Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

1,338

Trades

3,004

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$518

19 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 10-29 10:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

58% 83% +$151

Politics

35% 67% -$70

Crypto

4% 85% -$19

Sports

2% 54% -$6

Tech

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	-180	-$164	99¢	$-179	-$15	09-09 13:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	-120	-$107	99¢	$-119	-$12	09-08 04:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	-60	-$56	100¢	$-60	-$3	09-06 22:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-60	-$56	98¢	$-59	-$3	09-06 06:15
New pandemic in 2026?	No	-60	-$56	96¢	$-58	-$2	09-07 07:11
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	+13	$5	59¢	$8	+$3	10-29 11:10
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+8	$5	97¢	$7	+$2	10-27 23:55
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+6	$4	92¢	$5	+$1	10-28 00:42
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+8	$5	64¢	$5	+$0	10-26 23:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+5	$5	92¢	$5	$0	10-26 13:27
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+6	$5	70¢	$4	-$1	10-27 05:18
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	-60	-$4	4¢	$-2	+$2	09-06 08:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+8	$5	24¢	$2	-$3	10-27 19:53
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	-180	-$16	1¢	$-1	+$15	09-12 05:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-60	-$4	2¢	$-1	+$3	09-04 21:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	-120	-$12	1¢	$-1	+$11	09-11 04:46
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+23	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-28 00:26
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	+29	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	10-27 13:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	-60	-$3	0¢	$-0	+$3	09-07 22:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	199	$796	429	429	+0	No	+$1	08-15 23:00
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	48	$766	0	1,493	-1,493	Yes	+$6	07-28 06:03
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	32	$710	0	1,400	-1,400	Yes	+$10	09-22 14:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	15	$463	0	920	-920	No	+$3	09-08 16:42
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 15 2026	18	$405	0	800	-800	No	+$5	09-15 16:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	21	$404	0	800	-800	No	+$4	07-24 22:08
israel closes its airspace by july 24	22	$404	0	800	-800	No	+$4	07-24 16:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	8	$327	0	640	-640	No	+$7	09-19 16:14
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	14	$303	0	600	-600	No	+$3	08-25 20:04
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	10	$284	0	560	-560	No	+$4	08-31 14:14
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	22	$283	0	560	-560	No	+$3	08-14 00:57
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	27	$251	0	480	-480	No	+$1	07-14 00:33
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	9	$242	0	480	-480	No	+$2	09-23 16:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	16	$242	0	480	-480	No	+$2	08-08 15:37
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	16	$229	0	480	-480	No	-$11	08-17 10:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	10	$202	0	400	-400	No	+$2	08-18 14:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	13	$202	0	400	-400	Yes	+$2	08-11 10:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	5	$200	0	400	-400	No	+$0	09-23 05:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	6	$182	0	360	-360	Yes	+$2	08-30 22:29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	9	$182	0	360	-360	No	+$2	08-30 16:33
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	8	$182	0	360	-360	No	+$2	09-15 05:37
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	21	$182	0	360	-360	No	+$2	07-14 11:32
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	7	$182	0	360	-360	Yes	+$2	09-21 17:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	7	$182	0	360	-360	Yes	+$2	09-20 15:32
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	9	$180	0	360	-360	Yes	+$0	09-21 04:47
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	6	$180	0	360	-360	open	—	09-12 05:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	13	$162	0	320	-320	No	+$2	08-08 21:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	9	$158	0	320	-320	No	-$2	08-07 07:37
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	15	$142	0	280	-280	No	+$2	07-13 15:18
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	7	$123	0	240	-240	Yes	+$3	09-12 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:10:05	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x14ed36…
10-29 10:36:38	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xe8aa58…
10-29 10:36:38	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0x41fd10…
10-29 09:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x386082…
10-29 09:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x122114…
10-29 08:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xdf468e…
10-29 07:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x2c0a64…
10-29 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x3b5035…
10-29 07:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf8ac33…
10-29 07:01:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb779ce…
10-29 06:50:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x626f1e…
10-29 06:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb31477…
10-29 06:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xba24fc…
10-29 05:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xba9ac5…
10-29 05:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x688885…
10-29 05:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x1f1394…
10-29 05:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x9c9afb…
10-29 05:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7693b7…
10-29 05:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x4b435e…
10-29 05:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x64f5c9…
10-29 04:57:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3e9890…
10-29 04:54:38	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8adcbc…
10-29 04:20:43	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x922025…
10-29 03:45:10	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfa81e3…
10-29 03:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x90917a…
10-29 03:17:52	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb31704…
10-29 03:17:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd8de95…
10-29 03:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfe4097…
10-29 03:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x662824…
10-29 03:06:58	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x813608…
10-29 02:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x704f03…
10-29 02:31:35	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb1efa5…
10-29 02:25:14	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa325c7…
10-29 02:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x53c819…
10-29 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x4e5249…
10-29 01:56:25	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9e72e0…
10-29 01:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0x5ee68a…
10-29 01:32:17	Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5b070a…
10-29 01:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x74d80d…
10-29 01:13:52	Darius Garland: Points O/U 24.5	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb0df55…
10-29 01:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x68e508…
10-29 00:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd4891c…
10-29 00:44:52	Hornets vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x849c5a…
10-29 00:41:25	Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x83a067…
10-29 00:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x079478…
10-29 00:26:59	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x93eaf7…
10-29 00:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7f64e6…
10-29 00:16:43	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd0b945…
10-29 00:16:23	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbddfcd…
10-29 00:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0xaf5441…
10-29 00:09:44	Spread: Heat (-10.5)	Hawks	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4c5827…
10-29 00:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4e974a…
10-29 00:05:25	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb2b9bc…
10-29 00:00:01	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x04f4de…
10-28 23:52:56	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xd98678…
10-28 22:57:02	Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd371ef…
10-28 22:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0x3b8730…
10-28 22:17:20	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x021672…
10-28 22:11:22	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x935f2c…
10-28 22:10:43	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa7073c…
10-28 22:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x271751…
10-28 21:59:28	Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb3a6d1…
10-28 21:30:49	Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x703b32…
10-28 20:56:35	Brest: Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo	Francesco Maestrelli	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc42030…
10-28 20:54:41	Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x55b684…
10-28 20:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x75ed9f…
10-28 20:24:49	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5	Under	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x88f127…
10-28 20:21:35	Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8950f7…
10-28 20:16:02	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf554eb…
10-28 20:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xe8b9ac…
10-28 20:02:19	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Heat	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xdf4cb3…
10-28 19:59:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe791a0…
10-28 19:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xe20d09…
10-28 18:34:20	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7591e7…
10-28 18:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xeab30a…
10-28 18:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x7d6eba…
10-28 18:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$8	0x904a02…
10-28 18:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$14	0xab59b3…
10-28 17:53:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3f0a98…
10-28 17:53:25	76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6f2913…
10-28 17:48:22	Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x3a71e3…
10-28 17:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0x3bd729…
10-28 17:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x29a669…
10-28 17:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x011238…
10-28 16:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x80d471…
10-28 16:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x7608b4…
10-28 15:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xde5e87…
10-28 15:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3b7bfc…
10-28 14:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5a618c…
10-28 14:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb79b33…
10-28 13:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x30e732…
10-28 13:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x2796ba…
10-28 13:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xea15f8…
10-28 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x78f341…
10-28 13:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x0e3c2a…
10-28 13:11:04	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x958325…
10-28 12:51:02	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5227b7…
10-28 12:29:26	Brest: Borna Gojo vs Dino Prizmic	Borna Gojo	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa5d9f7…
10-28 12:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x4be8f1…
10-28 12:09:58	James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x15955f…