Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$707

Unrealized P&L

-$60

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved

225

Trades

1,647

lifetime

Volume

$75.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$104

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-09 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

50% 29% -$49

Other

47% 32% -$561

Tech

3% 25% -$93

Crypto

0% 0% —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will texas enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	Yes	+364	$113	18¢	$64	-$49	09-30 09:27
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	No	+20	$11	93¢	$19	+$7	09-24 02:49
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+20	$10	70¢	$14	+$4	09-24 03:24
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	+20	$13	30¢	$6	-$8	09-30 03:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	+20	$11	7¢	$1	-$9	09-24 20:22
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+0	-$4	62¢	$0	+$4	11-09 02:00
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	+0	$9	2¢	$0	-$9	11-05 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	20	$3.7K	2,948	2,948	+0	Yes	-$10	09-29 15:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$3.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	+$26	10-15 16:13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	30	$3.4K	2,761	2,761	+0	No	+$11	10-18 23:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	31	$3.1K	3,150	3,150	+0	open	—	11-06 11:36
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	6	$3.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	09-17 01:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	12	$2.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$12	09-18 13:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	21	$2.9K	2,688	2,688	+0	Yes	-$5	09-30 12:30
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	18	$2.3K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$23	10-09 09:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	15	$2.3K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	11-04 13:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	5	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	09-24 01:52
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	11	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$1	09-21 07:02
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	10	$1.5K	919	919	+0	open	—	09-20 23:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	09-30 01:20
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	26	$1.3K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	11-05 10:19
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	14	$1.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	+$6	11-04 02:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	15	$1.2K	1,009	1,009	+0	Yes	-$1	10-11 20:34
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.2K	1,081	1,081	+0	open	—	09-13 11:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	13	$1.1K	850	850	+0	Yes	-$5	10-22 12:01
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	-$10	10-20 18:45
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	9	$1.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$0	09-23 04:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	4	$971	500	500	+0	No	-$1	09-11 21:02
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	3	$953	500	500	+0	No	-$2	10-14 19:57
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	5	$901	800	800	+0	No	-$15	09-24 21:11
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	10	$889	580	580	+0	No	-$66	09-21 03:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	19	$855	774	774	+0	Yes	-$6	10-26 07:43
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	13	$775	580	580	+0	open	—	10-08 08:00
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	4	$752	400	400	+0	No	+$4	11-04 05:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	8	$732	900	900	+0	No	+$6	11-03 20:44
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	31	$693	850	850	+0	open	—	11-04 14:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$660	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 20:43:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x6891f7…
11-09 19:47:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x293ad4…
11-09 18:25:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x2d68ef…
11-09 18:11:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb54c86…
11-09 13:27:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x6b645a…
11-09 13:27:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0xa7e761…
11-09 11:01:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	36¢	$30	0x755425…
11-09 10:57:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$8	0x974d48…
11-09 10:57:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xcc5219…
11-09 10:57:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	37¢	$21	0x6b7e82…
11-09 10:57:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x541c01…
11-09 06:39:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x5947a7…
11-09 06:39:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xf3e174…
11-09 02:35:30	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x56eb08…
11-09 02:33:36	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x95a68d…
11-09 02:00:34	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	65¢	$87	0x7481e2…
11-09 01:53:37	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xd49b2a…
11-09 01:49:43	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x5e323d…
11-09 01:49:01	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$17	0x15a64e…
11-08 22:08:27	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	64¢	$115	0x26c6fb…
11-08 22:05:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$71	0x9e6143…
11-08 16:28:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xb6c83c…
11-08 16:28:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x81f7f0…
11-08 09:35:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x3e66b5…
11-08 09:25:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf37af0…
11-08 07:51:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xfa305c…
11-08 07:51:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe1f550…
11-07 22:20:30	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	53¢	$95	0x637eb0…
11-07 19:45:30	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x1e00ba…
11-07 12:42:36	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0xcae401…
11-07 12:42:34	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x8de263…
11-07 11:07:46	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$145	0xe34f09…
11-07 05:11:00	Next US president 50+ years old at inauguration?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x1c9576…
11-07 05:10:52	Next US president 50+ years old at inauguration?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd21881…
11-07 05:10:40	Next US president 50+ years old at inauguration?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3664ee…
11-07 04:25:10	Next US president 60+ years old at inauguration?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x193278…
11-07 04:25:06	Next US president 60+ years old at inauguration?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x54a609…
11-07 01:24:16	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0xd47c62…
11-07 01:24:15	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xf49ecf…
11-07 01:21:09	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xcb312e…
11-06 18:59:24	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0xfb522f…
11-06 11:36:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	34¢	$67	0x6a4c42…
11-06 11:35:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$65	0x9d880e…
11-06 11:33:24	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x1966b1…
11-06 03:04:10	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7386dd…
11-06 03:04:10	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x6218c2…
11-06 03:04:00	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x967f0f…
11-06 02:18:12	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	98	3¢	$3	0x18dd99…
11-05 16:31:07	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xae2a6d…
11-05 16:31:07	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2abaca…
11-05 16:31:07	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x06daf9…
11-05 16:26:46	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0x9b59a7…
11-05 15:17:55	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1b37d6…
11-05 15:15:45	Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xadf0f6…
11-05 14:53:33	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xc00a12…
11-05 10:56:18	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x333d11…
11-05 10:26:34	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x056da2…
11-05 10:19:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x3f78fc…
11-05 10:19:19	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$9	0x7a211d…
11-05 10:18:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x47ad4b…
11-05 10:18:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	162	5¢	$8	0x453900…
11-05 06:50:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8b3593…
11-05 06:28:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf64ec7…
11-05 04:50:03	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x1c95b7…
11-05 04:49:22	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x57af57…
11-05 04:24:45	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5518a7…
11-05 02:01:19	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x5bcf3c…
11-05 01:49:30	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4426ac…
11-05 01:17:27	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x0905dd…
11-05 01:16:54	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x969976…
11-04 23:37:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x55752c…
11-04 22:54:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x428e58…
11-04 21:28:22	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xb1d6e1…
11-04 21:20:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x2eb4b5…
11-04 21:20:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1108f4…
11-04 17:32:24	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x62d691…
11-04 16:09:40	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x20cf4f…
11-04 16:06:07	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x2a5ef0…
11-04 16:01:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd615f8…
11-04 16:00:48	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0xd3490f…
11-04 15:59:42	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9d3bee…
11-04 15:52:48	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xfd5515…
11-04 15:47:07	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x261550…
11-04 15:36:42	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x5ecd97…
11-04 15:36:37	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x18bdd8…
11-04 15:36:31	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd5b1f8…
11-04 15:27:45	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xfc4300…
11-04 15:27:39	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x518d3d…
11-04 15:24:42	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	153	8¢	$11	0x612613…
11-04 15:24:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x6c3d25…
11-04 15:24:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0x6621b3…
11-04 15:22:46	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xff5318…
11-04 15:22:43	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x64601d…
11-04 15:21:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	153	9¢	$14	0xe99246…
11-04 15:21:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0x4ee0a8…
11-04 15:14:31	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd624a3…
11-04 15:13:03	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xf35dec…
11-04 15:11:52	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x4f2cab…
11-04 15:02:30	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x3064f0…
11-04 14:55:34	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0xe3e03d…