Realized P&L
-$10.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$92
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
1,569
Trades
8,996
lifetime
Volume
$182.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$492
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-06 18:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 53% -$8,694
Other
25% 31% -$1,897
Sports
7% 34% +$341
Politics
2% 11% -$76
Tech
1% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +350 $184 99¢ $347 +$163 06-09 03:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +70 $68 97¢ $68 -$1 06-15 14:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -39 -$29 82¢ $-32 -$3 05-07 04:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +33 $31 75¢ $25 -$6 06-09 20:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +33 $2 25¢ $8 +$6 06-09 02:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -39 -$10 18¢ $-7 +$2 05-07 04:27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +350 $257 1¢ $4 -$253 06-09 20:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +70 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 06-15 10:15