Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

142

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$241

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

11 positions

First seen

2026-06-06

last 11-13 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

64% 59% -$7

Other

32% 56% -$9

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	+2	$1	93¢	$2	+$1	11-03 14:59
Will Don Toliver be nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+3	$1	50¢	$2	+$1	11-13 18:21
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 120k?	No	+2	$1	98¢	$2	+$0	11-06 19:55
Will Take Me Dancing (feat. SZA) (Doja Cat feat. SZA) be nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+3	$2	54¢	$2	-$1	11-13 18:09
Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	+10	$2	14¢	$1	$0	11-06 19:45
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) be nominated for Best Pop Vocal Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	+2	$1	85¢	$1	$0	11-12 18:10
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	+3	$1	32¢	$1	-$1	11-11 20:59
Will Geese be nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+10	$2	7¢	$1	-$1	11-10 15:46
Will Lux (Rosalia) be nominated for Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+6	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	11-11 20:54
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Yes	+2	$1	25¢	$0	-$1	11-04 15:03
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-02 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 18:21:40	Will Don Toliver be nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc892ec…
11-13 18:09:31	Will Take Me Dancing (feat. SZA) (Doja Cat feat. SZA) be nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x12b13a…
11-12 18:50:01	Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x69b9ed…
11-12 18:10:28	Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) be nominated for Best Pop Vocal Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xa3881f…
11-11 20:59:51	Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x3a3bc8…
11-11 20:54:40	Will Lux (Rosalia) be nominated for Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf5d85b…
11-10 15:46:57	Will Geese be nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf8ad61…
11-09 17:28:42	Will Malaysia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xa900cb…
11-09 16:59:52	Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x543ba4…
11-08 20:47:42	Will Mongolia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf83e01…
11-08 20:39:37	Will Cambodia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa24a4e…
11-07 15:46:06	Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x554ee2…
11-07 15:41:57	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd63cde…
11-07 15:32:45	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 9 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9e71e8…
11-06 19:55:24	Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 120k?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5900b9…
11-06 19:45:34	Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x1db81a…
11-05 19:28:44	Will Trump say "Moon" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x03d32a…
11-05 19:23:09	Will Trump say "China" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x91b3e9…
11-04 15:09:34	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 5?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0308f2…
11-04 15:03:09	Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb3e4b5…
11-03 14:59:39	Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6a29a5…
11-03 14:53:06	Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xd2aadf…
11-03 14:43:52	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms underperform Kamala in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x445a90…
11-02 17:24:24	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xdb957c…
11-02 17:17:15	Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xdf3b36…
11-01 16:05:10	Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16ece8…
11-01 15:58:28	Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1f6fcd…
10-31 15:54:21	Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xbe0b21…
10-31 15:38:25	Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x66e009…
10-31 15:30:33	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $60B?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x14bc5b…
10-30 20:47:07	Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9631d5…
10-30 19:00:48	Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x182fca…
10-29 15:25:13	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9c9c2c…
10-29 15:07:08	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6f7881…
10-28 15:03:52	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x88a6aa…
10-28 14:44:20	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x717a02…
10-27 14:55:41	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3f6e4e…
10-27 14:45:47	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ac596…
10-26 15:38:03	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfec6fb…
10-26 15:07:33	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x21fc89…
10-25 16:01:12	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x33270a…
10-25 15:51:20	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa4874e…
10-24 14:34:02	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9837f9…
10-24 14:06:39	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe9bbf5…
10-23 13:43:03	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3ba771…
10-23 13:36:57	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x47f186…
10-22 13:17:47	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x70625a…
10-22 13:01:26	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7d7621…
10-21 16:47:02	Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x49c227…
10-21 16:30:44	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x48e9b7…
10-20 13:07:18	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07eec8…
10-20 12:49:53	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x56bf57…
10-19 12:41:03	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe3e298…
10-18 09:44:27	Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9.5B?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e0c09…
10-17 09:40:29	will trump say massie during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x876e59…
10-14 09:50:16	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1793c4…
10-14 09:41:14	will trump say tsmc during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x7c76e3…
10-13 09:24:14	will trump say ai during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xd9e245…
10-10 21:54:55	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0d4b25…
10-09 15:50:10	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x65ff1a…
10-08 13:44:53	Will Trump say "Pipeline" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x6a6abb…
10-07 13:34:17	Will Trump say "Alamo" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x547f6c…
10-07 13:28:35	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x09eca0…
10-06 13:15:40	Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd80b81…
10-06 13:10:09	Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4692c8…
10-06 13:04:34	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x945eab…
10-06 12:51:43	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xddb7db…
10-05 13:12:41	will trump say maduro during his midterm rally in nebraska october 5	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xefc285…
10-05 13:07:07	Will Trump say "Egg" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9172dd…
10-05 12:57:32	Will Trump say "Omaha" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa1288f…
10-02 14:18:09	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xd26c95…
10-02 14:11:51	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x059c28…
10-01 15:47:53	Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa3688a…
09-30 12:48:00	will trump say made in america during his remarks at peterbilt motors company october 1	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6cc96d…
09-30 12:32:36	will trump say lumber during his rally in oklahoma october 1	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x295999…
09-28 12:47:32	Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7ccdb9…
09-28 12:38:54	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5f4f22…
09-27 13:00:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x47b90a…
09-25 11:49:59	Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xccc6bc…
09-23 12:00:08	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1a17c7…
09-23 11:44:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa1d950…
09-21 12:01:48	Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xf4f891…
09-21 11:56:05	will jd vance say tax on tips during his rally in north carolina	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3ea5fd…
09-21 11:41:17	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x383afc…
09-21 11:35:53	Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbc161d…
09-20 11:44:45	Will Trump say "NATO" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6cf5bd…
09-20 11:39:30	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x21c2f3…
09-20 11:31:21	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0c7d13…
09-20 11:25:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x00e200…
09-19 09:35:07	Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xdad6b4…
09-19 09:30:03	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa32b8f…
09-19 09:20:51	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa8f39a…
09-18 15:33:09	Will JD Vance say "Ass" during his remarks in Iowa?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4c6b69…
09-17 09:27:54	Will Trump post "Sanction" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc28a07…
09-16 09:13:54	Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x49f4d2…
09-15 09:26:21	Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x6d999c…
09-15 09:18:01	will trump say ai remarks in north carolina	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xda685e…
09-15 09:13:33	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb1b9a6…
09-14 09:14:36	Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8125e9…
09-14 09:09:55	Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5b288f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	2	$3	3	+3	No	+$1	07-24 07:11
Will Trump say "Moon" at Cape Canaveral?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	11-05 19:28
Will Take Me Dancing (feat. SZA) (Doja Cat feat. SZA) be nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	11-13 18:09
will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	06-29 16:42
Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-30 19:00
will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	06-12 11:59
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 11:41
will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	06-27 14:17
will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	06-27 14:05
Will JD Vance say "Ass" during his remarks in Iowa?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-18 15:33
will reform be in the headlines this week 20260612213503955	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	06-19 10:57
will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	06-28 16:35
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	06-26 13:06
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	06-26 12:53
fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	06-26 13:18
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 09:22
will trump say massie during his midterm rally in kentucky october 17	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-17 09:40
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 11:03
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	11-03 14:53
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-20 11:31
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-09 15:50
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-20 11:25
will trump say forever during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556646	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-28 10:13
will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	06-12 11:54
will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 09:58
will micron q3 nand revenue be above 7pt5b	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	06-21 11:36
will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 08:33
will trump say lumber during his rally in oklahoma october 1	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-30 12:32
will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 09:44
will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-23 08:52