Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
1,898
Trades
3,613
lifetime
Volume
$28.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$244
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 11-13 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
62% 83% +$103
Politics
31% 64% -$80
Crypto
4% 85% -$19
Sports
3% 54% -$15
Tech
1% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$56 98¢ $-59 -$3 09-06 06:15
New pandemic in 2026? No -60 -$56 98¢ $-59 -$3 09-07 07:11
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m? No +8 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 11-01 14:51
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 110m? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 11-05 20:07
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 11-02 03:51
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 11-02 20:40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-06 20:10
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m? No +6 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 11-03 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 13? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 11-12 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 11-12 17:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 13? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 11-12 17:01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 11-06 16:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 13? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 11-13 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 13? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 11-13 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 13? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-12 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on November 13? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 11-13 05:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8 $5 63¢ $5 +$0 10-27 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 13? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 11-13 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 11-12 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on November 13? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 11-12 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 13? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 11-13 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 13? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 $0 11-13 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 13? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $0 11-12 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 13? No +6 $5 76¢ $4 -$1 11-13 01:00
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 110m and 130m? No +6 $5 64¢ $4 -$1 11-03 14:13
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +7 $5 36¢ $3 -$2 11-01 16:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -60 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 09-04 21:39
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -60 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 09-06 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 13? No +6 $5 7¢ $0 -$5 11-12 19:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 13? No +6 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 11-12 22:06