31	20	$6.4K	4,976	4,976	+0	No	-$587	03-08 19:43
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	8	$6.0K	3,283	3,283	+0	Yes	+$450	03-02 09:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$5.6K	4,251	3,100	+1,151	No	+$307	05-04 10:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$4.8K	3,760	3,760	+0	No	+$441	05-25 14:50
will iran strike oman again in march	10	$3.8K	2,159	2,159	+0	No	+$502	04-05 15:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$50	05-02 11:28
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$3.6K	2,582	2,582	+0	No	+$237	03-01 20:37
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	5	$3.4K	1,850	1,850	-0	No	+$200	03-04 04:12
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	11	$3.4K	2,147	2,147	+0	Yes	+$32	02-28 06:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	9	$3.2K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$145	05-25 13:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$2.9K	4,820	0	+4,820	No	+$1,880	05-06 12:57
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	29	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$30	03-03 20:49
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	6	$2.8K	1,914	1,914	+0	No	-$105	06-07 20:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$2.7K	0	3,618	-3,618	No	-$941	05-04 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 20:02:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	223	28¢	$62	0x6c573d…
07-10 15:25:41	atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08	Novak Djokovic	BUY	241	21¢	$50	0x615537…
06-21 20:33:50	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	909	21¢	$191	0x213358…
06-21 18:54:07	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x12fb4e…
06-08 18:40:51	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	118	23¢	$27	0x520136…
06-08 18:38:33	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x6e1bbe…
06-08 18:38:21	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0xca9c92…
06-08 18:36:48	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x296496…
06-08 18:36:22	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x63add0…
06-08 18:35:06	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x5d7355…
06-08 18:33:54	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	64	23¢	$15	0xfd3a55…
06-08 18:33:13	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	806	23¢	$185	0x908818…
06-08 16:29:04	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x17d74f…
06-08 16:28:49	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	226	19¢	$44	0x0182b1…
06-08 16:28:24	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	1,037	18¢	$190	0x8a879a…
06-07 20:23:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	279	22¢	$61	0x395d56…
06-07 20:04:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	391	30¢	$119	0xb05de0…
06-07 20:01:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,400	36¢	$507	0x704a64…
06-07 19:16:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	1,635	80¢	$1,308	0xcad13c…
06-07 19:07:04	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0xc9081d…
06-07 19:04:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	259	61¢	$158	0x920fdc…
06-07 19:04:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x8430ab…
06-07 19:02:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,308	80¢	$1,042	0x2dd2ef…
06-07 19:02:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	327	80¢	$262	0x07f8e4…
05-29 17:16:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe33560…
05-29 17:16:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	729	10¢	$73	0xd05415…
05-29 17:15:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x0c867b…
05-29 16:24:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,709	77¢	$4,396	0xb56f41…
05-29 16:24:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,008	77¢	$776	0x5e6e32…
05-29 16:20:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,703	72¢	$1,946	0x176118…
05-29 16:14:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,682	27¢	$1,264	0xc9aeb6…
05-26 04:13:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x371c56…
05-25 14:50:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0x49e5fc…
05-25 13:19:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	250	92¢	$229	0x598390…
05-25 13:19:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	162	92¢	$149	0x0dedbe…
05-25 13:08:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	485	92¢	$445	0x79941a…
05-25 13:03:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	212	86¢	$183	0x82bdfc…
05-25 13:00:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	55	92¢	$50	0x6fa3b4…
05-25 12:59:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x1a1d88…
05-25 12:57:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$809	0xb3c048…
05-25 12:10:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	86¢	$97	0xe1b353…
05-25 12:06:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x6e3446…
05-25 11:11:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x4c1bb7…
05-25 11:10:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x08d934…
05-25 11:10:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x26f97a…
05-25 11:10:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x50b4d0…
05-25 11:10:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	72¢	$120	0xd5ddc7…
05-25 11:03:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x3b0ae9…
05-25 10:15:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xaeca0f…
05-25 10:13:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x26bde7…
05-25 10:12:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x2d392f…
05-25 09:04:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	913	84¢	$767	0xf08925…
05-25 08:54:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	87	84¢	$73	0xe2c449…
05-24 20:36:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0x4f65f3…
05-24 16:05:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xcea615…
05-24 11:59:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$939	0x00281b…
05-24 02:28:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,288	74¢	$953	0x3e3401…
05-23 18:03:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	921	92¢	$847	0x697e47…
05-23 16:06:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,400	59¢	$2,006	0x989809…
05-23 15:13:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	183	9¢	$16	0xb8513f…
05-23 14:54:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	469	68¢	$319	0x5cda86…
05-23 14:49:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	571	68¢	$388	0xd89cff…
05-23 11:44:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0x4034f0…
05-23 10:07:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	8,833	57¢	$5,008	0x85e7f3…
05-23 09:09:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x170e8f…
05-23 09:09:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xabec72…
05-23 09:09:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	110	53¢	$58	0x985e18…
05-23 09:08:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	998	54¢	$539	0xb9bd9f…
05-23 09:07:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcf8562…
05-23 09:07:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x4b0048…
05-23 09:06:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x1545c7…
05-23 09:06:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	644	57¢	$366	0x82dc5e…
05-23 09:06:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xc569cc…
05-23 09:06:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x558581…
05-23 09:06:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	128	57¢	$72	0xf40f3d…
05-23 09:06:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xa91a73…
05-23 09:04:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3,692	55¢	$2,036	0xbd9fd5…
05-23 08:54:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xedaba4…
05-23 08:54:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd47e66…
05-23 08:54:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x750caa…
05-23 08:54:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x413f88…
05-23 08:54:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	857	50¢	$429	0x43b87d…
05-23 08:54:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	136	50¢	$68	0x7f3cb9…
05-23 08:53:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	998	49¢	$487	0xf9d438…
05-23 06:42:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x5243fd…
05-23 06:42:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x76a507…
05-22 21:58:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	981	95¢	$932	0x0935fe…
05-22 21:58:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	597	93¢	$555	0xf0b799…
05-22 21:58:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	203	93¢	$189	0x5bb08d…
05-22 21:58:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x359e6a…
05-22 21:57:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	800	93¢	$744	0x892952…
05-22 21:47:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	800	91¢	$728	0x985321…
05-22 21:47:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	800	92¢	$736	0xdad9bb…
05-22 21:47:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xc932f4…
05-21 19:14:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,019	74¢	$754	0xb2318a…
05-21 19:13:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,438	74¢	$2,544	0xab4eaa…
05-20 05:58:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,760	47¢	$827	0x25ca6e…
05-08 14:35:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	6,197	2¢	$150	0xb5105c…
05-06 22:46:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	805	49¢	$394	0x31bba1…
05-06 22:40:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3fc86…