Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
1,927
Trades
3,648
lifetime
Volume
$29.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$249
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 11-14 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
62% 83% +$107
Politics
30% 64% -$80
Crypto
4% 85% -$19
Sports
3% 54% -$15
Tech
1% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$56 98¢ $-59 -$3 09-06 06:15
New pandemic in 2026? No -60 -$56 98¢ $-59 -$3 09-07 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 14? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-14 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on November 14? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-14 02:31
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 11-02 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 14? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-14 10:14
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m? No +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 11-01 14:51
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 11-03 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on November 14? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-14 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on November 14? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-14 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 15? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 11-14 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 15? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 11-14 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 15? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 11-14 21:37
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? No +7 $5 71¢ $5 +$0 11-02 20:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 15? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 11-14 13:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8 $5 64¢ $5 +$0 10-27 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 15? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 11-14 20:29
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 15? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 11-14 14:41
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 110m? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 $0 11-05 20:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 15? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 11-14 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on November 15? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 11-14 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 15? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $0 11-14 21:12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 15? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 $0 11-14 21:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on November 15? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $0 11-14 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 15? No +6 $5 70¢ $4 -$1 11-14 14:38
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 110m and 130m? No +6 $5 59¢ $4 -$1 11-03 14:13
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +7 $5 42¢ $3 -$2 11-01 16:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 14? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$0 11-14 05:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -60 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 09-04 21:39
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -60 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 09-06 08:01