Violent-Promenade-Gesture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

1,373

Trades

5,790

lifetime

Volume

$294.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$536

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 10-25 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 52% -$3,649

Other

13% 42% -$6,291

Sports

12% 50% -$4,123

Politics

0% 50% +$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+12,911	$580	4¢	$536	-$44	10-25 15:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	4	$4.5K	3,960	2,889	+1,070	England	-$529	07-18 22:31
49ers vs. Rams	2	$4.1K	5,350	5,350	+0	49ers	-$2,889	09-11 02:40
Chiefs vs. Raiders	7	$3.5K	4,113	2,553	+1,560	Chiefs	+$490	10-04 23:10
Bills vs. Rams	9	$2.9K	2,858	2,524	+333	Bills	+$678	10-13 03:46
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	3	$2.6K	4,187	4,187	+0	Spain	-$1,681	07-14 20:20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	3	$2.5K	3,373	3,373	+0	No	-$1,349	07-18 21:19
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	3	$2.5K	4,457	401	+4,055	No	-$2,080	07-11 19:11
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 1pt5	2	$2.5K	3,409	3,409	+0	Under	-$511	07-14 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:20 UTC	16	$2.2K	2,196	2,196	+0	Down	-$418	07-14 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:50 UTC	9	$2.0K	1,674	1,674	+0	Up	-$10	07-14 19:53
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	4	$2.0K	4,364	4,364	+0	No	-$432	07-14 20:11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	3	$1.7K	2,358	559	+1,799	Yes	+$715	07-10 14:02
Broncos vs. Chargers	3	$1.7K	1,099	1,099	+0	Broncos	+$314	10-11 23:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 04:05 UTC	11	$1.7K	1,464	1,448	+16	Up	-$136	07-15 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:55 UTC	15	$1.6K	1,875	1,875	+0	Down	-$203	07-14 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:25 UTC	10	$1.6K	1,486	1,486	+0	Down	+$71	07-14 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 08:10 UTC	9	$1.6K	1,329	1,329	+0	Up	-$113	07-15 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:55 UTC	12	$1.5K	1,251	1,251	+0	Up	-$129	07-14 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:40 UTC	10	$1.4K	1,332	1,332	+0	Up	-$41	07-14 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:20 UTC	14	$1.3K	1,081	1,081	+0	Up	-$80	07-14 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:10 UTC	13	$1.3K	1,258	1,182	+76	Down	+$23	07-14 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:35 UTC	10	$1.3K	1,226	1,226	+0	Down	-$106	07-14 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 16:10 UTC	13	$1.3K	1,160	1,001	+159	Down	-$136	07-14 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 09:45 UTC	11	$1.2K	1,546	1,546	+0	Up	-$171	07-15 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 09:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	1,275	883	+392	Up	-$296	07-15 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:15 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,090	1,090	+0	Down	+$3	07-14 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 16:20 UTC	12	$1.2K	1,289	955	+334	Up	-$128	07-14 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:45 UTC	8	$1.2K	1,071	1,071	+0	Down	-$98	07-15 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:45 UTC	10	$1.2K	1,018	1,018	+0	Up	+$90	07-14 15:49
Seahawks vs. Broncos	4	$1.1K	2,766	0	+2,766	Broncos	-$1,149	10-16 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:39:18	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x1f6204…
10-25 23:39:02	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Chiefs	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x2775d0…
10-25 23:35:50	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x536398…
10-25 20:51:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xd87759…
10-25 15:31:44	Jalen Coker: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5	Over	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x78feae…
10-25 15:30:33	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x78d470…
10-25 15:19:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$17	0xbcbb57…
10-25 14:49:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0xd719bc…
10-25 12:13:02	Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd3e648…
10-25 12:13:02	Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x76e396…
10-25 10:18:20	Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	92	58¢	$53	0xea82dd…
10-25 10:01:45	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	121	51¢	$61	0x93de5d…
10-25 09:49:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	389	4¢	$17	0xf8ec26…
10-25 09:45:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x29fa47…
10-25 09:40:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf79335…
10-25 05:12:45	Houston vs. Utah	Houston	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xbd3589…
10-25 05:12:26	Houston vs. Utah	Utah	SELL	202	62¢	$125	0xa3afe8…
10-25 04:57:05	Houston vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x29b036…
10-25 04:56:48	Houston vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x6c2920…
10-25 03:06:00	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	SELL	259	18¢	$47	0xb32c5a…
10-25 02:58:23	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xd841e6…
10-25 02:55:51	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x51cadd…
10-24 22:32:36	Texas A&M vs. Alabama	Texas A&M	SELL	136	5¢	$7	0xe8790c…
10-24 22:07:24	Texas A&M vs. Alabama	Texas A&M	BUY	136	44¢	$60	0x0d0597…
10-24 22:07:02	Texas A&M vs. Alabama	Alabama	SELL	149	56¢	$84	0x34858c…
10-24 22:04:47	Texas A&M vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xac6519…
10-24 21:41:27	Oregon vs. Illinois	Illinois	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0xdb1f25…
10-24 21:40:39	Oregon vs. Illinois	Oregon	SELL	300	39¢	$116	0xf0a9fc…
10-24 21:29:35	Oregon vs. Illinois	Oregon	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x8bcbc4…
10-24 21:28:59	Oregon vs. Illinois	Illinois	SELL	260	42¢	$109	0x756d0d…
10-24 21:27:29	Oregon vs. Illinois	Illinois	BUY	260	60¢	$156	0x38b5ec…
10-24 21:25:30	Oregon vs. Illinois	Oregon	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xdab7a2…
10-24 20:40:33	Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x88bfe0…
10-24 20:39:17	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x441540…
10-24 20:35:39	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	525	100¢	$524	0xe56bc9…
10-24 20:16:14	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	47	54¢	$26	0xa7b13a…
10-24 20:16:14	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	153	54¢	$82	0x8ed7e8…
10-24 20:08:23	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	274	29¢	$80	0xba4a75…
10-24 19:41:15	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x4da44b…
10-24 19:08:53	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	214	49¢	$105	0xe84b72…
10-24 19:08:09	Will Ramazan Temirov win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	214	35¢	$75	0x742690…
10-24 18:57:47	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	107	87¢	$93	0x511d74…
10-24 18:55:44	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	74	65¢	$48	0xa6af2f…
10-24 18:51:08	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x5af722…
10-24 18:40:48	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x31bb35…
10-24 18:35:32	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x17321f…
10-24 17:50:45	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xaf691c…
10-24 17:08:53	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0xe1d75f…
10-24 14:43:33	Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x6178f4…
10-24 09:08:44	Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xdb590a…
10-24 09:08:18	Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	251	60¢	$150	0x4d79cf…
10-24 06:39:53	mlb tb mil 2026 10 24 first five winner away	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x8c7065…
10-24 05:22:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xfe5ecd…
10-24 03:23:59	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x955848…
10-24 03:20:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x2d1930…
10-24 03:19:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	625	75¢	$471	0x72824c…
10-24 01:20:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	900	5¢	$45	0x6bc29e…
10-23 21:28:56	Milwaukee Brewers winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	275	56¢	$154	0x353978…
10-23 20:33:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	625	64¢	$400	0x6e371d…
10-23 06:55:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	358	4¢	$15	0x3489d1…
10-23 03:20:44	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	SELL	350	95¢	$332	0x686ac1…
10-23 01:01:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xd375f5…
10-22 08:23:30	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	350	55¢	$193	0x6c4342…
10-20 03:01:33	Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xcafde0…
10-19 19:36:27	Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x823439…
10-19 19:32:27	Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x7e6b0d…
10-19 17:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x31bdb6…
10-19 17:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe31c4a…
10-19 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	89	9¢	$8	0xc03782…
10-19 17:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x91ce51…
10-19 17:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xf3a7c1…
10-19 17:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x836e95…
10-19 17:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x89afb0…
10-19 17:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbcee8a…
10-19 17:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0xbcc77c…
10-19 17:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1e6ae9…
10-19 17:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe884f9…
10-19 17:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0xc770ee…
10-19 17:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x61d914…
10-19 17:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	71	62¢	$44	0x95937f…
10-19 17:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	76	27¢	$20	0x0773ba…
10-19 17:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xfc04ae…
10-19 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xfe0ee5…
10-19 17:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x10d84f…
10-19 17:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x6330f1…
10-19 17:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd56925…
10-19 17:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xa333d3…
10-19 17:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe61fac…
10-19 17:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x0bb42f…
10-19 17:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xa693be…
10-19 16:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	137	19¢	$26	0x03e3c3…
10-19 16:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	194	25¢	$48	0x986c65…
10-19 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x41e337…
10-19 16:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x27ae10…
10-19 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x002ad2…
10-19 16:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x3b5bb7…
10-19 16:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb543a6…
10-19 16:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	89	34¢	$31	0x1cba3b…
10-19 16:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x3cd306…
10-19 16:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x21e108…